Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 11, 2017

Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Oil gas Explore and production 3x bear etf)
DRIP latest price $55.7500 (-2.76%) ($55.3100 - $58.0000) on Wed. Jan. 11, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.21% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $55.7500(-2.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DRIP advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DRIP advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DRIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(7%)    VIXM(5%)    XHB(4%)    IPO(3%)    SHY(2%)
Factors Impacting DRIP price   DRIP will decline at least -3.105% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-28%)    OIH(-28%)    XLE(-26%)    USO(-23%)    XME(-20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.105% (StdDev 6.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.08(1.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.02(3.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.92(5.35%)
To recent high   -49%
To recent low   15.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. DRIP is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. DRIP price fluctuates within 3.5% (three month std-dev: 6.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 43 Average positive next day return: 1.19%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.14%(67%) Sample size 43 Average positive next three day return: 1.99%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -1.52%(56%) Sample size 43 Average positive next weekly return: 2.37%(51%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.41%(49%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_11_2017	79.98	52.92	54.02	55.08	55.41	56.65	55.75(-2.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	170	13	37	0.19	31%	-0.55	76	6.21%	0	1.5	60	INF
2	Jan_10_2017	80.42	52.63	53.52	54.21	54.19	56.39	57.33(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	31	280	30	34	0.18	30%	-0.58	53.1	6.22%	0	2.3	67	INF
3	Jan_9_2017	80.89	52.2	52.91	53.19	53.01	54.16	57.42(8.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	24	140	25	20	0.25	30%	-0.5	33.1	6.27%	0	2.9	63	INF
4	Jan_6_2017	81.3	51.74	52.3	52.57	52.14	51.98	53.04(2.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	-50	-1	2	0.16	25%	-0.54	14.4	6.2%	0	0.9	51	INF
5	Jan_5_2017	81.74	51.6	52.24	52.67	52.49	51.86	51.88(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-90	-6	-0	0.16	23%	-0.67	5.3	6.19%	0	0.2	43	INF

6	Jan_4_2017	82.29	51.55	52.29	52.79	52.94	52.3	51.38(-1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-80	-5	8	0.14	23%	-0.66	-73.5	6.25%	0	-0.1	63	INF
7	Jan_3_2017	82.84	51.57	52.33	52.64	52.76	53.12	52.21(-3.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	50	-1	11	0.3	23%	-0.99	-139.1	6.27%	0	0.4	58	INF
8	Dec_30_2016	83.67	51.61	52.35	52.5	52.28	53.59	54.33(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	160	15	22	0.15	23%	-0.74	-183.3	6.25%	0	1.6	66	INF
9	Dec_29_2016	84.29	51.53	52.17	51.98	51.77	52.41	53.54(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	70	14	24	0.16	23%	-0.85	-237.6	6.29%	0	1.2	66	INF
10	Dec_28_2016	85.01	51.51	52.14	51.8	51.37	50.97	52.5(3.69%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	4	-80	-2	22	0.14	20%	-0.81	-277.5	6.28%	0	0.6	58	INF

11	Dec_27_2016	85.7	52.82	51.74	51.77	51.49	51.13	50.63(-1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-70	-7	15	0.06	24%	-1.2	-59.9	6.65%	0	-0.3	51	INF
12	Dec_23_2016	86.74	54.05	51.71	51.96	51.71	51.76	51.5(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10	-2	16	0.07	28%	-0.89	-45.8	6.67%	0	-0.3	50	INF
13	Dec_22_2016	87.52	54.92	51.48	52.14	51.79	51.86	51.75(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	3	-10	-0	12	0.15	28%	-0.91	-49.1	6.76%	0	-0.3	46	INF
14	Dec_21_2016	88.32	55.68	51.18	52.35	51.92	51.67	52.63(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-2	-60	-4	5	0.2	26%	-1.1	-52.2	6.77%	0	-0.3	48	INF
15	Dec_20_2016	89.3	56.47	50.92	52.54	52.42	51.71	52.33(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	2	-100	1	4	0.14	26%	-1.11	-53.7	6.88%	0	-0.4	46	INF

16	Dec_19_2016	90.3	57.26	50.92	51.7	52.44	52.18	51.58(-1.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-13	10	-1	-50	0.14	26%	-0.92	-61.6	6.91%	0	-0.6	19	INF
17	Dec_16_2016	91.14	58.56	50.75	51.39	51.58	53.12	52.42(-0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	220	13	-82	0.19	26%	-1.03	-62.4	6.91%	0	-0.5	27	INF
18	Dec_15_2016	92.09	59.9	50.8	50.7	50.12	52.7	52.79(-1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	330	30	-103	0.43	26%	-1.04	-62.7	6.91%	0	-0.6	37	INF
19	Dec_14_2016	93.06	61.21	50.79	49.83	48.73	50.03	53.58(11.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	120	24	-129	0.57	29%	-0.93	-64.3	6.92%	0	-0.6	41	INF
20	Dec_13_2016	93.93	62.4	50.74	49.14	48.18	47.55	48.13(-3.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-150	-5	-167	0.25	30%	-1.06	-70.8	6.83%	0	-1.1	32	INF

21	Dec_12_2016	94.94	64.4	53.85	49.68	48.74	47.42	50.04(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-50	-250	-18	-147	0.46	30%	-0.92	-70.4	7.02%	0	-1.1	34	INF
22	Dec_9_2016	95.82	66.48	56.41	50.03	50.19	48.81	48.96(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	-180	-17	-143	0.2	33%	-0.94	-70.7	7.02%	0	-1.2	27	INF
23	Dec_8_2016	96.73	68.49	58.52	50.91	50.84	50.06	48.46(-3.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-110	-20	-145	0.33	32%	-0.87	-73.8	7.14%	0	-1.4	26	INF
24	Dec_7_2016	97.58	70.53	60.49	51.84	51.93	51.58	50.13(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-40	-5	-142	0.45	32%	-0.84	-79.2	7.19%	0	-1.4	27	INF
25	Dec_6_2016	98.41	73.12	62.47	52.56	52.06	51.62	50.83(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-71	-90	-41	-159	0.48	32%		-76.1	7.19%	0	-1.5	30	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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