Trading Signals: DISCA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 18, 2018

Trading Signals: DISCA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 28, 2016 - Fri. Apr. 1, 2022)

(Discovery Inc)
DISCA latest price $25.5900 (3.6%) ($24.5900 - $25.7750) on Thu. Jan. 18, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.84% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $25.5900(3.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DISCA advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DISCA advances 4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DISCA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(56%)    IWN(51%)    IWC(48%)    SDY(48%)    IVE(47%)
Factors Impacting DISCA price   DISCA will decline at least -1.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-12%)    TIP(-12%)    BNDX(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.42% (StdDev 2.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.63(3.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.49(8.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.18(10.4%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   57.2%
Market Cap   $12.539b

$. DISCA price fluctuates within 4.49% (three month std-dev: 2.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.36%(75%) Average negative next day return: -4.24%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.93%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.66%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 9.9%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.82%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_18_2018	20.42	23.18	23.49	24.63	24.61	24.9	25.59(3.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	47	80	26	108	5.1	69%	0.15	105.1	2.84%	0	2.3	64	-INF
2	Jan_17_2018	20.39	22.98	23.18	24.08	24.19	24.59	24.7(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	130	30	75	5.12	68%	0.1	117	2.82%	0	2	56	INF
3	Jan_16_2018	20.37	22.79	23	23.47	23.57	24.33	24.53(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	240	30	38	5.53	68%	0	112.5	2.82%	0	2.1	53	INF
4	Jan_12_2018	20.37	22.57	22.77	23.04	22.94	23.79	24.33(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	30	250	37	10	4.08	65%	0.1	98.9	2.81%	0	2.1	55	INF
5	Jan_11_2018	20.35	22.35	22.57	22.57	22.45	22.81	24.01(5.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	17	100	28	-16	7.53	63%	0.05	76.2	2.85%	0	1.8	60	INF

6	Jan_10_2018	20.34	22.14	22.46	22.2	22.09	22.09	22.83(5.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10	1	-39	10.07	61%	0.05	58.3	2.8%	0	0.7	57	INF
7	Jan_9_2018	20.33	21.99	22.51	22.15	22.13	22.1	21.65(-3.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10	-12	-32	5.59	57%	-0.05	47	2.73%	0	-0.3	53	INF
8	Jan_8_2018	20.34	21.9	22.72	22.15	22.36	22.08	22.37(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-100	-4	10	4.1	59%	0	51	2.72%	0	0.4	64	INF
9	Jan_5_2018	20.34	21.77	22.82	22.45	22.56	22.17	22(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-110	-14	36	8.5	59%	0	49.9	2.72%	0	0.2	69	INF
10	Jan_4_2018	20.34	21.65	22.87	22.56	22.7	22.64	22.13(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	0	-13	68	7.88	59%	-0.05	51.6	2.72%	0	0.3	71	INF

11	Jan_3_2018	20.35	21.55	22.88	22.74	22.8	22.95	22.62(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	50	-4	107	5.29	59%	0	59	2.7%	0	0.7	76	INF
12	Jan_2_2018	20.35	21.45	22.79	22.93	22.91	22.76	23.11(3.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	32	-50	-4	140	5.03	59%	-0.1	73.3	2.69%	0	1.1	79	INF
13	Dec_29_2017	20.37	21.27	22.6	23.06	23.09	22.65	22.38(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	28	-130	-17	164	2.89	58%	-0.05	84.6	2.66%	0	0.7	78	INF
14	Dec_28_2017	20.38	21.11	22.39	23.25	23.33	23.07	22.55(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	40	-70	-10	191	4.68	58%	-0.05	91.4	2.66%	0	0.9	80	INF
15	Dec_27_2017	20.39	20.93	22.14	23.22	23.48	23.54	23.05(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	60	50	10	208	4.23	58%	-0.05	95.8	2.65%	0	1.3	87	INF

16	Dec_26_2017	20.4	20.67	21.81	23.01	23.18	23.58	23.57(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	68	140	22	206	3.73	58%	-0.2	92.4	2.63%	0	1.8	85	INF
17	Dec_22_2017	20.44	20.37	21.43	22.62	22.71	23.41	23.73(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	74	230	37	183	4.75	58%	-0.1	83.3	2.61%	0	2	70	INF
18	Dec_21_2017	20.46	20.05	21.01	22.08	22.18	22.77	23.36(4.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	74	200	45	159	12.8	58%	-0.05	85	2.6%	0	2.2	76	INF
19	Dec_20_2017	20.47	19.76	20.61	21.42	21.6	22	22.37(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	56	150	34	122	7.44	55%	-0.1	84.2	2.55%	0	1.9	75	INF
20	Dec_19_2017	20.49	19.51	20.31	20.9	21.02	21.59	22.01(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	48	210	32	95	5.94	55%	-0.15	79.3	2.54%	0	1.9	75	INF

21	Dec_18_2017	20.52	19.27	20.08	20.43	20.48	21.19	21.64(2.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	48	250	34	88	6.67	54%	-0.24	74.6	2.53%	0	1.9	78	INF
22	Dec_15_2017	20.57	19.06	19.97	20.06	20.05	20.46	21.04(4.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	47	140	29	100	19.06	53%	-0.24	72.3	2.53%	0	1.7	78	INF
23	Dec_14_2017	20.62	18.84	19.8	19.78	19.73	19.76	20.04(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	0	7	99	4.29	50%	-0.34	64.9	2.47%	0	1	75	INF
24	Dec_13_2017	20.69	18.68	19.71	19.68	19.66	19.65	19.79(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10	2	107	5.52	50%	-0.29	59	2.47%	0	0.9	69	INF
25	Dec_12_2017	20.75	18.51	19.62	19.61	19.61	19.71	19.65(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	30	40	-1	123	4.49	50%		50.7	2.47%	0	0.9	72	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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