Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Nov. 30, 2014

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $162.6741 (0.05%) ($162.4549 - $163.2130) on Sun. Nov. 30, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   96
Latest Price   $162.6741(0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $162.5(0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $161.84(0.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $160.71(1.22%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.3
One Month Target Price   > $162.67
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $156.65

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -3.6% away from the target price of 162.67.
$. DIA price fluctuates within 0.92% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.43%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.28%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.54%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.49%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141230

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_28_2014	154.59	160.71	161.84	162.5	162.59	162.64	162.67(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	25	0	13	60	4.04	55%	0.07	137	0.74%	0	1.3	96	0
2	Nov_26_2014	154.48	160.41	161.64	162.27	162.55	162.53	162.59(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	31	0	20	63	3.01	55%	0.06	106.2	0.73%	0	1.1	96	0
3	Nov_25_2014	154.39	160.01	161.42	161.99	162.16	162.54	162.55(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	29	20	18	62	5.51	55%	0.06	102.8	0.73%	0	1.1	97	0
4	Nov_24_2014	154.3	159.63	161.2	161.72	161.79	162.56	162.4(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	77	30	73	88	2.41	55%	0.05	95.1	0.73%	0	1.1	98	0
5	Nov_21_2014	154.22	159.17	160.98	161.4	161.44	161.78	162.31(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	82	20	78	94	4.78	55%	0.05	91.5	0.73%	0	1.1	98	0

6	Nov_20_2014	154.14	158.71	160.74	161.07	160.95	161.02	161.49(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	16	0	-0	63	2.88	55%	0.05	87.6	0.73%	0	0.9	95	0
7	Nov_19_2014	154.06	158.24	160.56	160.93	160.88	161.1	161.2(-0.02%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	38	10	22	85	4.01	55%	0.06	84.5	0.73%	0	0.9	97	0
8	Nov_18_2014	153.97	157.69	160.35	160.76	160.78	160.88	161.22(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	48	0	28	107	4.72	55%	0.06	83.5	0.73%	0	1	98	0
9	Nov_17_2014	153.88	157.19	160.05	160.59	160.52	160.67	160.8(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	30	10	4	109	3.67	55%	0.05	80.7	0.74%	0	0.9	94	0
10	Nov_14_2014	153.8	156.63	159.77	160.5	160.44	160.69	160.67(-0.05%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0	58	10	30	143	3.52	55%	0.06	77.9	0.74%	0	1	95	0

11	Nov_13_2014	153.71	156.05	159.51	160.35	160.3	160.37	160.75(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	60	0	25	165	6.51	55%	0.05	70.5	0.74%	0	1.1	96	0
12	Nov_12_2014	153.63	155.36	159.09	160.15	160.05	160.2	160.39(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	52	0	10	177	2.84	55%	0.06	62.1	0.75%	0	1.1	97	0
13	Nov_11_2014	153.54	154.7	158.51	159.87	159.88	160.22	160.37(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	84	20	43	208	3.19	55%	0.05	53.5	0.75%	0	1.2	97	0
14	Nov_10_2014	153.47	154.1	157.95	159.41	159.51	159.91	160.3(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	98	20	57	222	2.94	55%	0.05	48.5	0.75%	0	1.4	86	0
15	Nov_7_2014	153.39	153.49	157.23	158.94	158.92	159.53	159.97(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	96	30	51	229	4.02	55%	0.05	41.9	0.75%	0	1.5	88	0

16	Nov_6_2014	153.32	152.98	156.52	158.55	158.5	159.11	159.7(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	121	30	78	251	7.19	55%	0.05	37.8	0.76%	0	1.6	88	0
17	Nov_5_2014	153.25	152.54	155.72	157.88	158.13	158.31	159.03(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	122	10	76	260	5.29	55%	0.05	34.7	0.76%	0	1.7	89	0
18	Nov_4_2014	153.17	152.26	154.81	156.94	157.3	157.89	158.04(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	90	30	40	239	6.47	55%	0.04	32.6	0.76%	0	1.7	87	0
19	Nov_3_2014	153.11	151.91	154.11	156.24	156.48	157.95	157.94(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	173	70	139	276	5.39	55%	0.05	25	0.76%	0	1.8	77	0
20	Oct_31_2014	153.04	151.69	153.23	155.25	155.47	156.7	158.03(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	201	60	178	269	7.56	55%	0.05	16.9	0.77%	0	2.1	78	0

21	Oct_30_2014	152.97	151.46	152.3	154.21	154.16	155.01	156.34(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	122	40	96	199	7.45	53%	0.03	6.7	0.79%	0	1.8	65	0
22	Oct_29_2014	152.93	151.24	151.32	153.27	153.33	154.24	154.34(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	117	40	103	157	7.59	51%	0.01	-5.4	0.78%	0	1.2	56	0
23	Oct_28_2014	152.92	151.12	150.57	152.35	152.62	153.3	154.57(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	99	40	100	97	5.44	51%	0.01	-22	0.78%	0	1.4	47	0
24	Oct_27_2014	152.9	151.1	149.92	151.65	151.77	152.43	152.95(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	63	30	67	49	5.06	48%	0	-30	0.77%	0	0.7	51	0
25	Oct_24_2014	152.9	151.17	149.44	150.88	151.21	151.94	152.82(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	80	40	103	12	5.73	48%		-38.2	0.77%	0	0.6	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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