Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 7, 2015

Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Oil gas Explore and production 3x bear etf)
DRIP latest price $409.2700 (20.23%) ($371.0900 - $418.5900) on Mon. Dec. 7, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.22% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $409.2700(20.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DRIP advances 9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DRIP advances 10.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DRIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(9%)    VIXM(7%)    BNDX(2%)    SHY(2%)    XHB(2%)
Factors Impacting DRIP price   DRIP will decline at least -4.11% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-30%)    OIH(-30%)    XLE(-28%)    USO(-25%)    IWN(-20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.11% (StdDev 8.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $327.07(25.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $301.85(35.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $288.29(41.96%)
To recent high   -24.2%
To recent low   70.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. DRIP is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. DRIP price fluctuates within 12.67% (three month std-dev: 8.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 37.87%(33%) Average negative next day return: -7.78%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 12.22%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.18%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 7.38%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -24%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_7_2015	331.96	288.29	301.85	327.07	331.72	365.61	409.27(20.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	369	760	411	241	0.01	55%	0.34	56	8.22%	0	3.3	74	INF
2	Dec_4_2015	330.82	279.94	289.31	300.05	300.78	320.27	340.4(8.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	192	460	214	125	0.01	51%	0.04	42.3	7.89%	0	2.5	57	INF
3	Dec_3_2015	330.68	275.09	282.56	287.68	284.69	297.84	315.05(4.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	125	290	143	71	0.01	50%	-0.07	18.6	7.85%	0	1.9	52	INF
4	Dec_2_2015	330.91	271.76	276.71	276.87	277.38	281.29	302.4(12.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	81	100	97	31	0.01	50%	-0.13	-11.5	7.83%	0	1.6	56	INF
5	Dec_1_2015	331.35	268.92	273.63	267.95	270.63	271.54	268.23(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-16	50	-14	-20	0	50%	-0.3	-50.9	7.67%	0	-0	59	INF

6	Nov_30_2015	332.34	269.19	273.07	272.26	269.84	273.47	274.17(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-2	70	-1	-5	0	50%	-0.28	-57.3	7.92%	0	0.3	59	INF
7	Nov_27_2015	333.26	270.1	275.11	276.79	275.37	269.71	278.54(6.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-160	9	17	0.01	50%	-0.27	-50.8	7.98%	0	0.4	58	INF
8	Nov_25_2015	334.15	271.32	277.48	276.71	278.83	266.21	260.99(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-80	-290	-102	-12	0.01	50%	-0.35	-42.4	8%	0	-0.5	57	INF
9	Nov_24_2015	335.34	273.95	279.42	276.15	281.56	281.03	257.81(-11.04%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-47	50	-65	9	0.01	50%	-0.39	-32.9	8.07%	0	-0.6	55	INF
10	Nov_23_2015	336.64	278.53	278.73	279.49	280.89	291.46	289.79(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	84	280	86	76	0	52%	-0.23	-17.4	8.01%	0	0.4	63	INF

11	Nov_20_2015	337.43	280.08	274.65	273.68	274.93	282.09	296.82(6.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	77	200	83	59	0.01	52%	-0.21	-16.8	8.07%	0	0.6	56	INF
12	Nov_19_2015	338.13	280.2	270.2	273.73	272.15	270.32	278.13(7.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-11	-60	-17	9	0.01	52%	-0.31	-10.6	8.09%	0	-0.1	47	INF
13	Nov_18_2015	339.18	281.26	267.22	279.22	279.68	267.77	258.18(-5.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-59	-290	-72	-19	0.01	52%	-0.43	0.2	8.1%	0	-0.8	40	INF
14	Nov_17_2015	340.63	283.63	266.72	283.27	287.8	273.97	274.53(5.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-83	-290	-97	-39	0.01	52%	-0.35	7.1	8.13%	0	-0.3	41	INF
15	Nov_16_2015	341.83	283.83	264.03	277.32	286.15	291.59	260.73(-12.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	230	-32	-48	0.01	52%	-0.44	-0.8	8.17%	0	-0.8	31	INF

16	Nov_13_2015	343.33	285.23	265.29	274.64	278.75	301.63	297.08(-2.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	149	620	191	24	0.01	55%	-0.26	-1.9	8.08%	0	0.4	44	INF
17	Nov_12_2015	344.21	283.47	264.46	265.81	264.3	280.72	305.57(9.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	157	420	204	15	0.01	55%	-0.21	-8.4	8.15%	0	0.7	51	INF
18	Nov_11_2015	344.95	281.19	263.78	254.11	253.46	255.88	278.44(13.75%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	38	60	69	-54	0.01	53%	-0.38	-16.2	8.11%	0	-0.1	46	INF
19	Nov_10_2015	346.25	281.49	266.97	248.55	249.49	247.89	244.79(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-30	-21	-97	0	50%	-0.58	-19.3	7.95%	0	-1.2	36	INF
20	Nov_9_2015	348.28	284.09	277.53	248.95	249.61	251.04	247.34(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	50	-10	-75	0	50%	-0.59	-16.6	8.03%	0	-1.3	47	INF

21	Nov_6_2015	350.34	285.79	285.41	254.3	250.7	251.1	252.92(2.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-31	-30	-20	-63	0	50%	-0.58	-18.8	8.11%	0	-1.1	45	INF
22	Nov_5_2015	352.37	286.05	290.73	262.88	258.82	248.19	247.08(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-71	-330	-73	-64	0.01	50%	-0.63	-29.7	8.19%	0	-1.3	52	INF
23	Nov_4_2015	354.61	286.15	296.59	275.09	272.25	250.3	250.6(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-155	-600	-179	-82	0.01	50%	-0.63	-52.2	8.27%	0	-1.2	53	INF
24	Nov_3_2015	356.87	287.41	302.55	288.4	286.69	269.45	246.82(-9.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-198	-440	-236	-82	0.01	50%	-0.68	-73	8.36%	0	-1.5	46	INF
25	Nov_2_2015	359.32	288.98	306.47	310.27	306.42	294.2	274.06(-7.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-97	-320	-126	-11	0.01	53%		-92.7	8.33%	0	-0.5	49	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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