Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DIA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Wed. Jun. 5, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $166.0728 (-0.6%) ($165.4756 - $166.6515) on Wed. Mar. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $166.0728(-0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    GDXJ(20%)    XLB(17%)    XLI(17%)    XLY(17%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    EMHY(-8%)    VIXM(-7%)    BND(-6%)    UUP(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $166.92(-0.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $166.67(-0.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $165.36(0.43%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. DIA price fluctuates within 1.04% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.25%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.26%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.83%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.28%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.84%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150404

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2015	160.72	165.36	166.67	166.92	166.83	166.67	166.07(-0.6%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-23	-10	-38	24	3.82	55%	0.12	114.4	0.91%	0	0.4	67	INF
2	Mar_3_2015	160.53	165.15	166.62	167.14	167.05	167.17	167.07(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	0	10	56	2.83	55%	0.12	115.8	0.9%	0	1	75	INF
3	Mar_2_2015	160.34	164.75	166.46	167.15	167.04	167	167.82(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	26	-0	12	69	3.21	55%	0.11	90.6	0.9%	0	1.3	85	INF
4	Feb_27_2015	160.16	164.24	166.19	167.15	166.92	166.94	166.45(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	0	-2	67	3.16	55%	0.1	66.5	0.88%	0	0.8	72	INF
5	Feb_26_2015	160	163.89	166.03	166.82	166.72	167.09	167.2(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	10	32	86	3.05	55%	0.08	58.1	0.89%	0	1.2	73	INF

6	Feb_25_2015	159.87	163.41	165.69	166.37	166.29	166.89	167.16(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	63	20	53	93	2.82	55%	0.1	45.4	0.89%	0	1.2	79	INF
7	Feb_24_2015	159.71	163	165.33	166.01	165.74	166.36	167.11(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	66	20	56	95	4.23	55%	0.09	41.1	0.89%	0	1.4	79	INF
8	Feb_23_2015	159.57	162.71	164.85	165.67	165.36	165.68	166.2(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	56	10	42	97	2.74	55%	0.08	42.6	0.89%	0	1.2	83	INF
9	Feb_20_2015	159.45	162.47	164.55	165.47	165.14	165.11	166.4(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	35	-10	11	105	8.91	55%	0.09	48.5	0.89%	0	1.4	87	INF
10	Feb_19_2015	159.31	162.27	164.25	165.15	165.07	165.03	164.99(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	-0	-1	112	2.66	55%	0.08	54.7	0.88%	0	1.1	70	INF

11	Feb_18_2015	159.18	162.04	163.94	164.89	164.96	165.17	165.34(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	10	24	136	2.72	55%	0.07	53.5	0.88%	0	1.3	76	INF
12	Feb_17_2015	159.07	161.78	163.57	164.53	164.52	165.1	165.43(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	20	45	149	2.85	55%	0.09	49.7	0.88%	0	1.5	68	INF
13	Feb_13_2015	158.92	161.5	162.92	163.89	164.04	164.75	165.22(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	91	30	75	137	4	55%	0.07	41.1	0.88%	0	1.6	57	INF
14	Feb_12_2015	158.81	161.15	162.13	163.48	163.36	163.94	164.76(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	61	20	47	101	3.74	55%	0.06	27.2	0.88%	0	1.6	56	INF
15	Feb_11_2015	158.72	160.86	161.58	163.25	163.12	163.32	163.72(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	10	41	81	5.17	55%	0.06	22.8	0.87%	0	1.4	50	INF

16	Feb_10_2015	158.63	160.71	160.96	162.85	163	162.78	163.54(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10	11	49	3.57	55%	0.05	24.2	0.87%	0	1.5	56	INF
17	Feb_9_2015	158.55	160.58	160.49	162.45	162.61	162.92	162.24(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	20	9	34	3.72	55%	0.03	23	0.87%	0	0.9	55	INF
18	Feb_6_2015	158.5	160.58	160.4	161.75	162.15	163.22	163.16(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	108	50	121	69	7.21	55%	0.04	10.6	0.86%	0	1.4	57	INF
19	Feb_5_2015	158.43	160.56	160.2	160.53	160.72	162.3	163.58(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	108	70	126	54	6.04	55%	0.05	-6	0.86%	0	1.6	62	INF
20	Feb_4_2015	158.35	160.4	160.07	159.68	159.48	161.09	161.73(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	131	70	155	59	5.94	53%	0.04	-28.7	0.86%	0	0.8	56	INF

21	Feb_3_2015	158.29	160.25	159.94	158.8	158.65	159.15	161.54(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	77	20	98	13	7.54	53%	0.04	-58.7	0.86%	0	0.7	50	INF
22	Feb_2_2015	158.22	160.17	159.79	158.3	158.17	157.88	158.74(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-43	-20	-37	-59	9.44	50%	0.03	-81.3	0.83%	0	-0.8	43	INF
23	Jan_30_2015	158.17	160.37	159.93	158.89	158.49	158.16	157.07(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-63	-20	-62	-64	11.14	53%	0.01	-74.8	0.83%	0	-1.9	36	INF
24	Jan_29_2015	158.15	160.66	160.11	159.8	159.34	158.45	159.32(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-69	-50	-70	-67	9.62	56%	0.03	-71.6	0.82%	0	-0.8	37	INF
25	Jan_28_2015	158.11	160.9	160.13	160.53	160.32	158.83	157.32(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-115	-70	-127	-77	9.67	55%		-58.1	0.81%	0	-2.1	43	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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