Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $529.8000 (5.75%) ($498.8000 - $535.8000) on Thu. Mar. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.66% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $529.8000(5.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ declines -10.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(11%)    IGOV(7%)    SHY(5%)    TIP(5%)    UUP(4%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -4.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-99%)    PEJ(-15%)    XOP(-14%)    XLY(-14%)    LIT(-14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.33% (StdDev 8.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

Resistance Level   $571.4
5 Day Moving Average   $500.16(5.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $525.07(0.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $571.4(-7.28%)
To recent high   -22.3%
To recent low   90.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 11.34% (three month std-dev: 8.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2017	510.88	571.4	525.07	500.16			529.8(5.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-16	-10000	3	-72	0.49	66%	-0.13	-0.4	8.66%	0	-0.6	40	0
2	Mar_15_2017	511.52	570.55	530.97	494.4			501(-3.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-10000	-3	-83	0.22	68%	-0.09	2.1	8.64%	0	-1.1	33	0
3	Mar_14_2017	511.98	571.7	541.5	500.6			517(7.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-10000	-6	-86	0.23	65%	0.1	10.3	8.71%	0	-0.8	32	0
4	Mar_13_2017	511.47	571.79	552.1	513.4			483(2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-10000	-7	-84	0.19	65%	0.05	18.5	8.76%	0	-1.3	26	0
5	Mar_10_2017	511.21	571.97	571.44	529.4			470(-6.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-10000	-10	-62	0.22	68%	0.09	25.3	8.95%	0	-1.5	48	0

6	Mar_9_2017	510.74	571.62	586.9	553.2			501(-5.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-7	-41	0.28	68%	0.16	36	8.98%	0	-1	51	0
7	Mar_8_2017	509.92	569.2	602.1	572.2			532(-8.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-10000	-6	-16	0.23	64%	0.27	42.2	8.94%	0	-0.5	60	0
8	Mar_7_2017	508.57	565.02	616.48	587.8			581(3.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10000	-3	11	0.16	64%	0.36	45.6	9%	0	0.2	63	0
9	Mar_6_2017	506.77	559.79	626.41	597.2			563(-4.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-8	33	0.38	64%	0.33	52.7	9.01%	0	0	62	0
10	Mar_3_2017	505.11	555.37	625.96	620.6			589(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-10000	-2	61	0.19	61%	0.4	68	9.12%	0	0.4	70	0

11	Mar_2_2017	503.09	547.29	622.55	626			596(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-4	78	0.28	61%	0.32	71.8	9.19%	0	0.5	73	0
12	Mar_1_2017	501.47	539.05	614.46	636.4			610(-2.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-10000	-4	97	0.21	57%	0.36	78.7	9.2%	0	0.8	76	0
13	Feb_28_2017	499.67	530.38	605.41	649.2			628(-7.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-10000	-4	122	0.22	54%	0.43	88	9.27%	0	1.1	78	0
14	Feb_27_2017	497.54	519.12	593.76	660			680(10.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	-10000	9	147	0.22	54%	0.47	94	9.36%	0	1.7	75	0
15	Feb_24_2017	495.23	502.83	572.4	632.4			616(-4.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	37	-10000	5	131	0.29	52%	0.17	82.9	9.31%	0	1.2	72	0

16	Feb_23_2017	494.38	489.75	555.22	617.6			648(-3.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	-10000	11	130	0.39	51%	0.23	75.6	9.36%	0	1.7	81	0
17	Feb_22_2017	493.23	475.1	533.43	588			674(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	38	-10000	13	112	0.27	51%	0.21	67	9.4%	0	2.3	82	0
18	Feb_21_2017	492.2	459.6	508.25	555			682(25.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	33	-10000	14	90	0.47	49%	-0.1	64.2	9.4%	0	2.9	80	0
19	Feb_17_2017	492.68	444.08	485.15	519.6			542(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	24	-10000	7	74	0.19	41%	-0.07	70.5	8.96%	0	1.8	76	0
20	Feb_16_2017	493.03	437.14	477	504.2			542(8.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	28	-10000	10	80	0.33	41%	-0.03	70.8	9%	0	2	81	0

21	Feb_15_2017	493.2	428.83	464.36	483.2			500(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	7	73	0.26	41%	-0.08	62.5	8.95%	0	1.5	79	0
22	Feb_14_2017	493.58	422.83	456.79	469.2			509(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	24	-10000	8	73	0.3	40%	-0.03	52.7	8.97%	0	1.9	78	0
23	Feb_13_2017	493.72	415.36	448.94	453.4			505(8.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	-10000	4	67	0.33	40%	-0.08	32.5	9.03%	0	2.2	72	0
24	Feb_10_2017	494.11	407.9	438.41	446.2			465(6.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	-0	64	0.27	40%	-0.14	22.5	8.95%	0	1.5	64	0
25	Feb_9_2017	494.8	403.09	428.08	446.4			437(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	-10000	2	59	0.27	39%		19.1	8.91%	0	1	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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