Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DLTR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 29, 2015

Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar Tree)
DLTR latest price $78.0200 (1.01%) ($77.4300 - $78.6000) on Tue. Dec. 29, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.03% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $78.0200(1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DLTR advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DLTR declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DLTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(41%)    IWD(41%)    SDY(41%)    SPY(40%)    XLY(40%)
Factors Impacting DLTR price   DLTR will decline at least -1.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    GDXJ(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.015% (StdDev 2.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $77.37(0.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.26(0.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $77.23(1.02%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   27.1%
Market Cap   $18.506b

Dollar Tree, Inc. owns and operates discount variety stores offering merchandise at the fixed prices. It operates through Dollar Tree and Family Dollar segments. The company offers selection of everyday basic products and its supplement these basic, everyday items with seasonal, closeout and promotional merchandise. The merchandise mix consists of three types: Consumable, Variety categories and Seasonal merchandise. The Consumable merchandise includes candy and food, health and beauty care, and household consumables such as paper, plastics and household chemicals and in select stores, frozen and refrigerated food. The Variety categories merchandise includes toys, durable house wares, gifts, party goods, greeting cards, soft lines and other items. The Seasonal goods include Easter, Halloween and Christmas merchandise. Dollar Tree was founded by J. Douglas Perry and Macon F. Brock, Jr. in 1986 and is headquartered in Chesapeake, VA.

$. DLTR price fluctuates within 1.53% (three month std-dev: 2.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.67%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.45%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.36%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -1.99%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.43%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.01%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160129

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_29_2015	70.45	77.23	77.26	77.37	77.37	77.38	78.02(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	11	0	16	-4	1.32	39%	0	69.3	2.03%	0	0.7	43	INF
2	Dec_28_2015	70.45	77.11	77.22	77.14	77.26	76.91	77.24(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	-30	-6	-20	1.47	37%	-0.1	88.1	2.09%	0	0.1	45	INF
3	Dec_24_2015	70.52	77.01	77.14	76.91	77.12	77.36	76.68(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	30	-1	-25	0.81	37%	-0.03	107.7	2.09%	0	-0.3	49	INF
4	Dec_23_2015	70.54	76.93	77.26	76.89	76.82	77.61	77.04(-1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	8	70	13	-8	2.04	37%	-0.01	131.5	2.09%	0	0.1	61	INF
5	Dec_22_2015	70.55	76.8	77.39	77.26	76.83	76.88	77.86(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10	19	9	2.25	39%	0.01	160	2.09%	0	0.7	56	INF

6	Dec_21_2015	70.54	76.42	77.52	77.16	77.02	76.04	76.9(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-19	-90	-25	1	2.38	39%	-0.03	127.1	2.1%	0	0.2	54	INF
7	Dec_18_2015	70.56	76.03	77.68	77.32	77.37	76.79	76.09(-0.64%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-24	-50	-35	11	3.92	39%	-0.01	113.3	2.1%	0	0	54	INF
8	Dec_17_2015	70.57	75.63	77.82	77.39	77.72	78	76.58(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	40	2	35	2.59	39%	-0.01	95.5	2.12%	0	0.3	56	INF
9	Dec_16_2015	70.58	75.17	77.62	77.64	77.43	77.95	78.87(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	40	14	44	2.09	44%	0.01	86.3	2.08%	0	1	64	INF
10	Dec_15_2015	70.57	74.47	77.34	77.55	77.38	77.45	77.34(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	15	-0	4	46	2.86	44%	-0.01	71.9	2.08%	0	0.7	63	INF

11	Dec_14_2015	70.58	73.79	77.21	77.98	77.68	76.9	77.71(1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-80	-17	70	2.8	44%	-0.01	62	2.09%	0	0.8	76	INF
12	Dec_11_2015	70.59	73.05	77	78.13	78.08	77.3	76.45(-1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-70	-33	94	3.7	44%	-0.01	53.2	2.09%	0	0.6	76	INF
13	Dec_10_2015	70.6	72.57	76.89	78.29	78.32	78.46	77.81(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	10	6	145	2.99	42%	-0.03	52.8	2.08%	0	0.9	83	INF
14	Dec_9_2015	70.62	72	76.61	77.54	77.87	78.86	78.45(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	70	100	35	173	2.44	42%	-0.01	48.9	2.11%	0	1.2	86	INF
15	Dec_8_2015	70.63	71.45	76.18	77.06	76.95	78.18	79.48(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	89	110	49	209	3.58	42%	-0.03	48.6	2.11%	0	1.5	91	INF

16	Dec_7_2015	70.65	70.83	75.21	76.36	76.3	76.88	78.45(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	86	50	40	222	3.98	42%	-0.04	49.3	2.11%	0	1.5	92	INF
17	Dec_4_2015	70.68	70.27	74.23	75.76	75.94	75.73	77.24(4.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	64	-10	10	227	4.48	42%	-0.07	51.8	2.12%	0	1.5	92	INF
18	Dec_3_2015	70.73	69.76	73.25	75.33	75.65	75.72	74.09(-2.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	48	20	-11	226	4.58	37%	-0.11	56	2.06%	0	1	68	INF
19	Dec_2_2015	70.81	69.4	72.56	75.5	75.57	76.14	76.04(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	81	60	23	254	1.91	37%	-0.1	62.6	2.04%	0	1.5	74	INF
20	Dec_1_2015	70.88	68.95	71.41	75.12	75.25	75.58	75.97(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	97	40	47	245	2.77	32%	-0.08	70.4	2.07%	0	1.7	68	INF

21	Nov_30_2015	70.94	68.43	70.12	73.84	74.14	74.99	75.46(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	73	90	38	176	4.62	32%	-0.07	70.1	2.33%	0	1.9	67	INF
22	Nov_27_2015	70.99	67.91	68.8	72.43	72.65	74.91	75.08(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	93	230	76	144	1.47	32%	-0.17	69.7	2.33%	0	2.1	65	INF
23	Nov_25_2015	71.11	67.37	67.89	70.84	70.96	73.3	74.93(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	107	240	104	116	3.66	37%	-0.08	64	2.42%	0	2.5	66	INF
24	Nov_24_2015	71.17	66.79	66.97	69.18	69	70.39	74.16(6.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	78	130	80	70	9.94	36%	-0.07	56	2.42%	0	2.9	66	INF
25	Nov_23_2015	71.22	66.21	66.24	67.2	67.43	68.62	69.55(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	47	130	56	20	6.28	29%		41.4	2.31%	0	1.7	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.