Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 22, 2017

Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar Tree)
DLTR latest price $84.6200 (1.78%) ($83.0400 - $84.8000) on Fri. Sep. 22, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.32% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $84.6200(1.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DLTR advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DLTR advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DLTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(42%)    IWD(42%)    SDY(42%)    SPY(41%)    PAVE(40%)
Factors Impacting DLTR price   DLTR will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $83.56(1.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.65(1.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.52(2.54%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   27.5%
Market Cap   $20.072b

Dollar Tree, Inc. owns and operates discount variety stores offering merchandise at the fixed prices. It operates through Dollar Tree and Family Dollar segments. The company offers selection of everyday basic products and its supplement these basic, everyday items with seasonal, closeout and promotional merchandise. The merchandise mix consists of three types: Consumable, Variety categories and Seasonal merchandise. The Consumable merchandise includes candy and food, health and beauty care, and household consumables such as paper, plastics and household chemicals and in select stores, frozen and refrigerated food. The Variety categories merchandise includes toys, durable house wares, gifts, party goods, greeting cards, soft lines and other items. The Seasonal goods include Easter, Halloween and Christmas merchandise. Dollar Tree was founded by J. Douglas Perry and Macon F. Brock, Jr. in 1986 and is headquartered in Chesapeake, VA.

$. DLTR price fluctuates within 1.94% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.24%(78%) Average negative next day return: -0.82%(22%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 2.02%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.34%(33%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 2.94%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.86%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2017	75.71	82.52	83.65	83.56	83.35	83.51	84.62(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	10	18	34	2.23	68%	0.03	125.8	1.32%	0	1.3	75	INF
2	Sep_21_2017	75.69	82.22	83.47	83.33	83.27	83.2	83.14(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10	-4	35	1.17	66%	0.03	125.2	1.32%	0	0.5	77	INF
3	Sep_20_2017	75.67	81.82	83.49	83.4	83.39	83.19	83.42(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	5	-20	-11	52	1.78	62%	0.01	91.2	1.33%	0	0.7	78	INF
4	Sep_19_2017	75.66	81.42	83.42	83.59	83.51	83.33	83.43(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-20	-17	71	2.25	62%	0.04	85	1.37%	0	0.7	78	INF
5	Sep_18_2017	75.63	80.98	83.34	83.7	83.79	83.58	83.19(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10	-6	91	1.67	62%	0	77.1	1.37%	0	0.7	70	INF

6	Sep_15_2017	75.63	80.56	83.15	83.75	83.84	83.69	83.48(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-10	-6	92	2.76	53%	0.01	73.3	1.45%	0	0.9	72	INF
7	Sep_14_2017	75.62	80.11	82.8	83.62	83.71	84.01	83.46(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	30	6	97	1.81	53%	0.03	71.5	1.52%	0	0.9	79	INF
8	Sep_13_2017	75.6	79.67	82.44	83.57	83.5	83.99	84.41(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	56	40	30	133	2.08	53%	0.04	69.5	1.51%	0	1.3	91	INF
9	Sep_12_2017	75.57	79.13	81.97	83.23	83.21	83.41	83.98(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	54	20	23	146	1.66	53%	0.07	63.8	1.51%	0	1.3	86	INF
10	Sep_11_2017	75.52	78.65	81.6	82.94	82.94	83.41	83.4(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	51	10	12	166	2.79	53%	0.05	62.3	1.51%	0	1.3	86	INF

11	Sep_8_2017	75.48	78.15	81.29	82.47	82.71	83.01	82.83(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	68	30	27	192	2.71	53%	0.05	59	1.51%	0	1.3	86	INF
12	Sep_7_2017	75.44	77.66	80.86	81.83	82.08	82.87	83.23(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	85	80	45	205	2.07	51%	0.07	54.3	1.51%	0	1.6	87	INF
13	Sep_6_2017	75.39	77.23	80.01	81.13	81.16	82.41	82.73(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	94	110	61	194	2.47	48%	0.07	55.2	1.53%	0	1.7	86	INF
14	Sep_5_2017	75.34	76.85	79.24	80.52	80.42	81.3	82.49(1.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	93	70	62	184	3.28	47%	0.08	59.1	1.58%	0	1.9	87	INF
15	Sep_1_2017	75.28	76.48	78.43	80.1	79.83	79.9	81.06(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	48	-0	12	156	3.24	49%	0.07	68.3	1.57%	0	1.7	76	INF

16	Aug_31_2017	75.23	76.11	77.75	79.97	79.89	79.55	79.64(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	35	-30	-4	150	3.67	47%	0.03	76.5	1.61%	0	1.4	76	INF
17	Aug_30_2017	75.21	75.8	77.23	79.74	79.99	79.75	79.72(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	39	-10	-0	154	2.77	47%	0.04	79.1	1.62%	0	1.6	78	INF
18	Aug_29_2017	75.18	75.45	76.7	78.66	80.09	80.24	79.7(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	65	70	40	141	3.09	47%	0.03	75.1	1.62%	0	1.8	65	INF
19	Aug_28_2017	75.16	75.1	76.06	77.71	78.76	80.23	80.38(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	70	170	56	113	2.47	47%	0.04	73.3	1.63%	0	2.4	63	INF
20	Aug_25_2017	75.13	74.67	75.45	76.48	77.29	79.94	80.39(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	122	270	127	105	4.45	47%	0.03	73	1.63%	0	3	64	INF

21	Aug_24_2017	75.11	74.23	74.72	75.25	75.91	77.29	78.5(5.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	109	150	123	68	13.44	44%	0.03	76.8	1.6%	0	3	64	INF
22	Aug_23_2017	75.09	73.9	74.14	74.42	74.48	74.65	74.32(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	20	5	-6	4.43	35%	-0.05	77.6	1.45%	0	0.3	55	INF
23	Aug_22_2017	75.13	73.74	74.19	74.45	74.39	74.54	74.95(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	10	15	8	1.77	38%	-0.03	71.7	1.47%	0	0.9	61	INF
24	Aug_21_2017	75.15	73.53	74.25	74.14	74.3	74.31	74.25(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	10	2	8	2.5	38%	-0.07	60.7	1.48%	0	0.4	58	INF
25	Aug_18_2017	75.2	73.3	74.36	74.22	74.26	74.24	74.25(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	7	-0	0	26	2.13	38%		58.8	1.49%	0	0.6	62	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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