Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DLTR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Nov. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar Tree)
DLTR latest price $75.8100 (0.36%) ($75.0000 - $76.0500) on Tue. Nov. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $75.8100(0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DLTR advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DLTR declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DLTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(41%)    IWD(41%)    SDY(41%)    SPY(40%)    XLY(40%)
Factors Impacting DLTR price   DLTR will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-8%)    IPO(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $72.72(-4.08%)
5 Day Moving Average   $74.88(1.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75.11(0.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.79(0.03%)
To recent high   -22.7%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $17.982b

Dollar Tree, Inc. owns and operates discount variety stores offering merchandise at the fixed prices. It operates through Dollar Tree and Family Dollar segments. The company offers selection of everyday basic products and its supplement these basic, everyday items with seasonal, closeout and promotional merchandise. The merchandise mix consists of three types: Consumable, Variety categories and Seasonal merchandise. The Consumable merchandise includes candy and food, health and beauty care, and household consumables such as paper, plastics and household chemicals and in select stores, frozen and refrigerated food. The Variety categories merchandise includes toys, durable house wares, gifts, party goods, greeting cards, soft lines and other items. The Seasonal goods include Easter, Halloween and Christmas merchandise. Dollar Tree was founded by J. Douglas Perry and Macon F. Brock, Jr. in 1986 and is headquartered in Chesapeake, VA.

$. DLTR price fluctuates within 1.46% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_8_2016	86.47	75.79	75.11	74.88	74.85	75.36	75.81(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	18	50	29	-14	2.01	30%	-0.18	-54.1	1.75%	0	0	45	INF
2	Nov_7_2016	86.63	75.86	75.1	74.69	74.75	74.51	75.54(2.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	-20	4	-31	1.87	30%	-0.2	-52.2	1.75%	0	-0.3	46	INF
3	Nov_4_2016	86.8	75.97	75.13	74.7	74.8	74.33	73.62(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-35	-40	-31	-48	1.42	25%	-0.21	-55.8	1.71%	0	-1.9	36	INF
4	Nov_3_2016	86.98	76.19	75.35	75.01	75.21	74.99	74.07(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-10	-11	-38	1.18	25%	-0.2	-55.1	1.71%	0	-1.8	35	INF
5	Nov_2_2016	87.15	76.19	75.54	75.09	75.27	75.27	75.36(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	10	-11	-47	1.11	27%	-0.17	-55.2	1.71%	0	-0.9	34	INF

6	Nov_1_2016	87.3	76.39	75.67	75.38	75.35	75.44	74.88(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	10	-2	-39	1.41	27%	-0.18	-66.4	1.71%	0	-1.4	37	INF
7	Oct_31_2016	87.46	76.48	75.82	75.57	75.62	75.26	75.55(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-30	-2	-39	1.4	27%	-0.17	-71.5	1.71%	0	-0.8	41	INF
8	Oct_28_2016	87.61	76.67	75.9	75.65	75.66	75.27	75.21(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-40	-27	-54	1.59	27%	-0.19	-67.7	1.71%	0	-1.1	36	INF
9	Oct_27_2016	87.78	76.85	76.09	75.75	75.91	75.99	74.45(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-17	10	-6	-48	2.33	27%	-0.2	-73.1	1.71%	0	-2	31	INF
10	Oct_26_2016	87.96	77.01	76.46	75.75	75.93	76.05	76.8(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	10	6	-37	2.34	29%	-0.16	-79.5	1.67%	0	-0.2	39	INF

11	Oct_25_2016	88.1	77.13	76.52	76.03	75.95	75.83	75.82(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10	-5	-33	1.65	29%	-0.17	-71.1	1.66%	0	-0.9	57	INF
12	Oct_24_2016	88.25	77.35	76.66	76.11	76.16	75.81	75.97(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-30	-13	-31	1.72	29%	-0.18	-64.6	1.66%	0	-0.9	49	INF
13	Oct_21_2016	88.41	77.55	76.85	76.21	76.36	76.06	75.71(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-20	-23	-39	2.18	29%	-0.17	-62.1	1.68%	0	-1.2	36	INF
14	Oct_20_2016	88.56	77.76	77.08	76.48	76.64	76.51	75.87(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10	-17	-34	1.66	29%	-0.17	-60.5	1.68%	0	-1.2	39	INF
15	Oct_19_2016	88.71	77.97	77.31	76.95	76.94	76.65	76.76(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-30	-11	-17	1.63	29%	-0.16	-58.9	1.68%	0	-0.8	49	INF

16	Oct_18_2016	88.85	78.13	77.18	77.1	77.25	76.76	76.25(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-40	-21	-36	2.09	29%	-0.15	-61.5	1.67%	0	-1.3	41	INF
17	Oct_17_2016	88.98	78.3	77.21	77.29	77.44	77.24	76.44(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10	-22	-48	1.3	29%	-0.15	-60.8	1.69%	0	-1.3	38	INF
18	Oct_14_2016	89.11	78.49	77.51	77.59	77.59	77.73	77.09(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	10	-2	-35	1.57	29%	-0.12	-60.9	1.69%	0	-0.9	41	INF
19	Oct_13_2016	89.22	78.69	77.68	77.77	77.7	77.64	78.23(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10	4	-34	2.19	29%	0	-55.8	1.69%	0	-0.3	44	INF
20	Oct_12_2016	89.22	78.86	77.59	77.74	77.81	77.45	77.47(0.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-11	-30	1	-48	1.09	29%	0	-53.7	1.68%	0	-0.8	41	INF

21	Oct_11_2016	89.22	79.06	77.77	77.27	77.62	77.76	77.24(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-18	30	-2	-64	2.47	29%	0.01	-65.6	1.68%	0	-1.1	41	INF
22	Oct_10_2016	89.21	79.21	78.07	77.11	77.19	78.16	77.92(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	90	20	-57	1.48	29%	0.01	-73.8	1.68%	0	-0.7	44	INF
23	Oct_7_2016	89.2	79.43	78.26	77.43	76.94	77.49	77.97(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	12	30	31	-47	1.78	29%	0.02	-70.4	1.68%	0	-0.8	42	INF
24	Oct_6_2016	89.18	79.61	78.46	77.62	77.14	76.22	78.09(3.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-23	-100	-10	-63	5.66	29%	0.02	-71.6	1.68%	0	-0.8	39	INF
25	Oct_5_2016	89.16	79.79	78.65	77.47	77.52	76.39	75.12(-1.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-86	-100	-79	-107	4.95	20%		-74.5	1.59%	0	-2.5	23	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.