Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar Tree)
DLTR latest price $111.3100 (0.33%) ($111.3100 - $111.3100) on Thu. Mar. 25, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $111.3100(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DLTR advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DLTR advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DLTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SDY(39%)    DIA(38%)    IVE(38%)    IWD(38%)    SPY(36%)
Factors Impacting DLTR price   DLTR will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    VXX(-11%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0.6 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $110.07(1.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $109.1(2.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $106.6(4.42%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   13.3%
Market Cap   $26.403b

Dollar Tree, Inc. owns and operates discount variety stores offering merchandise at the fixed prices. It operates through Dollar Tree and Family Dollar segments. The company offers selection of everyday basic products and its supplement these basic, everyday items with seasonal, closeout and promotional merchandise. The merchandise mix consists of three types: Consumable, Variety categories and Seasonal merchandise. The Consumable merchandise includes candy and food, health and beauty care, and household consumables such as paper, plastics and household chemicals and in select stores, frozen and refrigerated food. The Variety categories merchandise includes toys, durable house wares, gifts, party goods, greeting cards, soft lines and other items. The Seasonal goods include Easter, Halloween and Christmas merchandise. Dollar Tree was founded by J. Douglas Perry and Macon F. Brock, Jr. in 1986 and is headquartered in Chesapeake, VA.

$. DLTR price fluctuates within 4% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 35 Average positive next day return: 1.29%(54%) Average negative next day return: -1.46%(46%) Sample size 35 Average positive next three day return: 2.06%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -3.21%(60%) Sample size 35 Average positive next weekly return: 2.12%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.05%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210425

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_25_2021	106.18	106.6	109.1	110.07	110.54	111.13	111.31(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	58	50	54	68	0.9	65%	0.16	43.3	1.65%	0.6	1.1	75	1.1
2	Mar_24_2021	106.01	105.98	108.82	108.98	109.51	110.35	110.94(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	48	70	42	65	1.13	65%	0.17	26.7	1.66%	0.7	1.2	78	1
3	Mar_23_2021	105.83	105.49	108.52	108.36	108.24	109.95	109.89(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	110	49	76	1.75	65%	0.18	15.8	1.66%	0.5	1.1	76	1.1
4	Mar_22_2021	105.64	105.13	108.29	108.17	107.76	108.67	110.15(1.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	81	50	72	109	1.71	62%	0.2	9.9	1.67%	1.4	1.3	81	1.9
5	Mar_19_2021	105.43	104.84	108.07	107.93	107.46	106.52	108.06(2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	-70	-19	99	2.68	60%	0.15	4.1	1.67%	1.3	0.8	79	1.6

6	Mar_18_2021	105.27	104.79	107.72	108.02	107.89	106.86	105.86(-1.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-23	-70	-65	105	2.08	57%	0.15	3.6	1.66%	-1.3	0.3	78	1.2
7	Mar_17_2021	105.11	104.86	107.4	108.58	108.56	108.4	107.86(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-10	-21	150	1.26	60%	0.15	5.2	1.64%	-0.8	0.8	84	2.1
8	Mar_16_2021	104.95	104.85	106.86	108.66	108.77	108.93	108.93(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	52	10	12	172	0.88	63%	0.16	4.1	1.64%	0.4	1.1	73	1.9
9	Mar_15_2021	104.78	104.74	105.92	108.4	108.65	108.72	108.92(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	10	11	155	1.27	63%	0.13	2.7	1.67%	1.7	1.1	64	2.4
10	Mar_12_2021	104.64	104.68	104.96	108.24	108.33	108.61	108.52(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	20	13	137	0.9	63%	0.14	5.2	1.69%	1	1	56	1.8

11	Mar_11_2021	104.49	104.65	103.95	107.38	108.22	108.57	108.69(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	64	50	50	106	1.32	63%	0.14	2.2	1.7%	1.1	1.1	49	1.5
12	Mar_10_2021	104.34	104.67	102.94	106	107.13	108.05	108.23(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	51	90	50	52	1.14	59%	0.12	-1.9	1.71%	0.4	0.9	47	1.2
13	Mar_9_2021	104.21	104.7	102.19	104.76	105.37	107.88	107.65(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	74	180	91	23	1.35	59%	0.12	-4.5	1.74%	0.6	0.7	45	1.2
14	Mar_8_2021	104.08	104.64	101.64	103.04	103.96	106.21	108.11(3.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	120	180	158	4	2.19	59%	0.13	-10	1.75%	1.5	0.9	48	0.4
15	Mar_5_2021	103.95	104.48	101.21	101.24	101.53	102.86	104.25(2.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	34	100	71	-79	1.96	55%	0.09	-19	1.69%	1.5	-0.1	36	0.6

16	Mar_4_2021	103.86	104.57	101.46	100.04	100.23	101.71	101.79(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	23	110	67	-110	3.01	52%	0.06	-24.3	1.67%	0.3	-0.7	27	-0.4
17	Mar_3_2021	103.8	104.74	102.01	99.42	99.43	100.2	102.01(3.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	12	50	60	-133	4.7	52%	0.06	-25.2	1.67%	1.2	-0.7	25	0.3
18	Mar_2_2021	103.74	104.88	102.58	99.25	98.6	98.76	99.02(-0.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-58	-10	-18	-178	3.42	47%	0.04	-29	1.62%	-0.1	-1.5	14	1
19	Mar_1_2021	103.7	105.04	103.43	100.04	99.2	98.66	99.13(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-60	-60	-25	-166	1.54	51%	0.05	-30.7	1.63%	0.1	-1.6	29	1
20	Feb_26_2021	103.65	105.23	104.38	101.21	100.17	98.44	98.23(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-111	-150	-93	-163	3.01	51%	0.07	-31.1	1.65%	-1	-2	34	0.5

21	Feb_25_2021	103.58	105.53	105.48	103.11	101.86	99.75	98.69(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-129	-180	-127	-135	2.84	51%	0.09	-25.3	1.66%	-1.1	-2.2	33	0.2
22	Feb_24_2021	103.49	105.73	106.66	104.96	104.13	101.91	101.16(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-104	-170	-112	-81	2.48	70%	0.13	-19.6	1.64%	-1	-1.6	42	1.4
23	Feb_23_2021	103.36	105.99	107.56	106.39	105.91	103.97	103.01(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-59	-140	-71	-24	1.97	74%	0.13	-10.3	2.42%	-1.1	-1.1	50	1.3
24	Feb_22_2021	103.23	106.17	108.02	107.29	107.1	106.35	104.95(-2.61%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-31	-50	-45	11	1.95	74%	0.15	-4.1	2.44%	-2.2	-0.5	66	1.1
25	Feb_19_2021	103.08	106.32	108.14	108.01	107.82	107.85	107.76(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-0	-4	45	1.43	79%		0.4	2.41%	0.4	0.5	71	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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