Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $2079.0000 (8.17%) ($1985.0000 - $2140.0000) on Tue. Apr. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.37% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $2079.0000(8.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ declines -3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(9%)    UUP(5%)    IGOV(4%)    SHY(4%)    TIP(4%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -4.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-99%)    XOP(-14%)    PEJ(-14%)    LIT(-13%)    XLY(-12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.185% (StdDev 8.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.6%

Resistance Level   $2209.17
5 Day Moving Average   $2025.2(2.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2121.78(-2.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2209.17(-5.89%)
To recent high   -35.3%
To recent low   105.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 9.41% (three month std-dev: 8.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160505

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_5_2016	1906.76	2209.17	2121.78	2025.2			2079(8.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-10000	2	-23	0.02	67%	0.52	-95.7	8.37%	0	-0.6	49	0
2	Apr_4_2016	1896.89	2240.56	2145.49	2010.8			1922(-8.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10000	-6	-29	0.05	67%	0.44	-89.5	8.34%	0	-1.4	41	0
3	Apr_1_2016	1888.51	2292.49	2165.64	2061			2098(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10000	-6	-27	0.02	69%	0.48	-66.6	8.26%	0	-0.7	46	0
4	Mar_31_2016	1879.4	2344.64	2156.78	2110			2048(3.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10000	-9	-30	0.06	66%	0.45	-44	8.33%	0	-0.9	43	0
5	Mar_30_2016	1870.89	2391.6	2170.48	2191.6			1979(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-4	-25	0.03	66%	0.44	-28.2	8.45%	0	-1.2	36	0

6	Mar_29_2016	1862.61	2427.87	2195.25	2232.2			2007(-7.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-10000	-7	-34	0.05	64%	0.44	-22.2	8.46%	0	-1.2	33	0
7	Mar_28_2016	1854.38	2472.23	2228.02	2296.8			2173(-7.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-6	-10000	2	-31	0.05	57%	0.98	-9.1	8.49%	0	-0.9	36	0
8	Mar_24_2016	1836.36	2490.45	2241.08	2280			2343(-4.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	7	-46	0.03	57%	0.59	-7.1	9.16%	0	-0.5	35	0
9	Mar_23_2016	1825.5	2500.57	2239.97	2207.8			2456(12.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-15	-10000	6	-76	0.05	55%	0.66	-6.5	9.16%	0	-0.1	33	0
10	Mar_22_2016	1813.51	2495.63	2243.53	2151.2			2182(-6.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-25	-10000	-1	-96	0.03	53%	0.49	-3.9	9.16%	0	-1	30	0

11	Mar_21_2016	1804.66	2506.45	2297.82	2156.2			2330(11.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-24	-10000	0	-94	0.04	49%	0.64	2.8	9.13%	0	-0.5	44	0
12	Mar_18_2016	1793.1	2503.77	2334.83	2155.2			2089(5.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-4	-96	0.02	47%	0.43	9.3	9.36%	0	-1.3	33	0
13	Mar_17_2016	1785.35	2513.95	2422.74	2198.4			1982(-8.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-10000	-7	-83	0.04	47%	0.41	20.4	9.34%	0	-1.6	43	0
14	Mar_16_2016	1778.01	2521.92	2543.67	2273.2			2173(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10000	-7	-60	0.01	47%	0.59	32.3	9.3%	0	-1	46	0
15	Mar_15_2016	1767.52	2508.31	2628.58	2348.2			2207(-5.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10000	-10	-39	0.03	50%	0.62	41.5	9.32%	0	-0.8	52	0

16	Mar_14_2016	1756.66	2497.41	2681.19	2460.4			2325(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-7	-16	0.04	52%	0.78	57.8	9.48%	0	-0.5	54	0
17	Mar_11_2016	1742.99	2473.53	2740.26	2544.6			2305(-2.16%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-7	-10000	-11	7	0.04	52%	0.83	63.1	9.56%	0	-0.4	57	0
18	Mar_10_2016	1728.67	2447.82	2767.86	2683.8			2356(-7.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-10000	-13	32	0.04	53%	0.88	69.3	9.57%	0	-0.2	59	0
19	Mar_9_2016	1713.54	2413.5	2792.6	2855			2548(-7.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-10000	-7	72	0.03	53%	1.06	77.1	9.55%	0	0.3	68	0
20	Mar_8_2016	1695.63	2364.68	2778.36	2949.4			2768(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.4	28	-10000	1	109	0.01	53%	1.19	77.9	9.49%	0	0.8	78	0

21	Mar_7_2016	1675.66	2299.83	2740.07	2932.4			2746(-8.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	29	-10000	-2	123	0.03	55%	1.18	74	9.49%	0	0.8	72	0
22	Mar_4_2016	1656.04	2242.76	2692.59	2961.2			3001(-6.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	-10000	7	151	0.03	55%	1.39	81	9.59%	0	1.4	80	0
23	Mar_3_2016	1633.32	2179.27	2614.29	2861.4			3212(6.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	48	-10000	11	160	0.04	55%	1.58	83.9	9.53%	0	2	85	0
24	Mar_2_2016	1607.95	2096.31	2494.04	2724.8			3020(12.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	48	-10000	11	160	0.03	56%	1.46	84.6	9.52%	0	2	86	0
25	Mar_1_2016	1584.8	2024.71	2370.62	2587			2683(-7.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	-10000	6	153	0.04	54%		85.2	9.45%	0	1.6	85	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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