Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $1486.0000 (12.15%) ($1395.0000 - $1496.0000) on Fri. Nov. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.54% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $1486.0000(12.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 6.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(9%)    UUP(5%)    SHY(4%)    TIP(4%)    IGOV(3%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -2.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-99%)    XOP(-16%)    XLE(-13%)    USO(-12%)    PEJ(-12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.77% (StdDev 5.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $1256.8(18.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1232.94(20.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1235.78(20.25%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   160.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 8.09% (three month std-dev: 5.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_20_2015	771.59	1235.78	1232.94	1256.8			1486(12.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	21	-10000	22	18	0.08	76%	1.22	87.9	5.54%	0	2.5	57	0
2	Nov_19_2015	762.31	1211.84	1198.57	1184.6			1325(10.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-3	-10000	6	-29	0.07	74%	0.97	73.1	5.44%	0	1.1	57	0
3	Nov_18_2015	754.95	1192.91	1178.3	1166.18			1194(5.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	-10000	-3	-60	0.03	73%	0.84	65.1	5.3%	0	0	42	0
4	Nov_17_2015	748.65	1179.89	1187.51	1175.38			1137(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10000	-4	-56	0.05	74%	0.75	62.3	5.28%	0	-0.3	44	0
5	Nov_16_2015	743.06	1166.55	1203.8	1186.38			1142(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-5	-40	0.06	74%	0.75	60.3	5.32%	0	-0.2	52	0

6	Nov_13_2015	737.56	1153.75	1222.32	1202.98			1125(-8.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-10000	-3	-18	0.06	75%	0.78	62.7	5.32%	0	-0.2	51	0
7	Nov_12_2015	731.82	1142.23	1233.17	1211.38			1232.9(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	6	7	0.05	76%	0.88	62.7	5.28%	0	0.5	66	0
8	Nov_11_2015	725.45	1122.66	1243.31	1191			1240(4.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	4	-10000	-4	27	0.05	76%	0.86	56	5.39%	0	0.6	71	0
9	Nov_10_2015	719.23	1100.55	1246.77	1203			1192(-2.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	-7	66	0.04	76%	0.81	55.4	5.39%	0	0.5	71	0
10	Nov_9_2015	713.43	1081.75	1245.69	1225.6			1225(4.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	24	-10000	-6	113	0.07	76%	0.93	56.6	5.41%	0	0.7	76	0

11	Nov_6_2015	706.87	1059.64	1240.68	1247			1167(3.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	39	-10000	-3	164	0.06	76%	0.84	57.9	5.39%	0	0.5	72	0
12	Nov_5_2015	701.01	1041.32	1228.42	1257.8			1131(-13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	39	-10000	-12	190	0.09	76%	0.85	57.9	5.4%	0	0.4	70	0
13	Nov_4_2015	695.1	1026.01	1212.38	1300.6			1300(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	67	-10000	1	264	0.06	81%	1.13	63.6	5.1%	0	1.3	82	0
14	Nov_3_2015	687.31	1001.53	1174.57	1296			1305(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	80	-10000	8	294	0.06	81%	1.15	67.4	5.17%	0	1.5	83	0
15	Nov_2_2015	679.49	976.92	1128.62	1268.2			1332(9.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	82	-10000	10	296	0.04	81%	1.07	70.1	5.19%	0	1.8	82	0

16	Oct_30_2015	672.31	951.04	1080.57	1234.6			1221(-9.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	87	-10000	14	306	0.12	82%	0.97	77	5.14%	0	1.5	81	0
17	Oct_29_2015	665.85	931.48	1044.91	1193			1345(5.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	100	-10000	30	311	0.11	87%	1.23	79.6	5.03%	0	2.5	87	0
18	Oct_28_2015	657.75	905.74	990.76	1110			1277(9.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	85	-10000	29	253	0.11	86%	1.09	83.7	5.06%	0	2.7	81	0
19	Oct_27_2015	650.67	879.41	939.22	1035.3			1166(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	70	-10000	28	197	0.09	85%	0.77	85.1	4.98%	0	2.5	77	0
20	Oct_26_2015	645.7	856.86	900.81	967.9			1164(14.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	56	-10000	28	140	0.15	85%	0.61	77.5	4.99%	0	3.1	75	0

21	Oct_23_2015	641.8	831.5	859.3	905.3			1013(8.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	31	-10000	15	80	0.07	84%	0.43	76.7	4.7%	0	2.5	67	0
22	Oct_22_2015	639.07	815.63	835.46	875.1			930(2.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	11	44	0.07	83%	0.31	74	4.66%	0	1.7	59	0
23	Oct_21_2015	637.1	802.88	822.87	853.1			903.5(8.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	13	17	0.07	83%	0.34	70.4	4.66%	0	1.6	52	0
24	Oct_20_2015	634.91	792.63	813.89	827.8			829(-2.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	-10000	3	-3	0.04	82%	0.17	66.7	4.62%	0	0.6	58	0
25	Oct_19_2015	633.84	786.39	813.9	821.4			851(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	9	8	0.03	82%		70.9	4.63%	0	1	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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