Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 12, 2015

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $1232.9000 (-0.57%) ($1228.0000 - $1291.0000) on Thu. Nov. 12, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.28% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $1232.9000(-0.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(9%)    UUP(5%)    SHY(4%)    TIP(4%)    IGOV(3%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -2.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-99%)    XOP(-16%)    XLE(-13%)    USO(-12%)    PEJ(-12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.64% (StdDev 5.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $1211.38(1.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1233.17(-0.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1142.23(7.94%)
To recent high   -8.3%
To recent low   151.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 15.46% (three month std-dev: 5.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_12_2015	731.82	1142.23	1233.17	1211.38			1232.9(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	6	7	0.05	76%	0.88	62.7	5.28%	0	0.5	66	0
2	Nov_11_2015	725.45	1122.66	1243.31	1191			1240(4.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	4	-10000	-4	27	0.05	76%	0.86	56	5.39%	0	0.6	71	0
3	Nov_10_2015	719.23	1100.55	1246.77	1203			1192(-2.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	-7	66	0.04	76%	0.81	55.4	5.39%	0	0.5	71	0
4	Nov_9_2015	713.43	1081.75	1245.69	1225.6			1225(4.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	24	-10000	-6	113	0.07	76%	0.93	56.6	5.41%	0	0.7	76	0
5	Nov_6_2015	706.87	1059.64	1240.68	1247			1167(3.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	39	-10000	-3	164	0.06	76%	0.84	57.9	5.39%	0	0.5	72	0

6	Nov_5_2015	701.01	1041.32	1228.42	1257.8			1131(-13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	39	-10000	-12	190	0.09	76%	0.85	57.9	5.4%	0	0.4	70	0
7	Nov_4_2015	695.1	1026.01	1212.38	1300.6			1300(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	67	-10000	1	264	0.06	81%	1.13	63.6	5.1%	0	1.3	82	0
8	Nov_3_2015	687.31	1001.53	1174.57	1296			1305(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	80	-10000	8	294	0.06	81%	1.15	67.4	5.17%	0	1.5	83	0
9	Nov_2_2015	679.49	976.92	1128.62	1268.2			1332(9.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	82	-10000	10	296	0.04	81%	1.07	70.1	5.19%	0	1.8	82	0
10	Oct_30_2015	672.31	951.04	1080.57	1234.6			1221(-9.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	87	-10000	14	306	0.12	82%	0.97	77	5.14%	0	1.5	81	0

11	Oct_29_2015	665.85	931.48	1044.91	1193			1345(5.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	100	-10000	30	311	0.11	87%	1.23	79.6	5.03%	0	2.5	87	0
12	Oct_28_2015	657.75	905.74	990.76	1110			1277(9.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	85	-10000	29	253	0.11	86%	1.09	83.7	5.06%	0	2.7	81	0
13	Oct_27_2015	650.67	879.41	939.22	1035.3			1166(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	70	-10000	28	197	0.09	85%	0.77	85.1	4.98%	0	2.5	77	0
14	Oct_26_2015	645.7	856.86	900.81	967.9			1164(14.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	56	-10000	28	140	0.15	85%	0.61	77.5	4.99%	0	3.1	75	0
15	Oct_23_2015	641.8	831.5	859.3	905.3			1013(8.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	31	-10000	15	80	0.07	84%	0.43	76.7	4.7%	0	2.5	67	0

16	Oct_22_2015	639.07	815.63	835.46	875.1			930(2.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	11	44	0.07	83%	0.31	74	4.66%	0	1.7	59	0
17	Oct_21_2015	637.1	802.88	822.87	853.1			903.5(8.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	13	17	0.07	83%	0.34	70.4	4.66%	0	1.6	52	0
18	Oct_20_2015	634.91	792.63	813.89	827.8			829(-2.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	-10000	3	-3	0.04	82%	0.17	66.7	4.62%	0	0.6	58	0
19	Oct_19_2015	633.84	786.39	813.9	821.4			851(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	9	8	0.03	82%	0.2	70.9	4.63%	0	1	67	0
20	Oct_16_2015	632.56	778.71	812.44	805			862(5.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	-10000	8	17	0.03	82%	0.3	70.8	4.64%	0	1.2	74	0

21	Oct_15_2015	630.69	769.03	810.55	790			820(5.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	1	23	0.06	81%	0.35	65.9	4.61%	0	0.7	66	0
22	Oct_14_2015	628.46	759.97	815.24	788.8			777(-2.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-5	50	0.05	80%	0.29	62.8	4.66%	0	0.2	66	0
23	Oct_13_2015	626.62	752.83	816.57	798.2			797(3.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	16	-10000	-4	74	0.05	75%	0.28	60.8	4.65%	0	0.5	64	0
24	Oct_12_2015	624.88	742.95	811.35	805.4			769(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-10000	-8	85	0.04	75%	0.35	58.9	4.79%	0	0.3	62	0
25	Oct_9_2015	622.7	733.98	803.72	820.4			787(-3.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-10000	-7	100	0.04	75%		59.2	4.81%	0	0.6	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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