Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 2, 2016

Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar Tree)
DLTR latest price $96.2300 (-0.9%) ($95.7100 - $97.4100) on Tue. Aug. 2, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $96.2300(-0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DLTR declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DLTR advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DLTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(41%)    IWD(41%)    SDY(41%)    SPY(40%)    XLY(40%)
Factors Impacting DLTR price   DLTR will decline at least -1% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    IPO(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1% (StdDev 2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $96.29(-0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $96.1(0.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $95.51(0.75%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   27.7%
Market Cap   $22.826b

Dollar Tree, Inc. owns and operates discount variety stores offering merchandise at the fixed prices. It operates through Dollar Tree and Family Dollar segments. The company offers selection of everyday basic products and its supplement these basic, everyday items with seasonal, closeout and promotional merchandise. The merchandise mix consists of three types: Consumable, Variety categories and Seasonal merchandise. The Consumable merchandise includes candy and food, health and beauty care, and household consumables such as paper, plastics and household chemicals and in select stores, frozen and refrigerated food. The Variety categories merchandise includes toys, durable house wares, gifts, party goods, greeting cards, soft lines and other items. The Seasonal goods include Easter, Halloween and Christmas merchandise. Dollar Tree was founded by J. Douglas Perry and Macon F. Brock, Jr. in 1986 and is headquartered in Chesapeake, VA.

$. DLTR price fluctuates within 0.84% (three month std-dev: 2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.44%(80%) Average negative next day return: -0.33%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.85%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -0.78%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.82%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.61%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160902

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_2_2016	86.53	95.51	96.1	96.29	96.41	96.93	96.23(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	40	7	23	1.84	62%	0.19	72.6	2%	0	0.9	61	INF
2	Aug_1_2016	86.37	95.45	96.02	96.38	96.28	96.71	97.1(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	30	24	35	1.51	62%	0.2	90.5	2%	0	2.1	66	INF
3	Jul_29_2016	86.2	95.28	95.87	96.23	96.15	95.89	96.29(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-20	1	26	0.99	62%	0.2	101.2	2.01%	0	1.3	59	INF
4	Jul_28_2016	86.03	95.18	95.68	96.2	96.14	95.86	96.12(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-20	-10	20	1.26	58%	0.23	113.8	2.01%	0	1.2	56	INF
5	Jul_27_2016	85.83	95.09	95.57	95.91	96.11	96.41	95.72(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	30	5	22	1.39	58%	0.23	120.3	2.04%	0	0.8	57	INF

6	Jul_26_2016	85.63	94.93	95.45	95.86	95.78	96.42	96.65(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	40	21	26	1.16	58%	0.23	93.9	2.04%	0	1.8	61	INF
7	Jul_25_2016	85.43	94.73	95.22	95.6	95.5	95.82	96.39(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	20	21	20	0.96	58%	0.22	84.5	2.04%	0	1.7	59	INF
8	Jul_22_2016	85.24	94.51	95.06	95.47	95.27	95.15	96.13(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	6	-20	3	14	1.69	58%	0.22	76.1	2.04%	0	1.5	65	INF
9	Jul_21_2016	85.05	94.32	95.06	95.11	95.22	95.19	94.66(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	0	-6	7	1.2	58%	0.19	68.1	2.04%	0	0.3	54	INF
10	Jul_20_2016	84.89	94.19	94.94	95.18	95.27	95.39	95.45(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	10	8	15	1.51	58%	0.17	67.7	2.04%	0	1.1	58	INF

11	Jul_19_2016	84.75	94.05	94.88	94.96	95.13	95.25	95.36(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	10	7	18	1.2	58%	0.18	72.7	2.05%	0	1.1	70	INF
12	Jul_18_2016	84.6	93.91	94.83	94.77	94.98	95.15	95.73(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	20	7	22	1.75	58%	0.17	78.1	2.04%	0	1.5	70	INF
13	Jul_15_2016	84.46	93.7	94.64	94.6	94.85	95.01	94.34(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	20	3	23	1.5	60%	0.15	75.2	2.04%	0	0.5	68	INF
14	Jul_14_2016	84.33	93.58	94.63	94.75	94.88	94.8	95(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-0	2	31	1.45	60%	0.15	75.6	2.05%	0	1.1	68	INF
15	Jul_13_2016	84.2	93.39	94.57	94.68	94.96	94.69	94.36(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10	-7	34	0.87	60%	0.15	70.2	2.05%	0	0.7	68	INF

16	Jul_12_2016	84.07	93.19	94.39	94.78	94.93	94.97	94.44(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	10	-7	36	1.41	60%	0.15	61	2.05%	0	0.8	62	INF
17	Jul_11_2016	83.94	92.98	94.22	94.88	94.92	95.23	94.87(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	20	13	47	1.08	60%	0.19	59.2	2.05%	0	1.2	65	INF
18	Jul_8_2016	83.78	92.8	93.94	94.67	94.73	94.89	95.08(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	10	13	45	2.08	60%	0.19	57.8	2.06%	0	1.5	71	INF
19	Jul_7_2016	83.62	92.64	93.67	94.5	94.45	94.61	94.63(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	10	2	40	1.01	60%	0.17	61.1	2.07%	0	1.4	67	INF
20	Jul_6_2016	83.48	92.48	93.4	94.46	94.42	94.57	94.86(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	10	16	48	1.65	60%	0.2	67.1	2.07%	0	1.7	72	INF

21	Jul_5_2016	83.31	92.29	93.17	93.95	94.13	94.57	94.98(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	20	20	11	45	1.83	56%	0.24	64	2.07%	0	2.1	76	INF
22	Jul_1_2016	83.11	92.06	92.9	93.46	93.7	94.28	93.78(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	50	20	48	1.44	56%	0.25	67.7	2.08%	0	1.5	72	INF
23	Jun_30_2016	82.9	91.92	92.68	93.08	93.12	93.98	94.24(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	39	70	36	49	1.79	58%	0.23	73.5	2.07%	0	2.1	64	INF
24	Jun_29_2016	82.71	91.75	92.43	92.71	92.37	93.11	94.42(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	33	50	30	40	1.78	58%	0.24	132.4	2.09%	0	2.8	60	INF
25	Jun_28_2016	82.51	91.56	92.08	92.21	92.05	92.26	92.31(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	10	16	25	2.12	59%		232.5	2.07%	0	1	54	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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