Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $2343.0000 (5.35%) ($2243.0000 - $2387.0000) on Tue. Feb. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.22% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $2343.0000(5.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 4.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ advances 16.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(10%)    TIP(5%)    UUP(5%)    IGOV(4%)    SHY(4%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -4.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-99%)    XOP(-15%)    PEJ(-14%)    XLE(-13%)    LIT(-13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.61% (StdDev 9.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $2118(10.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1916.53(22.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1718.71(36.32%)
To recent high   -17.5%
To recent low   131.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 17.41% (three month std-dev: 9.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160323

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_23_2016	1492	1718.71	1916.53	2118			2343(5.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	-10000	10	109	0.04	53%	1.06	58.5	9.22%	0	2.1	68	0
2	Feb_22_2016	1476.39	1675.2	1824.15	2027.6			2224(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10000	11	93	0.05	53%	0.98	55.8	9.23%	0	2.1	72	0
3	Feb_19_2016	1462.11	1636.05	1757.78	1933.2			2212(9.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	32	-10000	12	91	0.06	57%	0.96	51.6	9.33%	0	2.5	77	0
4	Feb_18_2016	1448.17	1597.08	1708.39	1829.4			2028(13.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	-10000	11	85	0.06	57%	0.9	52.8	9.36%	0	2.3	68	0
5	Feb_17_2016	1435.19	1570.12	1664.53	1738.2			1783(-5.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	7	69	0.05	55%	0.77	52.8	9.24%	0	1.3	59	0

6	Feb_16_2016	1424.26	1559.73	1650.3	1681			1891(7.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	26	-10000	13	66	0.05	55%	1.42	59.8	9.2%	0	2.2	61	0
7	Feb_12_2016	1404.29	1540.54	1604.93	1588			1752(3.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	-10000	5	38	0.05	53%	0.8	68.5	9.17%	0	1.6	58	0
8	Feb_11_2016	1393.18	1524.97	1550.66	1555.4			1693(7.7%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.1	3	-10000	-2	17	0.05	53%	0.74	78.6	9.16%	0	1.4	58	0
9	Feb_10_2016	1382.94	1503.18	1516.89	1572.4			1572(5.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-10000	-1	17	0.05	53%	0.66	76.3	9.13%	0	0.5	55	0
10	Feb_9_2016	1373.94	1489.91	1509.72	1582.2			1497(4.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-4	18	0.03	53%	0.6	77.3	9.13%	0	0.1	52	0

11	Feb_8_2016	1365.68	1473.64	1509.56	1613.8			1426(-10.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	5	-10000	-1	23	0.03	53%	0.58	69.3	9.13%	0	-0.3	47	0
12	Feb_5_2016	1357.86	1455.59	1520.59	1618			1589(-10.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	12	29	0.04	53%	0.73	53.3	9.02%	0	0.7	54	0
13	Feb_4_2016	1347.98	1434.16	1509.88	1537.4			1778(9.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	12	-10000	13	10	0.06	55%	0.89	32.2	9.08%	0	1.8	62	0
14	Feb_3_2016	1336.07	1410.09	1477.59	1452.6			1621(-2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	4	-5	0.05	53%	0.8	21.5	9.01%	0	1.2	67	0
15	Feb_2_2016	1325.42	1391.35	1466.58	1429.8			1655(14.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	4	-10000	5	-0	0.08	55%	0.85	13	9.01%	0	1.5	65	0

16	Feb_1_2016	1314.3	1372.7	1457.96	1397.4			1447(22.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	-10000	-3	8	0.05	52%	0.66	-10.9	8.9%	0	0.5	67	0
17	Jan_29_2016	1305.69	1363.1	1467.14	1413.8			1186(-12.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	1	-10000	-10	35	0.06	48%	0.45	-29.9	8.56%	0	-1.1	65	0
18	Jan_28_2016	1299.9	1374.35	1497.86	1474.2			1354(-10.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	-10000	-4	72	0.06	52%	0.57	-45.8	8.43%	0	-0.1	63	0
19	Jan_27_2016	1292.48	1373.08	1491.51	1500.6			1507(0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	20	-10000	-1	81	0.04	54%	0.72	-65.3	8.39%	0	0.8	59	0
20	Jan_26_2016	1283.19	1369.29	1471.84	1506			1493(-2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-10000	-4	87	0.03	56%	0.17	-98	8.39%	0	0.8	61	0

21	Jan_25_2016	1281.01	1390.56	1439.11	1528.4			1529(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	22	-10000	-0	89	0.05	56%	0.73	-115.6	8.57%	0	0.9	59	0
22	Jan_22_2016	1271.76	1414.21	1390.4	1531.6			1488(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-10000	1	82	0.05	57%	0.73	-130.1	8.63%	0	0.5	60	0
23	Jan_21_2016	1262.53	1452.55	1357.13	1525.4			1486(-3.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	7	72	0.05	58%	0.69	-103.7	8.63%	0	0.2	54	0
24	Jan_20_2016	1253.92	1487.18	1339.72	1477.8			1534(-4.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	8	59	0.03	58%	0.76	-89.5	8.66%	0	0.2	58	0
25	Jan_19_2016	1244.46	1544.27	1310.19	1429.6			1605(3.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	16	37	0.05	58%		-68.2	8.65%	0	0.2	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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