Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 9, 2017

Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar Tree)
DLTR latest price $77.1400 (0.06%) ($76.6600 - $77.3600) on Mon. Jan. 9, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.67% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $77.1400(0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   DLTR declines -3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DLTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(42%)    IWD(42%)    SDY(41%)    SPY(40%)    XLY(40%)
Factors Impacting DLTR price   DLTR will decline at least -0.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.835% (StdDev 1.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

Resistance Level   $81.06
5 Day Moving Average   $77.84(-0.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.81(-0.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.06(-4.84%)
To recent high   -14%
To recent low   4.8%
Market Cap   $18.298b

Dollar Tree, Inc. owns and operates discount variety stores offering merchandise at the fixed prices. It operates through Dollar Tree and Family Dollar segments. The company offers selection of everyday basic products and its supplement these basic, everyday items with seasonal, closeout and promotional merchandise. The merchandise mix consists of three types: Consumable, Variety categories and Seasonal merchandise. The Consumable merchandise includes candy and food, health and beauty care, and household consumables such as paper, plastics and household chemicals and in select stores, frozen and refrigerated food. The Variety categories merchandise includes toys, durable house wares, gifts, party goods, greeting cards, soft lines and other items. The Seasonal goods include Easter, Halloween and Christmas merchandise. Dollar Tree was founded by J. Douglas Perry and Macon F. Brock, Jr. in 1986 and is headquartered in Chesapeake, VA.

$. DLTR price fluctuates within 4.43% (three month std-dev: 1.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 22 Average positive next day return: 1.73%(41%) Average negative next day return: -1.67%(59%) Sample size 22 Average positive next three day return: 2.81%(45%) Average negative next three day return: -3.64%(55%) Sample size 22 Average positive next weekly return: 3.09%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.74%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_9_2017	81.11	81.06	77.81	77.84	77.93	77.32	77.14(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-50	-24	-126	2.07	39%	-0.23	-66.6	1.67%	0	-1.1	23	0
2	Jan_6_2017	81.3	81.55	78.02	77.85	78.04	78.04	77.09(-1.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-48	10	-14	-149	3.1	45%	-0.23	-63.4	1.67%	0	-1.2	21	0
3	Jan_5_2017	81.49	82.08	78.67	77.9	77.93	78.55	78.06(-1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-19	60	20	-134	2.83	43%	-0.22	-63.4	1.73%	0	-1.1	28	0
4	Jan_4_2017	81.67	82.57	79.31	77.82	77.69	78.04	79.45(2.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	30	27	-138	3.26	41%	-0.2	-65	1.73%	0	-0.8	27	0
5	Jan_3_2017	81.83	83	79.75	77.55	77.57	77.31	77.45(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-46	-20	-7	-163	2.59	37%	-0.41	-67.1	1.77%	0	-1.4	17	0

6	Dec_30_2016	82.17	83.52	80.41	77.8	77.71	77.35	77.18(-0.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-66	-40	-28	-180	1.69	40%	-0.25	-68.8	1.77%	0	-1.6	14	0
7	Dec_29_2016	82.38	84.02	81.25	78.23	78.2	77.83	77.34(-0.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-78	-30	-43	-182	1.85	38%	-0.25	-73.9	1.79%	0	-1.8	18	0
8	Dec_28_2016	82.59	84.58	82.01	79.57	79.22	78.07	77.67(-0.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-87	-110	-59	-170	1.68	38%	-0.23	-70.5	1.82%	0	-2	18	0
9	Dec_27_2016	82.78	85.19	82.87	81.06	80.74	78.56	78.12(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-112	-200	-95	-162	2.43	38%	-0.39	-54.7	1.82%	0	-2.2	18	0
10	Dec_23_2016	83.1	85.79	83.7	82.29	82.49	80.38	78.7(-0.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-117	-170	-106	-149	2.27	38%	-0.22	-38.1	1.81%	0	-2.5	18	0

11	Dec_22_2016	83.28	86.34	84.63	83.39	83.79	82.92	79.31(-5.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-87	-60	-77	-116	5.69	38%	-0.2	-19.6	1.81%	0	-3	22	0
12	Dec_21_2016	83.45	86.84	85.45	84.66	84.63	84.6	84.06(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-0	-8	-66	1.75	44%	-0.16	14.6	1.66%	0	-1.6	40	0
13	Dec_20_2016	83.58	87.08	85.82	84.8	84.87	84.6	85.09(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	-10	-6	-65	1.35	44%	-0.14	43.3	1.65%	0	-1.2	37	0
14	Dec_19_2016	83.7	86.96	86.1	85.01	85.04	84.66	84.27(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-30	-26	-76	1.76	44%	-0.14	48.5	1.65%	0	-1.4	28	0
15	Dec_16_2016	83.82	86.89	86.49	85.37	85.47	85.08	84.2(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-30	-29	-74	3.87	44%	-0.14	57.5	1.66%	0	-1.2	28	0

16	Dec_15_2016	83.94	86.81	86.87	86.09	85.97	85.42	85.7(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-50	-27	-64	2.21	46%	-0.12	70.3	1.65%	0	-0.5	35	0
17	Dec_14_2016	84.04	86.59	86.97	86.37	86.5	85.86	84.72(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-50	-37	-72	3.1	48%	-0.14	72.8	1.64%	0	-0.7	32	0
18	Dec_13_2016	84.16	86.36	87.33	86.99	86.95	86.53	86.16(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-40	-30	-57	2.28	47%	-0.12	74.8	1.64%	0	-0.1	37	0
19	Dec_12_2016	84.26	86.01	87.67	87.35	87.32	87.14	86.09(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-20	-19	-17	2.26	47%	-0.13	73.2	1.68%	0	0	68	0
20	Dec_9_2016	84.37	85.64	88.02	87.35	87.68	87.38	87.76(0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	-30	-7	26	1.68	49%	-0.08	74.8	1.66%	0	0.5	74	0

21	Dec_8_2016	84.44	85.14	88.16	87.77	87.87	87.51	87.12(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-30	-12	53	3.24	49%	-0.09	73.2	1.66%	0	0.5	74	0
22	Dec_7_2016	84.52	84.62	88.34	87.66	87.84	87.99	87.84(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	18	20	-5	87	3.8	49%	-0.09	68.3	1.66%	0	0.7	79	0
23	Dec_6_2016	84.6	84.04	88.43	87.72	87.65	88.23	87.93(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	40	9	133	2.28	49%	-0.08	66.6	1.66%	0	0.8	82	0
24	Dec_5_2016	84.67	83.44	87.9	88.07	87.78	87.69	88.2(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	44	-20	6	159	3.48	49%	-0.08	66.6	1.66%	0	0.9	84	0
25	Dec_2_2016	84.74	82.73	87.33	88.35	88.23	87.08	87.76(1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-100	-36	169	2.11	49%		64.4	1.68%	0	0.9	84	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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