Trading Signals: DIS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 2, 2016

Trading Signals: DIS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Walt Disney)
DIS latest price $92.6324 (-0.67%) ($92.0690 - $93.4251) on Wed. Mar. 2, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.71% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $92.6324(-0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DIS advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIS advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(67%)    IWD(67%)    PEJ(67%)    SPY(66%)    IWM(64%)
Factors Impacting DIS price   DIS will decline at least -0.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-13%)    IPO(-4%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.855% (StdDev 1.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $91.89(0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $91.57(1.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $90.14(2.77%)
To recent high   -14.8%
To recent low   9.2%
Market Cap   $164.978b

The Walt Disney Co. is a diversified international family entertainment and media enterprise. It operates through the following segments: Media Networks, Parks, Experiences and Products, Studio Entertainment and Direct-to-Consumer and International (DTCI). The Media Networks segment includes cable and broadcast television networks, television production and distribution operations, domestic television stations, radio networks and stations. The Parks, Experiences and Products segment owns and operates the Walt Disney World Resort in Florida; the Disneyland Resort in California; Aulani, a Disney Resort & Spa in Hawaii; the Disney Vacation Club; the Disney Cruise Line; and Adventures by Disney. The Studio Entertainment segment produces and acquires live-action and animated motion pictures, direct-to-video content, musical recordings and live stage plays. This segment distributes films primarily under the Walt Disney Pictures, Pixar, Marvel, Lucasfilm and Touchstone banners. The DTCI segment licenses the company's trade names, characters and visual and literary properties to various manufacturers, game developers, publishers and retailers throughout the world. It also develops and publishes games, primarily for mobile platforms, and books, magazines and comic books. This segment also distributes branded merchandise directly through retail, online and wholesale businesses. The Walt Disney was founded by Walter Elias Disney on October 16, 1923 and is headquartered in Burbank, CA.

$. DIS price fluctuates within 2.37% (three month std-dev: 1.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.81%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.11%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.34%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -0.66%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.42%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.13%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160402

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_2_2016	100.34	90.14	91.57	91.89	91.95	92.59	92.63(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	50	34	94	6.5	41%	-0.09	24.1	1.71%	0	1.2	83	INF
2	Mar_1_2016	100.43	89.95	91.41	91.59	91.53	91.81	93.25(2.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	20	28	98	7.14	43%	-0.08	14.3	1.71%	0	1.6	65	INF
3	Feb_29_2016	100.51	89.95	90.96	91.16	91.07	91.3	91.22(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	19	10	-2	82	7.79	40%	-0.09	8.8	1.69%	0	0.7	62	INF
4	Feb_26_2016	100.6	89.8	90.58	91.32	91.16	91.25	91.02(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	0	10	81	5.28	38%	-0.09	8.8	1.72%	0	0.6	54	INF
5	Feb_25_2016	100.69	89.71	90.14	91.26	91.33	90.83	91.34(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	12	-40	-4	58	4.56	38%	-0.07	7	1.74%	0	0.8	49	INF

6	Feb_24_2016	100.76	89.63	89.53	91.17	91.25	91.07	91.13(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-13	-10	-26	28	6.95	38%	-0.08	10	1.74%	0	0.8	50	INF
7	Feb_23_2016	100.84	89.65	89.22	91.19	91.45	91.83	91.09(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	40	22	45	6.25	38%	-0.07	14.9	1.74%	0	0.7	56	INF
8	Feb_22_2016	100.91	89.65	88.9	90.71	91.17	91.44	92.03(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	40	39	32	6.98	38%	-0.06	11.2	1.74%	0	1.2	51	INF
9	Feb_19_2016	100.97	89.63	88.61	89.72	90.28	91.07	90.73(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	80	33	2	6.84	38%	-0.07	-7.8	1.74%	0	0.6	47	INF
10	Feb_18_2016	101.04	89.57	88.6	88.82	89.29	90.91	90.88(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	66	140	85	9	8.77	39%	-0.07	-30.3	1.74%	0	0.7	53	INF

11	Feb_17_2016	101.11	89.45	88.55	87.61	87.67	89.49	91.2(2.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	61	150	86	-14	12.61	39%	-0.03	-67	1.76%	0	0.9	52	INF
12	Feb_16_2016	101.14	89.36	88.29	87.01	86.12	87.66	88.73(1.93%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	34	90	61	-49	9.05	37%	0.01	-90.2	1.72%	0	-0.3	42	INF
13	Feb_12_2016	101.13	89.41	88.47	86.85	85.77	85.85	87.05(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	-30	27	-69	10.79	35%	-0.08	-105.2	1.69%	0	-1.2	40	INF
14	Feb_11_2016	101.21	89.78	88.91	87.38	85.97	84.57	86.24(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-79	-160	-71	-102	17.52	35%	-0.11	-89.8	1.68%	0	-1.7	35	INF
15	Feb_10_2016	101.32	90.17	89.24	88.36	87.32	85.69	84.85(-3.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-97	-170	-97	-95	32.65	35%	-0.13	-81.4	1.66%	0	-2.5	41	INF

16	Feb_9_2016	101.45	90.77	89.81	89.56	89.03	87.36	88.16(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-62	-150	-65	-52	19.24	37%	-0.1	-63	1.61%	0	-1.2	52	INF
17	Feb_8_2016	101.55	91.12	90.19	89.71	89.76	88.96	87.97(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-62	-60	-69	-42	13.75	37%	-0.1	-64.3	1.62%	0	-1.3	47	INF
18	Feb_5_2016	101.65	91.46	90.51	90.29	90.18	90.69	89.67(-1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	40	-4	2	8.9	41%	-0.09	-68.8	1.64%	0	-0.8	51	INF
19	Feb_4_2016	101.74	91.72	90.79	90.66	90.33	90.57	91.13(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	10	35	18	8.35	39%	-0.08	-75	1.63%	0	-0.2	42	INF
20	Feb_3_2016	101.82	91.94	90.66	90.29	90.21	89.68	90.86(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-40	-10	-23	10.88	39%	-0.07	-86.3	1.64%	0	-0.4	43	INF

21	Feb_2_2016	101.89	92.2	90.43	90.14	90.16	90.1	88.93(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-0	-36	-69	7.24	37%	-0.1	-93.5	1.62%	0	-1.2	33	INF
22	Feb_1_2016	101.99	92.66	90.54	90.74	90.58	90.74	90.87(-0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-5	10	13	-57	7.03	39%	-0.09	-87.2	1.61%	0	-0.6	40	INF
23	Jan_29_2016	102.08	93.11	90.42	90.77	90.73	90.22	91.51(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	-40	-13	-87	8.21	39%	-0.06	-87.3	1.61%	0	-0.5	43	INF
24	Jan_28_2016	102.14	93.58	90.68	90.97	90.97	90.42	89.32(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	-40	-38	-97	7.31	36%	-0.08	-76.2	1.58%	0	-1.3	37	INF
25	Jan_27_2016	102.22	94.21	91.14	91.07	91.54	91.25	90.07(-2.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-19	-10	4	-86	6.33	36%		-69.3	1.58%	0	-1.1	37	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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