Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 30, 2021

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $364.0700 (-0.21%) ($363.6000 - $366.7210) on Thu. Dec. 30, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $364.0700(-0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(96%)    IVE(95%)    SPY(94%)    SDY(90%)    IVW(87%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-46%)    UUP(-29%)    VXX(-10%)    IGOV(-7%)    TBT(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV -0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $363.04(0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $359.22(1.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $357.35(1.88%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   7.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.3
One Month Target Price   > $366.98
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $351.57

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.2% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 0.8% away from the target price of 366.98.
$. DIA price fluctuates within 1.46% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 47 Average positive next day return: 0.65%(49%) Average negative next day return: -0.74%(51%) Sample size 47 Average positive next three day return: 0.97%(49%) Average negative next three day return: -1.38%(51%) Sample size 47 Average positive next weekly return: 1.27%(49%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.79%(51%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220130

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_30_2021	353.25	357.35	359.22	363.04	363.69	364.79	364.07(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	98	30	99	94	2.83	53%	0.03	70.5	0.84%	-0	1.3	57	1.4
2	Dec_29_2021	353.15	356.22	358.73	361.7	362.21	364.17	364.84(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	162	40	178	114	3	53%	0.03	41.3	0.86%	1.2	1.4	58	1.4
3	Dec_28_2021	353.03	355.23	357.81	359.71	360.07	362.59	363.99(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	214	50	246	117	3.04	50%	0.04	24	0.86%	1.2	1.4	58	1.4
4	Dec_27_2021	352.9	354.56	357.04	356.77	357.48	360.25	362.92(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	229	60	271	103	2.58	50%	0.04	7.8	0.89%	1.4	1.4	63	1.3
5	Dec_23_2021	352.76	353.84	356.67	354.91	354.3	357.55	359.36(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	164	60	193	76	2.54	51%	0.03	-8.8	0.9%	1.4	1	67	1.4

6	Dec_22_2021	352.65	353.71	356.5	354.93	353.25	354.7	357.39(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	144	10	164	84	2.99	53%	0.02	-10.8	0.9%	1.1	0.7	65	1.3
7	Dec_21_2021	352.58	353.7	356.54	355.41	354.34	351.05	354.91(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-53	-70	-78	23	4.66	53%	0.02	-11.3	0.9%	0.8	0.2	69	0.9
8	Dec_20_2021	352.51	353.74	356.83	355.66	355.37	351.8	349.27(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-326	-70	-407	-81	7.26	47%	-0	-14.5	0.88%	-1	-0.8	58	0.5
9	Dec_17_2021	352.52	354.09	357.32	357.22	357.28	357.64	353.63(-1.62%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-67	10	-109	58	10.55	48%	0.01	-11.5	0.9%	-1	-0.1	53	0.8
10	Dec_16_2021	352.49	354.35	356.73	358.54	358.12	358.95	359.44(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	136	10	126	166	9.46	51%	0.03	-5	0.88%	0.8	0.9	62	0.8

11	Dec_15_2021	352.39	354.31	355.51	358.27	357.88	356.91	359.81(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	7	-20	-20	88	9.26	51%	0.03	-6.8	0.88%	2.2	1	50	1
12	Dec_14_2021	352.29	354.34	353.67	357.91	357.91	357.29	356.17(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-74	-10	-105	21	4.04	48%	0.01	-9.8	0.88%	-1	0.3	47	0.8
13	Dec_13_2021	352.24	354.55	352.59	358.22	358.3	358.86	357.04(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	42	10	35	62	4.55	49%	0.02	-10.7	0.88%	-0.4	0.4	50	0.8
14	Dec_10_2021	352.18	354.71	351.96	357.38	357.98	358.53	360.23(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	121	20	133	85	3.84	49%	0.04	-15.5	0.88%	1.6	0.9	53	0.9
15	Dec_9_2021	352.05	354.62	350.76	354.58	355.93	357.74	358.11(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	103	50	126	33	3.73	49%	0.03	-30.1	0.88%	1.2	0.6	47	0.3

16	Dec_8_2021	351.95	354.72	350.58	352.28	353.14	357.44	357.99(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	267	90	327	85	3.35	49%	0.04	-40.3	0.88%	0.8	0.5	46	0.6
17	Dec_7_2021	351.82	354.92	350.42	348.77	349.76	354.12	357.74(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	335	100	421	78	5.18	48%	0.05	-52.2	0.88%	1.1	0.4	43	-0.1
18	Dec_6_2021	351.64	355.19	350.12	346.21	346.71	348.83	352.82(1.9%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	168	50	236	-36	6.98	46%	0.02	-57.9	0.87%	1.4	-0.4	39	-1.4
19	Dec_3_2021	351.58	355.68	350.35	345.88	345.65	345.4	346.24(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	-10	0	-151	11.36	42%	-0.01	-54.9	0.84%	-0.8	-1.4	29	-2.2
20	Dec_2_2021	351.61	356.47	351.63	346.44	346.88	344.59	346.61(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-156	-40	-140	-203	8.3	42%	-0.01	-53.2	0.84%	0.3	-1.5	34	-1.7

21	Dec_1_2021	351.64	357.25	352.94	348.71	348.18	345.89	340.46(-1.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-322	-50	-340	-268	8.39	37%	-0.03	-42.3	0.81%	-2	-2.7	21	-2.6
22	Nov_30_2021	351.73	358.34	355.15	352.23	351.22	349.17	344.9(-1.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-189	-50	-193	-176	9.5	39%	-0.01	-32.4	0.79%	-1.3	-2.7	22	-2
23	Nov_29_2021	351.78	359.13	356.86	354.49	353.73	350.46	351.19(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-233	-70	-250	-183	5.23	43%	0.01	-23.1	0.76%	-0.5	-2.1	25	-0.3
24	Nov_26_2021	351.76	359.53	357.9	355.43	355.2	353.28	349.02(-2.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2	-302	-40	-332	-210	9.07	44%	0.03	-16.5	0.76%	0	-3.2	23	-3.8
25	Nov_24_2021	351.66	360.02	359.04	357.5	357.01	357.01	358(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-46	-0	-35	-77	4.23	50%		2.9	0.69%	0.6	-0.8	42	0.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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