Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Oct. 25, 2015

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $164.2850 (0.9%) ($163.3535 - $164.5365) on Sun. Oct. 25, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $164.2850(0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $161.48(1.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $160.36(2.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $157.43(4.35%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.6
One Month Target Price   > $164.29
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $153.61

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 0% away from the target price of 164.29.
$. DIA price fluctuates within 2.72% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 29 Average positive next day return: 0.72%(41%) Average negative next day return: -0.99%(59%) Sample size 29 Average positive next three day return: 1.29%(45%) Average negative next three day return: -2.32%(55%) Sample size 29 Average positive next weekly return: 2.67%(41%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.69%(59%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151125

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_23_2015	159.63	157.43	160.36	161.48	161.53	162.91	164.29(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	104	60	105	102	7.64	49%	-0.01	58.5	1.3%	0	1.6	81	0
2	Oct_22_2015	159.64	156.79	159.79	160.64	160.49	161.02	162.82(1.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	59	20	51	84	8.55	49%	-0.03	54.5	1.3%	0	1.5	83	0
3	Oct_21_2015	159.68	156.17	159.35	159.98	159.99	160.15	159.73(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	10	22	83	5.8	46%	-0.04	47.8	1.28%	0	0.9	83	0
4	Oct_20_2015	159.75	155.76	159.12	159.51	159.56	159.96	160.22(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	20	19	92	4.14	46%	-0.04	40	1.28%	0	1.1	85	0
5	Oct_19_2015	159.81	155.33	158.72	159.24	159.08	159.83	160.33(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	54	30	34	115	4.86	46%	-0.04	36.8	1.28%	0	1.3	88	0

6	Oct_16_2015	159.87	154.97	158.3	159.05	158.83	159.17	160.1(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	64	10	39	137	8.35	46%	-0.04	39.1	1.28%	0	1.4	88	0
7	Oct_15_2015	159.94	154.56	157.64	158.83	158.67	158.33	159.51(1.33%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	26	-20	-6	122	9.64	46%	-0.05	39.1	1.28%	0	1.4	71	0
8	Oct_14_2015	160.02	154.3	156.86	158.65	158.74	158.49	157.41(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10	-18	121	5.42	44%	-0.06	44.2	1.27%	0	0.9	70	0
9	Oct_13_2015	160.12	154.18	156.3	158.63	158.67	159	158.87(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	20	17	138	5.91	45%	-0.01	52.6	1.27%	0	1.5	72	0
10	Oct_12_2015	160.13	153.93	155.37	158.08	158.2	158.98	159.37(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	70	40	48	135	2.84	45%	-0.06	52.3	1.28%	0	1.8	72	0

11	Oct_9_2015	160.22	153.54	154.32	157.41	157.47	158.35	158.99(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	82	40	69	121	5.01	47%	-0.06	55.5	1.29%	0	1.9	63	0
12	Oct_8_2015	160.32	153.21	153.55	156.26	156.55	157.42	158.62(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	91	40	85	108	8.16	45%	-0.06	50.6	1.29%	0	2.1	65	0
13	Oct_7_2015	160.42	152.84	152.72	154.79	154.88	156.6	157.3(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	79	80	81	71	8.83	45%	-0.07	38.8	1.29%	0	2	53	0
14	Oct_6_2015	160.54	152.51	152.08	153.62	153.42	155.68	156.13(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	122	100	142	63	6.66	45%	-0.07	31.5	1.29%	0	1.8	48	0
15	Oct_5_2015	160.66	152.34	151.6	152.23	152.1	153.16	156.02(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	103	50	128	27	6.34	45%	-0.08	12.2	1.29%	0	2	52	0

16	Oct_2_2015	160.79	152.01	151.28	150.78	150.57	151.15	153.23(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	2	20	16	-40	11.88	43%	-0.09	-22.4	1.28%	0	0.7	52	0
17	Oct_1_2015	160.94	151.95	151.15	150.46	150.22	151.03	151.29(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	18	30	37	-40	6.86	43%	-0.1	-33.9	1.27%	0	-0.4	46	0
18	Sep_30_2015	161.1	151.98	151.48	150.46	150.45	149.99	151.41(1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	11	-20	27	-38	7.62	43%	-0.09	-35.1	1.27%	0	-0.3	50	0
19	Sep_29_2015	161.25	151.88	151.86	150.34	150.26	149.41	149.18(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-77	-40	-80	-69	9.91	39%	-0.11	-23.8	1.26%	0	-1.5	47	0
20	Sep_28_2015	161.43	152.11	152.39	150.85	150.88	150.91	148.77(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-30	0	-28	-37	10.01	39%	-0.12	-1.7	1.28%	0	-1.9	40	0

21	Sep_25_2015	161.62	152.4	152.78	151.81	151.32	151.11	151.65(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-20	1	-2	10.47	41%	-0.09	19.1	1.26%	0	-0.4	57	0
22	Sep_24_2015	161.76	152.55	152.91	151.93	151.65	150.86	150.71(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-43	-40	-51	-19	8.45	40%	-0.09	13.3	1.26%	0	-1.1	48	0
23	Sep_23_2015	161.9	152.59	152.91	152.79	152.28	151.54	151.38(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-55	-40	-69	-11	4.55	40%	-0.08	1.8	1.26%	0	-0.7	50	0
24	Sep_22_2015	162.03	152.33	153.06	153.64	153.31	152.43	151.76(-1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-33	-50	-50	18	8.98	40%	-0.09	-21.2	1.26%	0	-0.2	58	0
25	Sep_21_2015	162.18	152.13	153.22	154.16	154.2	153.02	153.53(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-26	-50	-44	29	7.76	40%		-41.1	1.26%	0	0.5	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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