Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Sep. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $217.2483 (0.26%) ($216.7210 - $217.3655) on Sat. Sep. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.41% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $217.2483(0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.205% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.205% (StdDev 0.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $216.2(0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $214.64(1.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $213.62(1.7%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   2.1
One Month Target Price   > $217.25
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $212.8

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -1.1% away from the target price of 217.25.
$. DIA price fluctuates within 0.81% (three month std-dev: 0.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.41%(80%) Average negative next day return: -0.41%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.78%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0.87%(80%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.42%(20%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171016

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_15_2017	208.61	213.62	214.64	216.2	216.27	216.72	217.25(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	146	20	138	171	2.38	54%	0.07	46.9	0.41%	0	2.1	74	0
2	Sep_14_2017	208.46	213.34	214.28	215.29	215.65	216.13	216.67(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	133	20	129	145	1.89	54%	0.07	34.2	0.41%	0	2.1	73	0
3	Sep_13_2017	208.32	213.2	213.93	214.47	214.68	215.81	216.13(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	147	40	152	131	1.72	56%	0.07	21.5	0.41%	0	2.1	70	0
4	Sep_12_2017	208.18	213.07	213.61	213.79	213.88	215.17	215.8(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	240	40	269	152	2.07	56%	0.08	7	0.41%	0	2.2	62	0
5	Sep_11_2017	208.02	212.95	213.25	213.05	213.15	213.54	215.15(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	134	10	150	85	3.02	56%	0.08	-14	0.41%	0	2.1	68	0

6	Sep_8_2017	207.85	212.95	212.97	212.89	212.73	212.59	212.7(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-49	-10	-66	3	2.14	51%	0.07	-29.5	0.39%	0	-0.1	62	0
7	Sep_7_2017	207.71	212.81	212.97	213.14	213.23	212.76	212.57(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-25	-10	-42	26	1.98	51%	0.08	-29.5	0.39%	0	-0.3	55	0
8	Sep_6_2017	207.55	212.89	212.92	213.3	213.54	212.87	212.71(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-91	-20	-118	-10	1.92	51%	0.07	-21.3	0.39%	0	-0.2	42	0
9	Sep_5_2017	207.4	212.98	212.96	213.37	213.65	213.71	212.14(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-34	10	-50	15	3.83	51%	0.07	-12.2	0.39%	0	-0.8	41	0
10	Sep_1_2017	207.26	213.1	212.89	213.42	213.45	214.21	214.34(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	119	30	133	75	2.15	60%	0.08	-1.9	0.36%	0	1.1	50	0

11	Aug_31_2017	207.09	213.09	212.56	213.05	212.98	213.6	213.95(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	132	20	156	58	2.17	60%	0.08	-2	0.37%	0	0.8	56	0
12	Aug_30_2017	206.93	213.08	212.34	212.69	212.69	212.69	213.37(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	48	0	64	-0	1.8	60%	0.07	-2	0.37%	0	0.3	54	0
13	Aug_29_2017	206.79	213.1	212.4	212.49	212.5	212.37	213.04(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-52	-0	-51	-56	2.01	60%	0.07	5.9	0.37%	0	-0.1	43	0
14	Aug_28_2017	206.65	213.11	212.48	212.51	212.6	212.68	212.41(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	0	13	-34	1.43	60%	0.06	19.6	0.37%	0	-0.6	39	0
15	Aug_25_2017	206.52	213.13	212.61	212.28	212.58	212.64	212.5(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	37	10	60	-31	2.37	60%	0.07	28.8	0.37%	0	-0.6	39	0

16	Aug_24_2017	206.38	213.11	212.63	211.98	212.13	212.64	212.13(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	10	26	-71	1.93	60%	0.06	30.2	0.37%	0	-0.9	39	0
17	Aug_23_2017	206.25	213.1	212.67	211.91	211.83	212.52	212.39(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	51	20	88	-60	3.66	60%	0.06	32.8	0.37%	0	-0.6	43	0
18	Aug_22_2017	206.12	213.04	212.86	212.3	211.91	211.75	213.14(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	11	-10	36	-63	2.42	60%	0.07	39.4	0.37%	0	0.1	47	0
19	Aug_21_2017	205.98	212.89	212.98	212.49	212.41	211.15	211.24(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-194	-40	-209	-147	3.47	56%	0.06	39.5	0.36%	0	-1	41	0
20	Aug_18_2017	205.85	212.82	213.34	213.01	213.21	212.08	211.03(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-241	-30	-275	-138	4.47	59%	0.05	43.2	0.37%	0	-1	45	0

21	Aug_17_2017	205.74	212.77	213.7	213.33	213.85	213.67	211.76(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-81	0	-96	-35	3.54	50%	0.06	46.4	0.36%	0	-0.6	53	0
22	Aug_16_2017	205.61	212.7	213.94	213.48	213.82	214.35	214.35(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	63	20	67	51	2.48	56%	0.07	49.4	0.39%	0	0.9	71	0
23	Aug_15_2017	205.46	212.49	213.88	213.49	213.48	214.03	214.05(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	88	20	90	81	1.84	58%	0.08	50	0.39%	0	0.8	74	0
24	Aug_14_2017	205.3	212.27	213.8	213.59	213.49	213.3	213.86(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	40	-10	26	83	2.61	58%	0.07	56.7	0.39%	0	0.8	77	0
25	Aug_11_2017	205.15	212.07	213.69	213.76	213.71	212.93	212.63(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-96	-30	-143	47	4.94	56%		63.7	0.39%	0	0.3	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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