Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 8, 2017

Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar Tree)
DLTR latest price $108.6700 (1.27%) ($107.1700 - $108.9000) on Fri. Dec. 8, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $108.6700(1.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DLTR advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DLTR advances 4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DLTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(42%)    IWD(42%)    SDY(42%)    SPY(41%)    PAVE(40%)
Factors Impacting DLTR price   DLTR will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-3%)    DIA(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $106.75(1.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $104.46(4.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $100.41(8.23%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   31.2%
Market Cap   $25.777b

Dollar Tree, Inc. owns and operates discount variety stores offering merchandise at the fixed prices. It operates through Dollar Tree and Family Dollar segments. The company offers selection of everyday basic products and its supplement these basic, everyday items with seasonal, closeout and promotional merchandise. The merchandise mix consists of three types: Consumable, Variety categories and Seasonal merchandise. The Consumable merchandise includes candy and food, health and beauty care, and household consumables such as paper, plastics and household chemicals and in select stores, frozen and refrigerated food. The Variety categories merchandise includes toys, durable house wares, gifts, party goods, greeting cards, soft lines and other items. The Seasonal goods include Easter, Halloween and Christmas merchandise. Dollar Tree was founded by J. Douglas Perry and Macon F. Brock, Jr. in 1986 and is headquartered in Chesapeake, VA.

$. DLTR price fluctuates within 4.96% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.28%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.54%(60%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.97%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -2.23%(46%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.23%(70%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.85%(30%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_8_2017	86.51	100.41	104.46	106.75	106.82	107.72	108.67(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	133	60	86	273	2.45	84%	0.44	69.4	1.12%	0	1.7	83	INF
2	Dec_7_2017	86.13	99.68	103.43	105.62	106.19	106.61	107.31(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	126	40	80	262	2.67	83%	0.44	68.6	1.12%	0	1.6	82	INF
3	Dec_6_2017	85.75	98.99	102.66	104.71	104.94	105.91	105.52(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	83	70	25	255	2.08	82%	0.42	69.8	1.11%	0	1.5	82	INF
4	Dec_5_2017	85.39	98.38	102.05	104.43	104.4	105.78	105.89(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	172	90	121	323	2.02	83%	0.44	73.9	1.11%	0	1.7	82	INF
5	Dec_4_2017	85.02	97.73	101.17	103.44	103.58	103.97	106.37(3.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	162	30	112	313	2.68	83%	0.44	74.8	1.11%	0	2.1	82	INF

6	Dec_1_2017	84.65	97.07	99.99	101.81	102.11	103.01	103.01(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	90	70	37	247	2.46	83%	0.42	73	1.06%	0	1.7	72	INF
7	Nov_30_2017	84.3	96.54	99.17	100.88	101.1	103.2	102.76(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	168	150	137	262	4.24	83%	0.43	68.6	1.07%	0	1.8	73	INF
8	Nov_29_2017	83.94	95.94	98.22	100.29	99.92	101.21	104.14(3.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	172	80	145	251	3.31	86%	0.44	66.5	1.05%	0	2.5	78	INF
9	Nov_28_2017	83.57	95.27	97.12	99.35	99.16	99	100.94(2.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	77	-20	40	189	2.46	84%	0.42	68.2	1%	0	2	75	INF
10	Nov_27_2017	83.22	94.79	96.38	98.58	98.96	98.63	98.2(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	38	-10	-3	159	2.52	83%	0.37	66.2	0.95%	0	1.3	71	INF

11	Nov_24_2017	82.91	94.52	96.05	97.87	98.39	99.32	98.38(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	76	80	49	158	1.74	87%	0.55	63	0.99%	0	1.6	69	INF
12	Nov_22_2017	82.46	94.25	95.64	97.12	97.32	99.29	99.77(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	145	150	139	163	3.05	90%	0.21	62.2	1.16%	0	2.4	79	INF
13	Nov_21_2017	82.29	93.82	95.01	95.78	95.92	97.47	99.46(2.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	151	120	153	143	7.83	90%	0.37	55.4	1.16%	0	3	82	INF
14	Nov_20_2017	81.99	93.41	94.39	94.58	94.38	95.35	97.11(2.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	78	70	74	89	5.27	89%	0.34	51.3	1.14%	0	2.6	77	INF
15	Nov_17_2017	81.71	93.13	93.99	93.89	93.67	94.37	94.61(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	50	44	68	1.95	88%	0.31	46	1.11%	0	1.3	70	INF

16	Nov_16_2017	81.46	93.01	93.9	93.98	93.56	93.41	94.63(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	-20	17	64	2.14	88%	0.31	52.8	1.11%	0	1.4	56	INF
17	Nov_15_2017	81.21	92.85	93.7	93.93	93.71	92.97	93.09(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-26	-60	-46	36	2	83%	0.3	53.3	1.1%	0	0.2	49	INF
18	Nov_14_2017	80.97	92.78	93.53	94.1	94.04	93.71	93.45(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-17	-30	-37	43	2.05	84%	0.31	57.6	1.12%	0	0.6	60	INF
19	Nov_13_2017	80.72	92.68	93.34	94.13	94.17	94.45	93.69(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	23	20	10	60	1.74	84%	0.35	68.5	1.13%	0	0.9	60	INF
20	Nov_10_2017	80.44	92.59	93.12	94.07	93.95	94.37	95.06(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	45	30	36	70	3	81%	0.34	82.3	1.11%	0	2.1	68	INF

21	Nov_9_2017	80.17	92.4	92.91	93.81	93.59	93.89	94.38(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	20	25	60	1.71	81%	0.34	95.5	1.16%	0	1.9	60	INF
22	Nov_8_2017	79.9	92.25	92.78	93.44	93.48	93.54	93.9(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	10	29	60	1.19	81%	0.31	105.9	1.18%	0	1.8	64	INF
23	Nov_7_2017	79.65	92.11	92.54	92.89	93.13	93.29	93.62(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	20	17	39	1.47	82%	0.29	91.1	1.18%	0	1.5	62	INF
24	Nov_6_2017	79.42	91.9	92.35	92.41	92.62	93.41	93.39(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	70	36	34	1.33	82%	0.3	76.5	1.19%	0	1.2	61	INF
25	Nov_3_2017	79.18	91.66	92.18	92.02	92.19	92.97	93.75(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	55	60	62	32	2.54	82%		73.3	1.19%	0	1.7	59	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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