Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $1488.0000 (0.13%) ($1457.1000 - $1558.0000) on Fri. Jan. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.63% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $1488.0000(0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ advances 11.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(9%)    IGOV(4%)    SHY(4%)    TIP(4%)    UUP(4%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -4.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-99%)    XOP(-15%)    XLE(-13%)    PEJ(-13%)    XLY(-12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.315% (StdDev 8.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3%

5 Day Moving Average   $1531.6(-2.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1390.4(7.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1414.21(5.22%)
To recent high   -47.6%
To recent low   60%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 11.02% (three month std-dev: 8.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2016	1271.76	1414.21	1390.4	1531.6			1488(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-10000	1	82	0.05	57%	0.73	-130.1	8.63%	0	0.5	60	0
2	Jan_21_2016	1262.53	1452.55	1357.13	1525.4			1486(-3.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	7	72	0.05	58%	0.69	-103.7	8.63%	0	0.2	54	0
3	Jan_20_2016	1253.92	1487.18	1339.72	1477.8			1534(-4.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	8	59	0.03	58%	0.76	-89.5	8.66%	0	0.2	58	0
4	Jan_19_2016	1244.46	1544.27	1310.19	1429.6			1605(3.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	16	37	0.05	58%	1.36	-68.2	8.65%	0	0.2	54	0
5	Jan_15_2016	1227.75	1599.05	1276.51	1335.8			1545(6.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	10	-10000	20	-22	0.05	60%	0.77	-48.9	8.59%	0	-0.1	41	0

6	Jan_14_2016	1218.38	1651.01	1244.12	1229.2			1457(16.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-10000	12	-90	0.07	60%	0.71	-42.5	8.59%	0	-0.3	38	0
7	Jan_13_2016	1209.81	1714.96	1233.83	1166.8			1248(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	-10000	-3	-149	0.03	58%	0.54	-37.1	8.38%	0	-0.8	28	0
8	Jan_12_2016	1203.32	1775.17	1240.25	1182.6			1293(13.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-43	-10000	2	-176	0.06	58%	0.56	-32.1	8.36%	0	-0.7	31	0
9	Jan_11_2016	1196.59	1822.98	1253.96	1175.2			1136(12.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-61	-10000	-7	-223	0.05	56%	0.45	-29.5	8.22%	0	-1.1	21	0
10	Jan_8_2016	1191.25	1875.91	1334.56	1209			1012(-11.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-66	-10000	-9	-236	0.05	54%	0.38	-26.8	8.11%	0	-1.4	15	0

11	Jan_7_2016	1186.7	1929.29	1439.24	1257			1145(-13.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-67	-10000	-10	-239	0.09	56%	0.48	-25.1	7.96%	0	-1.3	20	0
12	Jan_6_2016	1181.06	1973.95	1555.72	1307			1327(5.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-59	-10000	0	-236	0.07	59%	0.65	-22.3	7.74%	0	-1.1	21	0
13	Jan_5_2016	1173.45	2009.75	1645.82	1306			1256(-3.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-66	-10000	-8	-238	0.07	59%	0.6	-20.9	7.73%	0	-1.4	29	0
14	Jan_4_2016	1166.43	2038.04	1795.69	1346.2			1305(4.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-73	-10000	-24	-218	0.06	59%	1.23	-19.7	7.71%	0	-1.4	36	0
15	Dec_31_2015	1152.22	2063.21	1945.39	1485.2			1252(-10.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-64	-10000	-26	-176	0.13	61%	0.68	-11.9	7.71%	0	-1.7	37	0

16	Dec_30_2015	1144.45	2093.39	2090.61	1653.2			1395(5.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-53	-10000	-27	-131	0.08	64%	0.78	-0.2	7.7%	0	-1.5	44	0
17	Dec_29_2015	1135.62	2110.21	2235.93	1846.6			1322(-9.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-36	-10000	-24	-73	0.15	65%	0.71	14	7.71%	0	-1.8	43	0
18	Dec_28_2015	1127.6	2131.48	2360.06	2035.4			1457(-27.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-31	-10000	-31	-29	0.11	67%	1.33	29.8	7.65%	0	-1.6	45	0
19	Dec_24_2015	1112.78	2145.47	2450.32	2307.6			2000(-4.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-10000	-20	50	0.03	75%	1.32	55.9	6.72%	0	-0.3	64	0
20	Dec_23_2015	1098.32	2123.28	2473.03	2475.4			2092(-11.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	18	-10000	-14	112	0.04	75%	1.43	71	6.71%	0	-0.1	67	0

21	Dec_22_2015	1082.82	2094.46	2471.59	2594.2			2362(4.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	33	-10000	-11	166	0.04	78%	1.68	82.3	6.5%	0	0.6	72	0
22	Dec_21_2015	1064.92	2049.11	2435.96	2687.8			2266(-19.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	52	-10000	-5	223	0.08	78%	1.59	92.7	6.5%	0	0.5	73	0
23	Dec_18_2015	1048.21	2011.49	2411.87	2728.4			2818(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	87	-10000	15	301	0.04	86%	2.21	100.9	5.9%	0	1.7	88	0
24	Dec_17_2015	1025.54	1935.44	2301.45	2611.4			2839(5.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	86	-10000	19	288	0.05	86%	2.32	98.2	5.9%	0	1.9	89	0
25	Dec_16_2015	1002.26	1851.53	2184.96	2471.6			2686(-5.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	83	-10000	20	271	0.05	86%		92.6	5.89%	0	1.9	90	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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