Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 8, 2017

Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Oil gas Explore and production 3x bear etf)
DRIP latest price $78.1300 (12.89%) ($69.2500 - $78.4200) on Wed. Mar. 8, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.13% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $78.1300(12.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DRIP advances 4.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DRIP advances 7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DRIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(7%)    VIXM(5%)    XHB(4%)    IPO(3%)    SHY(2%)
Factors Impacting DRIP price   DRIP will decline at least -2.065% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-28%)    OIH(-28%)    XLE(-26%)    USO(-23%)    XME(-20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.065% (StdDev 4.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $69.79(11.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.09(14.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.17(21.75%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   62.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. DRIP is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. DRIP price fluctuates within 8.06% (three month std-dev: 4.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 5.65%(64%) Average negative next day return: -0.83%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 8.93%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -3.67%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 13.6%(73%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.89%(27%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170408

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_8_2017	66.52	64.17	68.09	69.79	69.04	70.84	78.13(12.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	93	150	79	134	0.27	89%	-0.18	54.6	4.13%	0	2.7	75	0
2	Mar_7_2017	66.64	63.33	66.64	66.72	66.93	67.42	69.21(4.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	60	10	91	0.09	87%	-0.31	53.1	3.86%	0	1.5	70	0
3	Mar_6_2017	66.85	62.8	65.69	66.55	66.14	67.23	66.5(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	100	9	94	0.1	86%	-0.31	54.5	3.84%	0	1	64	0
4	Mar_3_2017	67.06	62.3	65.23	66.58	66.35	66.43	67.83(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	-0	17	112	0.08	86%	-0.27	56.5	3.83%	0	1.4	68	0
5	Mar_2_2017	67.24	61.84	64.54	66.66	66.37	65.05	67.29(7.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	17	-150	-14	108	0.18	86%	-0.24	68.7	3.86%	0	1.4	63	0

6	Mar_1_2017	67.4	61.46	63.62	66.1	66.71	66.28	62.75(-8.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	9	-20	-19	92	0.26	84%	-0.28	78.9	3.76%	0	0.4	51	0
7	Feb_28_2017	67.59	61.27	63.11	66.45	66.41	67.69	68.38(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	130	22	70	0.16	61%	-0.15	88.8	5.69%	0	2	58	0
8	Feb_27_2017	67.69	60.76	62.11	64.64	65	67.14	66.63(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	250	33	56	0.12	61%	-0.27	85.7	5.83%	0	1.8	63	0
9	Feb_24_2017	67.87	60.13	61.14	63.64	63.05	65.14	68.25(5.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	39	200	35	50	0.16	61%	-0.18	76.2	5.84%	0	2.5	68	0
10	Feb_23_2017	67.99	59.33	60.15	62.15	61.64	62.87	64.5(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	30	120	29	34	0.28	61%	-0.22	61.3	5.84%	0	1.7	59	0

11	Feb_22_2017	68.14	58.75	59.89	60.81	60.61	60.96	64.5(8.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	30	20	21	0.24	61%	-0.32	44.7	5.85%	0	1.9	56	0
12	Feb_21_2017	68.36	58.23	59.66	59.29	59.39	60.41	59.33(-3.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	5	130	4	7	0.24	49%	-0.57	31.1	5.74%	0	0.4	52	0
13	Feb_17_2017	68.75	58.1	59.61	59.14	59	60.26	61.63(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	140	25	14	0.16	49%	-0.39	28.4	5.9%	0	1.2	56	0
14	Feb_16_2017	69.02	57.77	59.09	58.23	58.18	58.38	60.79(5.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	20	10	3	0.24	49%	-0.43	17.6	5.9%	0	1.1	64	0
15	Feb_15_2017	69.32	57.52	58.89	57.89	57.63	57.74	57.79(1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-8	-0	-11	1	0.24	43%	-0.79	15	5.87%	0	0.1	63	0

16	Feb_14_2017	69.87	57.41	59.14	58.87	58.17	57.99	56.92(-2.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-60	-11	22	0.22	43%	-0.68	21.8	6.05%	0	-0.2	60	0
17	Feb_13_2017	70.35	57.33	59.36	60.09	59.73	57.52	58.58(2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-280	-11	43	0.13	43%	-0.65	30.3	6.06%	0	0.4	60	0
18	Feb_10_2017	70.81	57.28	59.39	60.12	60.54	58.34	57.08(-3.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-13	-230	-30	39	0.32	43%	-0.56	38.6	6.07%	0	-0.1	52	0
19	Feb_9_2017	71.21	57.27	59.17	59.98	60.69	61.95	59.08(-5.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	180	-3	49	0.23	39%	-0.56	45.8	6.06%	0	0.6	59	0
20	Feb_8_2017	71.61	57.1	58.56	59.95	60.06	62.75	62.67(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	40	320	34	57	0.33	39%	-0.68	53.6	6.24%	0	2	62	0

21	Feb_7_2017	72.1	56.8	57.59	59.47	59.02	59.43	63.04(7.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	30	30	24	46	0.3	36%	-0.61	65.2	6.25%	0	2.5	64	0
22	Feb_6_2017	72.54	56.48	56.67	58.64	58.49	57.37	58.71(4.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-3	-140	-12	23	0.18	32%	-0.66	74.9	6.22%	0	1.1	58	0
23	Feb_3_2017	73.02	56.2	56.46	58.63	58.88	58.62	56.38(-4.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	3	-20	-5	25	0.25	32%	-0.67	72.6	6.2%	0	0.1	47	0
24	Feb_2_2017	73.51	56	56.34	58.17	58.89	59.61	58.96(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	120	19	28	0.2	32%	-0.7	60.4	6.18%	0	1.3	55	0
25	Feb_1_2017	74.03	55.63	56	56.84	57.3	59.14	60.25(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	23	250	25	18	0.24	32%		43.9	6.23%	0	1.9	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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