Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 15, 2018

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $623.4000 (1.86%) ($608.6000 - $644.4000) on Thu. Feb. 15, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.79% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $623.4000(1.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ advances 22.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(13%)    IGOV(10%)    SHY(7%)    TIP(7%)    UUP(6%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -3.895% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-98%)    PEJ(-17%)    XLY(-15%)    XOP(-14%)    VWO(-14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.895% (StdDev 7.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $624.92(-0.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $586.19(6.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $505.85(23.24%)
To recent high   -25.7%
To recent low   70%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 18.3% (three month std-dev: 7.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180315

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_15_2018	559.11	505.85	586.19	624.92			623.4(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	47	-10000	4	176	0.17	55%	0.3	53	7.79%	0	1.3	91	-0.4
2	Feb_14_2018	557.45	496.64	571.94	615.32			612(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	50	-10000	3	190	0.17	56%	0.22	45.2	7.79%	0	1.3	81	-0.5
3	Feb_13_2018	556.24	487.34	555.49	607.64			617.8(-4.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	55	-10000	7	198	0.24	57%	0.23	38.6	7.81%	0	1.5	76	-1.2
4	Feb_12_2018	554.99	479.23	531.62	591.52			648.6(4.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	54	-10000	10	187	0.17	57%	0.3	25.5	7.81%	0	2.1	80	-1.4
5	Feb_9_2018	553.31	468.69	503.54	570.04			622.8(8.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	49	-10000	13	158	0.29	56%	0.26	8.5	7.8%	0	2.2	66	-1.7

6	Feb_8_2018	551.86	461.14	477.96	542.12			575.4(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	10	116	0.29	55%	0.26	-9.7	7.77%	0	1.9	63	-2.5
7	Feb_7_2018	550.41	459.43	459.51	522.04			573.6(6.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	-10000	14	91	0.38	55%	0.28	-16	7.78%	0	1.9	65	-1.8
8	Feb_6_2018	548.85	456.64	442.92	495.32			537.2(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-10000	19	65	0.34	52%	0.23	-26.6	7.75%	0	1.4	64	-2
9	Feb_5_2018	547.57	459.35	429.2	461.68			541.2(12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	-10000	21	20	0.63	52%	0.16	-32.7	7.94%	0	1.2	58	-2.9
10	Feb_2_2018	546.72	462.72	420.14	426.8			483.2(1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	-10000	14	-15	0.49	50%	0.07	-37.5	7.82%	0	0.3	54	-2.2

11	Feb_1_2018	546.34	467.21	417.41	404			475(7.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	10	-43	1.24	50%	0.04	-49.1	7.83%	0	0.1	47	-0.5
12	Jan_31_2018	546.12	469.34	413.7	388.12			440(19.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	-10000	3	-78	1.39	49%	-0.07	-66.2	7.76%	0	-0.4	35	-1.6
13	Jan_30_2018	546.48	472.54	412.6	383.8			369(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10000	-5	-105	0.92	46%	-0.25	-80.2	7.42%	0	-1.3	27	-1.9
14	Jan_29_2018	547.84	481.83	422.71	391.76			366.8(-0.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-40	-10000	-13	-121	0.95	46%	-0.3	-93.5	7.42%	0	-1.5	22	-2.1
15	Jan_26_2018	549.48	492.33	431.98	412.12			369.2(-6.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-41	-10000	-12	-126	1.1	48%	-0.22	-104.1	7.49%	0	-1.7	21	136.8

16	Jan_25_2018	550.7	509.26	444.55	431.96			395.6(-5.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-6	-120	1.19	48%	-0.15	-107.2	7.47%	0	-1.6	31	137.4
17	Jan_24_2018	551.52	528.6	461	442.4			418.4(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-2	-104	0.95	48%	-0.13	-89	7.47%	0	-1.4	42	-1.4
18	Jan_23_2018	552.25	546.05	472.88	445.48			408.8(-12.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-10000	-7	-99	1.26	48%	-0.27	-74.5	7.46%	0	-1.4	44	0.1
19	Jan_22_2018	553.74	566.88	493.15	457.72			468.6(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	-10000	2	-79	0.48	51%	0.03	-72.1	7.3%	0	-1	44	0.9
20	Jan_19_2018	553.59	583.02	508.86	455.12			468.4(4.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-10000	-3	-75	0.6	51%	-0	-64.1	7.3%	0	-1.1	42	1

21	Jan_18_2018	553.61	596.6	520.57	460.04			447.8(3.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-10000	-13	-90	0.8	51%	-0.12	-57	7.28%	0	-1.2	32	0
22	Jan_17_2018	554.3	610.49	529.09	483.64			433.8(-7.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-10000	-11	-104	0.77	51%	-0.12	-50.4	7.27%	0	-1.4	27	0
23	Jan_16_2018	554.97	629.71	537.51	504.76			470(3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-10000	-15	-122	0.6	52%	-0	-45.4	7.21%	0	-1.3	30	0
24	Jan_12_2018	554.98	644.72	546.24	534.28			455.6(-7.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	-10000	-18	-135	0.81	51%	-0.08	-38.8	7.16%	0	-1.5	27	0
25	Jan_11_2018	555.4	660.47	558.72	570.4			493(-12.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-40	-10000	-9	-133	0.86	52%		-29.1	7.15%	0	-1.4	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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