Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 5, 2017

Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar Tree)
DLTR latest price $77.0500 (-0.8%) ($76.9800 - $78.6300) on Wed. Apr. 5, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $77.0500(-0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DLTR declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DLTR advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DLTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(42%)    IWD(42%)    SDY(42%)    PAVE(40%)    SPLV(40%)
Factors Impacting DLTR price   DLTR will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $78.07(-1.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.15(-0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.96(1.43%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $18.276b

Dollar Tree, Inc. owns and operates discount variety stores offering merchandise at the fixed prices. It operates through Dollar Tree and Family Dollar segments. The company offers selection of everyday basic products and its supplement these basic, everyday items with seasonal, closeout and promotional merchandise. The merchandise mix consists of three types: Consumable, Variety categories and Seasonal merchandise. The Consumable merchandise includes candy and food, health and beauty care, and household consumables such as paper, plastics and household chemicals and in select stores, frozen and refrigerated food. The Variety categories merchandise includes toys, durable house wares, gifts, party goods, greeting cards, soft lines and other items. The Seasonal goods include Easter, Halloween and Christmas merchandise. Dollar Tree was founded by J. Douglas Perry and Macon F. Brock, Jr. in 1986 and is headquartered in Chesapeake, VA.

$. DLTR price fluctuates within 2.17% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.57%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.53%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.6%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.22%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.23%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170505

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_5_2017	79.37	75.96	77.15	78.07	78.06	77.58	77.05(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-40	-19	85	2.23	61%	-0.04	31.8	1.5%	0	0.7	57	0
2	Apr_4_2017	79.4	75.88	76.87	78.36	78.36	77.82	77.67(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-50	-20	93	2.19	63%	0	33.8	1.51%	0	1.1	64	0
3	Apr_3_2017	79.4	75.75	76.47	78.14	78.34	78.54	77.72(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	30	2	91	2.42	63%	0	27.3	1.55%	0	1.2	66	0
4	Mar_31_2017	79.4	75.65	76.13	77.82	77.88	78.91	78.46(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	67	90	54	104	2.63	63%	0.01	11.7	1.54%	0	1.8	67	0
5	Mar_30_2017	79.39	75.56	75.83	77.11	77.01	78.14	79.44(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	83	100	78	97	2.89	63%	0.05	-8.1	1.55%	0	2.6	68	0

6	Mar_29_2017	79.35	75.44	75.4	76.1	75.99	76.86	78.51(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	62	80	61	63	4.47	63%	0.03	-31.1	1.54%	0	2.4	62	0
7	Mar_28_2017	79.33	75.33	74.97	75.19	75.26	75.89	76.55(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	44	60	49	27	2.56	61%	0.01	-65.3	1.51%	0	1.1	54	0
8	Mar_27_2017	79.32	75.32	74.72	74.57	74.62	75.12	76.13(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	22	50	30	-3	3.06	61%	0.04	-73.7	1.51%	0	0.6	54	0
9	Mar_24_2017	79.29	75.47	74.55	74.2	74.24	74.64	74.92(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	40	13	-29	1.89	59%	0.01	-71.6	1.49%	0	-0.3	42	0
10	Mar_23_2017	79.28	75.68	74.56	74.36	74.31	74.13	74.38(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-11	-20	-1	-40	2.05	59%	-0.01	-65.1	1.5%	0	-0.8	32	0

11	Mar_22_2017	79.29	75.84	74.66	74.59	74.64	73.84	73.98(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-70	-30	-56	1.92	51%	-0.01	-63.1	1.5%	0	-1.1	27	0
12	Mar_21_2017	79.3	76.06	74.83	74.71	74.93	74.49	73.44(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-30	-32	-55	3.12	51%	-0.03	-61.1	1.66%	0	-1.4	32	0
13	Mar_20_2017	79.32	76.37	75.02	74.86	74.98	75.44	74.3(-1.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-8	50	4	-44	3.55	51%	-0.01	-57	1.66%	0	-1.2	36	0
14	Mar_17_2017	79.33	76.65	75.18	74.91	74.85	75.36	75.7(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	13	50	33	-48	3.15	53%	0.01	-49.4	1.64%	0	-0.5	29	0
15	Mar_16_2017	79.32	76.77	75.3	74.91	74.54	74.52	75.53(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	-10	3	-74	3.59	51%	-0.01	-55	1.65%	0	-0.7	29	0

16	Mar_15_2017	79.33	76.93	75.49	74.78	74.71	74.33	74.56(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-40	-16	-82	2.58	51%	-0.03	-50	1.65%	0	-1.3	37	0
17	Mar_14_2017	79.35	77.19	75.72	74.99	75.04	74.56	74.19(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-40	-24	-88	2.07	49%	-0.01	-36.7	1.66%	0	-1.6	32	0
18	Mar_13_2017	79.36	77.38	75.98	75.2	75.3	75.09	74.58(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-20	-22	-95	3.01	49%	-0.03	-29.9	1.67%	0	-1.6	29	0
19	Mar_10_2017	79.38	77.57	76.46	75.47	75.54	75.53	75.06(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	0	-10	-87	2.57	47%	0	-24.5	1.67%	0	-1.6	30	0
20	Mar_9_2017	79.38	77.79	76.88	75.88	75.77	75.52	75.53(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-30	-15	-74	2	47%	-0.03	-11.9	1.68%	0	-1.5	42	0

21	Mar_8_2017	79.4	77.86	77.1	76.32	76.2	75.55	75.6(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-60	-28	-74	2.51	47%	0	-2.7	1.69%	0	-1.6	40	0
22	Mar_7_2017	79.4	77.87	77.4	76.57	76.77	76.02	75.22(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-51	-60	-41	-79	2.7	47%	-0.03	-4.2	1.68%	0	-1.8	35	0
23	Mar_6_2017	79.42	77.9	77.86	76.86	77.41	76.86	75.93(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-30	-35	-62	2.3	47%	-0.01	1.1	1.68%	0	-1.3	47	0
24	Mar_3_2017	79.43	77.95	78.27	77.59	77.67	77.51	77.13(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10	-30	-35	2.9	47%	-0.01	23.2	1.66%	0	-0.6	48	0
25	Mar_2_2017	79.44	77.96	78.37	78.05	78.2	77.95	77.74(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	-20	-0	-17	5.81	47%		36.1	1.67%	0	-0.2	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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