Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DLTR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 29, 2020

Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar Tree)
DLTR latest price $98.0050 (0.3%) ($96.0600 - $99.3100) on Fri. May. 29, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.04% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $98.0050(0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DLTR advances 3.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DLTR advances 9.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DLTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(37%)    IVE(37%)    IWD(36%)    SDY(36%)    SPLV(36%)
Factors Impacting DLTR price   DLTR will decline at least -2.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    VXX(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.52% (StdDev 5.04%)
Hourly BBV 0.6 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $90.01(8.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.9(15.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.86(21.2%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   49.8%
Market Cap   $23.247b

Dollar Tree, Inc. owns and operates discount variety stores offering merchandise at the fixed prices. It operates through Dollar Tree and Family Dollar segments. The company offers selection of everyday basic products and its supplement these basic, everyday items with seasonal, closeout and promotional merchandise. The merchandise mix consists of three types: Consumable, Variety categories and Seasonal merchandise. The Consumable merchandise includes candy and food, health and beauty care, and household consumables such as paper, plastics and household chemicals and in select stores, frozen and refrigerated food. The Variety categories merchandise includes toys, durable house wares, gifts, party goods, greeting cards, soft lines and other items. The Seasonal goods include Easter, Halloween and Christmas merchandise. Dollar Tree was founded by J. Douglas Perry and Macon F. Brock, Jr. in 1986 and is headquartered in Chesapeake, VA.

$. DLTR price fluctuates within 8.16% (three month std-dev: 5.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 26 Average positive next day return: 5.08%(46%) Average negative next day return: -2.43%(54%) Sample size 26 Average positive next three day return: 7.85%(35%) Average negative next three day return: -5.26%(65%) Sample size 26 Average positive next weekly return: 7.48%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.38%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200629

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_29_2020	82.06	80.86	84.9	90.01	91.88	97.71	98.01(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	106	510	92	146	3.83	58%	0.09	47.7	5.04%	0.6	2.6	81	1.3
2	May_28_2020	81.99	79.85	82.57	86.65	87.77	92.41	97.71(11.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	110	410	105	123	13.23	57%	0.1	45.7	5.08%	1.2	3.4	82	0.9
3	May_27_2020	81.91	78.9	80.14	83.03	83.52	86.04	87.45(2.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	54	230	48	71	4.46	52%	-0.06	47.2	4.88%	1.1	2.6	77	1.5
4	May_26_2020	81.96	78.5	78.97	81.55	81.74	83.13	85.19(4.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	41	130	36	54	3.58	52%	-0.23	48.2	4.89%	1.5	2.6	71	1.3
5	May_22_2020	82.15	78.2	78.17	80.24	80.52	81.01	81.72(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	50	19	37	2.39	50%	-0.15	41.7	4.81%	0.9	1.6	60	1.2

6	May_21_2020	82.27	77.84	77.76	78.91	79.74	80.35	81.19(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	90	18	26	1.64	50%	-0.01	11.1	4.84%	1.3	1.5	60	1.1
7	May_20_2020	82.28	77.53	77.28	77.77	78.4	80.04	79.61(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	170	23	14	2.38	50%	-0.18	-15.3	4.84%	0.2	1	48	1.5
8	May_19_2020	82.43	77.4	76.87	76.76	77.04	79.13	80.03(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	29	200	37	3	2.07	50%	-0.17	-31.6	4.84%	1.1	1.3	45	0.9
9	May_18_2020	82.57	77.26	76.48	76.01	75.74	76.76	78.65(4.77%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	13	80	22	-16	2.97	51%	-0.18	-48.4	4.84%	1.4	0.7	42	1.4
10	May_15_2020	82.72	77.27	76.36	75.86	75.38	74.95	75.07(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-60	-5	-32	1.97	51%	-0.21	-40.2	4.81%	0.2	-1	32	1

11	May_14_2020	82.89	77.59	76.6	76.46	76.01	74.72	75.47(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-140	-18	-29	2.22	51%	-0.1	-23.9	4.85%	-0.2	-1	56	0.8
12	May_13_2020	82.97	77.84	77	76.7	76.92	75.81	74.57(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20	-90	-20	-21	1.84	51%	-0.24	-19.5	4.85%	-1.8	-1.6	52	0.1
13	May_12_2020	83.17	78.03	77.62	76.92	77.46	77.3	76.28(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	10	-7	-9	1.89	51%	-0.19	-13.5	4.84%	-2	-0.9	49	1.2
14	May_11_2020	83.33	78.21	78.05	76.96	77.3	78.02	77.9(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	80	6	1	2.2	51%	-0.2	-4	4.84%	0.5	-0.2	51	2.3
15	May_8_2020	83.5	78.14	78.26	76.94	76.98	77.62	78.09(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	60	13	5	1.88	51%	-0.18	8.8	4.8%	0.7	-0	48	2

16	May_7_2020	83.65	78.11	77.95	76.81	76.78	76.58	76.67(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-20	-2	-13	2.6	51%	-0.19	23.1	4.83%	0.1	-0.7	38	1.4
17	May_6_2020	83.81	78.24	77.83	77.4	76.99	76.35	75.68(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-70	-17	-21	1.94	51%	-0.2	45.9	4.83%	-1.8	-1.3	40	0.8
18	May_5_2020	83.98	78.3	78.01	78.44	77.82	76.98	76.49(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-17	-100	-18	-14	1.7	51%	-0.21	68.8	4.83%	-1.3	-0.9	48	1.1
19	May_4_2020	84.16	78.29	78.16	79.28	78.92	77.64	77.79(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-130	-19	-10	1.53	51%	-0.2	71.6	4.83%	-0.5	-0.2	46	0.5
20	May_1_2020	84.33	77.96	78.29	79.77	79.81	78.66	77.42(-2.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-11	-100	-15	0	1.66	51%	-0.19	48	4.79%	-1.6	-0.2	54	0.4

21	Apr_30_2020	84.49	77.65	78.69	79.18	80.18	80.2	79.6(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	40	5	9	2.3	51%	-0.14	24.6	4.78%	-1	0.6	55	1.3
22	Apr_29_2020	84.61	77.33	78.74	78.26	78.99	80.95	80.9(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	200	21	9	1.32	51%	-0.13	11.2	4.78%	0.5	1.1	53	1.7
23	Apr_28_2020	84.72	76.96	78.44	77.53	77.56	80.17	80.7(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	240	41	13	1.98	51%	-0.15	-3.3	4.78%	0.8	1.2	59	1.2
24	Apr_27_2020	84.85	76.88	78.31	76.93	76.72	77.04	80.21(7.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	20	25	7	3.09	51%	-0.15	-3.6	4.78%	1.5	1.1	58	1.4
25	Apr_24_2020	84.98	76.7	77.91	76.72	76.31	74.96	74.5(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-140	-31	-9	2.53	48%		-4	4.69%	-1	-0.7	62	0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.