Trading Signals: DIS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 11, 2015

Trading Signals: DIS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Walt Disney)
DIS latest price $110.5648 (-0.77%) ($110.4794 - $111.5706) on Wed. Nov. 11, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.56% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $110.5648(-0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DIS advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIS advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(67%)    IWD(67%)    PEJ(67%)    SPY(67%)    IWM(64%)
Factors Impacting DIS price   DIS will decline at least -0.78% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.78% (StdDev 1.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $109.89(0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $109.33(1.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $107.61(2.75%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   22.2%
Market Cap   $196.916b

The Walt Disney Co. is a diversified international family entertainment and media enterprise. It operates through the following segments: Media Networks, Parks, Experiences and Products, Studio Entertainment and Direct-to-Consumer and International (DTCI). The Media Networks segment includes cable and broadcast television networks, television production and distribution operations, domestic television stations, radio networks and stations. The Parks, Experiences and Products segment owns and operates the Walt Disney World Resort in Florida; the Disneyland Resort in California; Aulani, a Disney Resort & Spa in Hawaii; the Disney Vacation Club; the Disney Cruise Line; and Adventures by Disney. The Studio Entertainment segment produces and acquires live-action and animated motion pictures, direct-to-video content, musical recordings and live stage plays. This segment distributes films primarily under the Walt Disney Pictures, Pixar, Marvel, Lucasfilm and Touchstone banners. The DTCI segment licenses the company's trade names, characters and visual and literary properties to various manufacturers, game developers, publishers and retailers throughout the world. It also develops and publishes games, primarily for mobile platforms, and books, magazines and comic books. This segment also distributes branded merchandise directly through retail, online and wholesale businesses. The Walt Disney was founded by Walter Elias Disney on October 16, 1923 and is headquartered in Burbank, CA.

$. DIS price fluctuates within 2.73% (three month std-dev: 1.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 1.22%(47%) Average negative next day return: -0.8%(53%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 2.01%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.42%(60%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 2.44%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.77%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_11_2015	103.96	107.61	109.33	109.89	110.34	110.86	110.56(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	50	40	54	6.38	54%	0.02	80.6	1.56%	0	1	63	0
2	Nov_10_2015	103.94	107.12	109.11	109.27	109.37	110.41	111.42(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	70	33	52	8.24	55%	0.05	75.3	1.6%	0	1.4	75	0
3	Nov_9_2015	103.89	106.61	108.75	108.91	108.83	109.81	110.47(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	55	60	52	65	9.32	55%	0.04	75.3	1.61%	0	1.2	74	0
4	Nov_6_2015	103.85	106.14	108.46	108.65	108.67	108.34	109.76(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-20	22	61	16.8	53%	0.03	75.3	1.61%	0	1.1	74	0
5	Nov_5_2015	103.82	105.67	108.21	108.28	108.51	107.86	107.22(-0.22%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-25	-40	-47	43	14.84	42%	0.02	73.4	1.6%	0	0.5	72	0

6	Nov_4_2015	103.8	105.29	108.26	108.67	108.85	109	107.46(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	10	-7	69	20.74	42%	0.03	73.6	1.96%	0	0.6	75	0
7	Nov_3_2015	103.77	104.85	108	108.88	108.94	109.16	109.63(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	20	20	96	7.13	45%	0.05	74	1.95%	0	1.2	90	0
8	Nov_2_2015	103.72	104.29	107.48	108.54	108.6	108.71	109.16(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	29	10	7	96	6.95	45%	0.06	77.7	1.95%	0	1.3	83	0
9	Oct_30_2015	103.66	103.76	106.96	108.25	108.34	108.72	107.93(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	30	12	104	8.5	45%	0.03	82.4	1.94%	0	1.1	82	0
10	Oct_29_2015	103.63	103.26	106.47	108.13	108.02	108.48	109.16(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	46	30	22	116	6.13	46%	0.06	84.4	1.94%	0	1.5	90	0

11	Oct_28_2015	103.57	102.66	105.79	107.79	107.69	107.96	108.5(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	50	10	25	124	6.45	46%	0.06	87.3	1.94%	0	1.5	91	0
12	Oct_27_2015	103.51	102.08	105	106.98	107.22	107.56	107.96(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	46	30	22	118	5.86	46%	0.05	81.3	1.94%	0	1.5	92	0
13	Oct_26_2015	103.46	101.41	104.31	106.24	106.49	107.42	107.72(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	56	70	34	120	5.73	46%	0.04	71.3	1.94%	0	1.6	88	0
14	Oct_23_2015	103.42	100.7	103.62	105.47	105.72	106.87	107.31(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	76	80	59	126	7.93	46%	0.03	63.4	1.94%	0	1.7	87	0
15	Oct_22_2015	103.39	100.08	102.89	104.55	104.67	105.56	107.46(2.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	67	60	50	116	10.03	46%	0.03	57.3	1.94%	0	2.1	89	0

16	Oct_21_2015	103.36	99.46	102.05	103.53	103.77	104.57	104.46(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	58	60	42	104	8.78	43%	0	50.8	1.91%	0	1.6	87	0
17	Oct_20_2015	103.36	99.04	101.42	102.7	102.96	103.78	104.23(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	55	60	41	95	9.67	43%	-0.01	43.7	1.91%	0	1.7	87	0
18	Oct_19_2015	103.37	98.67	100.84	102.09	102.07	102.97	103.88(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	53	60	38	97	8	43%	0	40	1.91%	0	1.9	90	0
19	Oct_16_2015	103.37	98.35	100.29	101.49	101.44	102.14	102.71(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	55	50	38	104	5.91	43%	-0.02	37.7	1.9%	0	1.8	90	0
20	Oct_15_2015	103.39	98.07	99.79	100.98	100.97	101.17	102.38(2.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	44	10	25	99	6.74	43%	-0.02	31.9	1.9%	0	1.9	76	0

21	Oct_14_2015	103.41	97.86	99.28	100.36	100.54	100.74	100.33(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	20	12	91	5.56	40%	-0.02	30.4	1.89%	0	1.2	71	0
22	Oct_13_2015	103.43	97.76	98.96	99.92	100.01	100.77	101.14(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	60	27	93	8.34	42%	-0.03	29.9	1.88%	0	1.8	68	0
23	Oct_12_2015	103.46	97.59	98.29	99.38	99.42	100.34	100.91(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	52	70	42	82	5.18	42%	-0.03	22.5	1.89%	0	1.9	62	0
24	Oct_9_2015	103.49	97.44	97.56	98.91	98.9	99.25	100.17(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	20	32	57	7.34	42%	-0.04	24.1	1.89%	0	1.6	55	0
25	Oct_8_2015	103.53	97.37	97.05	98.42	98.48	98.51	99.26(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	0	11	33	7.5	41%		23.9	1.89%	0	1.2	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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