Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 23, 2017

Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar Tree)
DLTR latest price $74.3200 (-0.84%) ($73.8600 - $74.9500) on Wed. Aug. 23, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $74.3200(-0.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   DLTR declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DLTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(42%)    IWD(42%)    SDY(42%)    PAVE(40%)    SPLV(40%)
Factors Impacting DLTR price   DLTR will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-3%)    DIA(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $74.42(-0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.14(0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.9(0.57%)
To recent high   -7.7%
To recent low   11.9%
Market Cap   $17.629b

Dollar Tree, Inc. owns and operates discount variety stores offering merchandise at the fixed prices. It operates through Dollar Tree and Family Dollar segments. The company offers selection of everyday basic products and its supplement these basic, everyday items with seasonal, closeout and promotional merchandise. The merchandise mix consists of three types: Consumable, Variety categories and Seasonal merchandise. The Consumable merchandise includes candy and food, health and beauty care, and household consumables such as paper, plastics and household chemicals and in select stores, frozen and refrigerated food. The Variety categories merchandise includes toys, durable house wares, gifts, party goods, greeting cards, soft lines and other items. The Seasonal goods include Easter, Halloween and Christmas merchandise. Dollar Tree was founded by J. Douglas Perry and Macon F. Brock, Jr. in 1986 and is headquartered in Chesapeake, VA.

$. DLTR price fluctuates within 1.65% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.41%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.11%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.73%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.57%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170923

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_23_2017	75.09	73.9	74.14	74.42	74.48	74.65	74.32(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	20	5	-6	4.43	35%	-0.05	77.6	1.45%	0	0.3	55	0
2	Aug_22_2017	75.13	73.74	74.19	74.45	74.39	74.54	74.95(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	10	15	8	1.77	38%	-0.03	71.7	1.47%	0	0.9	61	0
3	Aug_21_2017	75.15	73.53	74.25	74.14	74.3	74.31	74.25(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	10	2	8	2.5	38%	-0.07	60.7	1.48%	0	0.4	58	0
4	Aug_18_2017	75.2	73.3	74.36	74.22	74.26	74.24	74.25(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	7	-0	0	26	2.13	38%	-0.07	58.8	1.49%	0	0.6	62	0
5	Aug_17_2017	75.25	73.14	74.35	74.07	74.31	74.29	74.34(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	10	9	37	2.39	37%	-0.05	60	1.5%	0	0.7	64	0

6	Aug_16_2017	75.29	72.96	74.28	73.82	74.11	74.27	74.44(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	30	1	33	4.29	35%	-0.03	60.2	1.5%	0	0.8	61	0
7	Aug_15_2017	75.31	72.76	74.15	73.91	73.89	74.33	73.44(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	40	-1	46	3.2	35%	-0.04	66.3	1.52%	0	0.4	64	0
8	Aug_14_2017	75.34	72.57	74.12	74.37	74.13	73.96	74.62(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-30	8	78	3.4	36%	0	77.3	1.51%	0	1.1	72	0
9	Aug_11_2017	75.34	72.33	73.88	74.56	74.4	73.46	73.5(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-10	-90	-40	81	1.79	33%	-0.01	87.6	1.49%	0	0.6	73	0
10	Aug_10_2017	75.35	72.12	73.74	74.68	74.85	74.31	73.08(-2.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-40	-37	93	2.68	33%	-0.01	88.3	1.5%	0	0.5	61	0

11	Aug_9_2017	75.36	71.91	73.67	74.77	74.91	75.34	74.92(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	50	13	128	2.82	35%	0.01	84.5	1.48%	0	1.3	70	0
12	Aug_8_2017	75.35	71.54	73.28	74.38	74.53	75.4	75.75(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	76	90	55	138	2.41	35%	0.03	76.1	1.48%	0	1.8	76	0
13	Aug_7_2017	75.33	71.09	72.76	73.83	73.82	74.48	75.53(1.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	72	60	53	129	3.73	35%	0	64.7	1.48%	0	1.9	79	0
14	Aug_4_2017	75.33	70.63	72.14	73.14	73.17	73.67	74.11(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	50	36	102	1.92	32%	-0.03	54.3	1.45%	0	1.6	71	0
15	Aug_3_2017	75.35	70.32	71.8	72.68	72.69	73.17	73.53(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	50	31	96	2.51	32%	-0.01	47.6	1.45%	0	1.6	72	0

16	Aug_2_2017	75.36	70.03	71.51	72.42	72.26	72.67	72.97(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	30	31	102	2.2	32%	-0.01	42.3	1.45%	0	1.5	73	0
17	Aug_1_2017	75.37	69.78	71.24	72.01	71.93	72.2	73.01(1.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	51	20	32	106	2.57	30%	-0.03	35.9	1.46%	0	1.8	76	0
18	Jul_31_2017	75.39	69.61	70.87	71.53	71.41	71.86	72.08(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	46	40	27	104	1.42	30%	-0.04	35.4	1.46%	0	1.5	76	0
19	Jul_28_2017	75.42	69.48	70.64	70.97	70.95	71.66	71.8(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	55	70	37	108	1.75	30%	-0.05	37.2	1.48%	0	1.5	77	0
20	Jul_27_2017	75.46	69.36	70.37	70.78	70.44	70.97	72.24(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	52	40	33	110	3.01	33%	-0.04	42.9	1.48%	0	2	67	0

21	Jul_26_2017	75.49	69.23	70	70.49	70.28	70.24	70.92(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-10	12	97	1.65	30%	-0.05	48.7	1.48%	0	1.3	64	0
22	Jul_25_2017	75.53	69.13	69.66	70.38	70.33	69.91	70.59(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-40	-8	83	2	30%	-0.08	50	1.49%	0	1.2	61	0
23	Jul_24_2017	75.59	69.02	69.31	70.11	70.3	70.32	69.28(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	10	-15	58	2.78	27%	-0.11	38.4	1.47%	0	0.2	46	0
24	Jul_21_2017	75.67	68.9	69.04	70.23	70.22	70.75	70.89(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	50	29	63	2.69	29%	-0.09	26.4	1.46%	0	1.5	53	0
25	Jul_20_2017	75.74	68.73	68.74	69.88	69.95	70.27	70.77(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	40	38	46	3.05	32%		2.2	1.46%	0	1.6	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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