Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar Tree)
DLTR latest price $80.6400 (-0.4%) ($79.5800 - $80.9525) on Thu. Apr. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.8% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $80.6400(-0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DLTR declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DLTR advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DLTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(41%)    IWD(41%)    SDY(41%)    SPY(40%)    XLY(40%)
Factors Impacting DLTR price   DLTR will decline at least -0.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-8%)    GDXJ(-3%)    IPO(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.9% (StdDev 1.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $80.86
5 Day Moving Average   $81.57(-1.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.44(-0.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.86(-0.27%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $19.128b

Dollar Tree, Inc. owns and operates discount variety stores offering merchandise at the fixed prices. It operates through Dollar Tree and Family Dollar segments. The company offers selection of everyday basic products and its supplement these basic, everyday items with seasonal, closeout and promotional merchandise. The merchandise mix consists of three types: Consumable, Variety categories and Seasonal merchandise. The Consumable merchandise includes candy and food, health and beauty care, and household consumables such as paper, plastics and household chemicals and in select stores, frozen and refrigerated food. The Variety categories merchandise includes toys, durable house wares, gifts, party goods, greeting cards, soft lines and other items. The Seasonal goods include Easter, Halloween and Christmas merchandise. Dollar Tree was founded by J. Douglas Perry and Macon F. Brock, Jr. in 1986 and is headquartered in Chesapeake, VA.

$. DLTR price fluctuates within 1.6% (three month std-dev: 1.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2016	78.13	80.86	81.44	81.57	81.18	80.48	80.64(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-12	-70	-24	26	2.72	52%	0.19	83.8	1.8%	0	-0.2	52	INF
2	Apr_6_2016	77.98	80.68	81.3	81.93	81.8	80.8	80.96(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-30	-90	-45	17	1.8	52%	0.22	70.3	1.83%	0	0.2	48	INF
3	Apr_5_2016	77.81	80.46	81.13	82.38	82.34	81.89	80.4(-2.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-19	-40	-33	25	2.36	52%	0.24	52.4	1.83%	0	-0	48	INF
4	Apr_4_2016	77.62	80.3	81.15	82.57	82.67	82.79	82.54(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	20	10	11	46	2.05	56%	0.27	43.3	1.8%	0	1.1	56	INF
5	Apr_1_2016	77.41	80.08	80.89	82.23	82.27	82.8	83.31(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	50	32	47	2.03	56%	0.23	32.4	1.82%	0	1.6	63	INF

6	Mar_31_2016	77.23	79.78	80.58	81.27	81.51	82.55	82.46(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	100	49	35	2.18	56%	0.21	8.4	1.83%	0	1.4	62	INF
7	Mar_30_2016	77.07	79.59	80.44	80.57	80.49	81.73	83.2(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	55	100	59	41	2.68	56%	0.22	-8.8	1.82%	0	2	75	INF
8	Mar_29_2016	76.9	79.5	80.2	79.74	79.7	80.46	81.35(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	40	70	42	34	1.51	54%	0.18	-22.4	1.8%	0	1.1	74	INF
9	Mar_28_2016	76.76	79.43	80.14	79.56	79.33	79.25	80.84(2.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-20	9	33	2.1	54%	0.3	-30.3	1.81%	0	0.9	67	INF
10	Mar_24_2016	76.53	79.45	80.05	79.39	79.43	78.94	78.52(-0.56%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-14	-40	-26	23	1.3	51%	0.16	-25.7	1.77%	0	-0.5	52	INF

11	Mar_23_2016	76.41	79.62	80.2	79.77	79.86	79.41	78.96(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-11	-40	-28	41	1.25	51%	0.16	-12.4	1.77%	0	-0.4	58	INF
12	Mar_22_2016	76.29	79.75	80.03	80.27	80.26	79.92	79.01(-1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-30	-23	49	1.58	51%	0.17	-3	1.78%	0	-0.4	52	INF
13	Mar_21_2016	76.16	79.88	79.78	80.7	80.61	80.31	80.46(0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-30	-13	41	1.58	53%	0.21	11.2	1.77%	0	0.3	44	INF
14	Mar_18_2016	76	79.93	79.43	80.7	80.81	80.59	80.02(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-20	-8	33	2.51	53%	0.2	28.3	1.77%	0	0	49	INF
15	Mar_17_2016	75.85	79.9	79.27	80.8	80.76	80.92	80.42(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	10	2	25	1.9	50%	0.24	43.2	1.77%	0	0.3	46	INF

16	Mar_16_2016	75.67	79.85	78.98	80.68	80.59	81.02	81.43(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	30	33	16	1.95	50%	0.25	51.9	1.8%	0	0.8	46	INF
17	Mar_15_2016	75.48	79.8	78.68	79.74	80.07	80.6	81.18(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	31	60	45	-12	1.98	50%	0.24	52.1	1.82%	0	0.7	47	INF
18	Mar_14_2016	75.3	79.67	78.7	78.7	78.97	80.16	80.96(1.17%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	26	120	46	-35	1.94	50%	0.25	44.3	1.82%	0	0.7	47	INF
19	Mar_11_2016	75.11	79.4	78.59	77.87	77.94	79.53	80.02(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	35	150	64	-52	2.62	50%	0.21	26.5	1.83%	0	0.3	44	INF
20	Mar_10_2016	74.95	79.1	78.7	77.54	77.25	77.78	79.82(4.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	23	40	50	-59	3.97	50%	0.21	13.1	1.84%	0	0.3	52	INF

21	Mar_9_2016	74.79	78.88	78.9	77.07	77	76.35	76.73(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-60	-22	-92	2.04	46%	0.17	-0.3	1.77%	0	-0.8	44	INF
22	Mar_8_2016	74.66	78.88	79.4	77.48	77.3	76.73	75.96(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-68	-60	-59	-95	2.63	46%	0.17	-6.8	1.77%	0	-1.1	37	INF
23	Mar_7_2016	74.53	78.84	79.99	78.69	78.21	77.65	76.82(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-70	-30	-45	2.91	46%	0.19	-5.2	1.78%	0	-0.7	48	INF
24	Mar_4_2016	74.39	78.85	80.5	79.38	79.01	77.88	78.39(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-110	-47	-12	3.25	52%	0.22	-6.1	1.77%	0	-0.2	62	INF
25	Mar_3_2016	74.23	78.78	80.64	80.03	79.76	78.78	77.45(-1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-46	-100	-67	17	4.37	50%		-3.1	1.84%	0	-0.5	65	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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