Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $152.6714 (0.55%) ($151.2434 - $152.7889) on Wed. Jun. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1918.31% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $152.6714(0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    XLI(20%)    XLB(19%)    XLY(19%)    GDXJ(18%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -959.155% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    EMHY(-6%)    UUP(-3%)    BNDX(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -959.155% (StdDev 1918.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $151.75(0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $152.15(0.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $151.31(0.9%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.2
One Month Target Price   > $29430.92
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $-2793450.49

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.2% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 19177.3% away from the target price of 29430.92.
$. DIA price fluctuates within 0.74% (three month std-dev: 1918.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140718

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_18_2014	147.27	151.31	152.15	151.75	151.64	151.86	152.67(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	10	0	0	4.73	99%	0.07	708.1	1918.31%	0	1.2	67	0
2	Jun_17_2014	147.17	151.07	151.99	151.64	151.5	151.5	151.83(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-0	-0	0	2.89	99%	0.07	590.9	1918.31%	0	0.6	67	0
3	Jun_16_2014	147.07	150.93	151.92	151.89	151.67	151.42	151.55(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-20	-0	0	3.07	99%	0.07	572.8	1918.31%	0	0.4	61	0
4	Jun_13_2014	146.97	144.18	151.88	152.17	152.04	151.49	151.49(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-30	-0	0	2.71	99%	0.04	73.5	1918.31%	0	5	65	0
5	Jun_12_2014	146.91	143.93	151.84	152.43	152.43	151.93	151.19(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	0	-20	-0	0	5.42	99%	0.03	70	1918.32%	0	4.6	68	0

6	Jun_11_2014	146.86	143.78	151.81	152.58	152.67	152.59	152.15(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-0	-0	0	3.07	99%	0.03	76.4	1918.31%	0	5.3	78	0
7	Jun_10_2014	146.81	143.61	151.62	152.36	152.5	152.92	153.05(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	20	0	0	2.82	99%	0.05	84.1	1918.31%	0	6.2	92	0
8	Jun_9_2014	146.74	143.38	151.35	151.94	152	152.76	152.95(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	40	0	0	2.71	99%	0.03	89.8	1918.31%	0	6.8	75	0
9	Jun_6_2014	146.69	143.11	151.03	151.57	151.49	152.07	152.81(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	0	30	0	0	4.12	99%	0.04	94.4	1918.31%	0	7.6	100	0
10	Jun_5_2014	146.63	142.83	150.68	151.18	151.1	151.24	151.96(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	0	0	0	5.42	99%	0.03	98.7	1918.31%	0	8.2	99	0

11	Jun_4_2014	146.58	142.58	150.39	150.94	150.88	150.9	151.04(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-0	0	0	2.27	99%	0.03	100	1918.32%	0	8.2	99	0
12	Jun_3_2014	146.53	142.33	150.06	150.75	150.77	150.97	150.95(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	10	0	0	4.13	99%	0.03	85.5	1918.31%	0	8	99	0
13	Jun_2_2014	146.48	142.13	149.86	150.65	150.62	150.85	151.11(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	10	0	0	4.45	99%	0.03	89.2	1918.32%	0	8.6	99	0
14	May_30_2014	146.44	141.91	136.3	150.4	150.46	150.58	150.86(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	10	0	0	2.77	99%	0.03	94.3	1933.24%	0	9	99	0
15	May_29_2014	146.4	141.73	135.68	150.09	150.19	150.38	150.73(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	10	0	0	2.76	99%	0.02	92.4	1948.52%	0	9.7	99	0

16	May_28_2014	146.37	141.56	135.23	149.76	149.87	150.34	150.1(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	20	0	0	3.68	99%	0.02	95.1	1964.16%	0	9.9	99	0
17	May_27_2014	146.34	141.41	134.93	149.26	149.46	150	150.45(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	0	30	0	0	2.56	99%	0.01	81.4	1964.16%	0	10.9	99	0
18	May_23_2014	146.32	141.2	134.57	148.94	148.9	149.4	149.87(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	0	20	0	0	2.86	99%	0.02	71.7	1918.31%	0	10.2	99	0
19	May_22_2014	146.29	140.99	134.19	148.67	148.66	148.92	149.28(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	10	0	-0	3.56	99%	0.02	-879.7	1933.24%	0	10	99	0
20	May_21_2014	146.26	140.87	133.84	148.4	148.45	148.41	149.1(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	0	-0	-0	-0	4.9	99%	0.01	-908.6	1948.52%	0	10	99	0

21	May_20_2014	146.25	140.75	133.49	148.53	148.46	148.39	147.6(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	0	-0	-0	-0	4.86	99%	0	-905.2	1948.52%	0	8.4	99	0
22	May_19_2014	146.25	140.72	133.19	149.12	148.95	148.49	148.86(15465.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-30	-0	-0	2.88	99%	0.01	-896.5	1948.52%	0	10.2	99	0
23	May_16_2014	146.24	140.6	132.86	149.43	149.45	148.52	148.5(-99.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-17	-40	-5	-53	3.3	7%	0.01	-862.1	12.44%	0	9.6	3	0
24	May_15_2014	146.23	140.6	149.09	149.6	149.91	149.42	147.94(-1.2%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.9	-65	-20	-88	4	7.54	45%	0.01	105.2	0.62%	0	-0.9	56	0
25	May_14_2014	146.21	148.71	149.2	149.82	150.01	150.39	149.74(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	20	18	60	3.11	51%		110.2	0.6%	0	1.2	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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