Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $862.0000 (5.12%) ($840.0000 - $866.0000) on Fri. Oct. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.64% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $862.0000(5.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(9%)    UUP(6%)    TIP(4%)    IGOV(3%)    SHY(3%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -2.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-99%)    XOP(-16%)    XLE(-13%)    XLY(-11%)    VWO(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.32% (StdDev 4.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $805(7.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $812.44(6.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $778.71(10.7%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   75.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 8.6% (three month std-dev: 4.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_16_2015	632.56	778.71	812.44	805			862(5.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	-10000	8	17	0.03	82%	0.3	70.8	4.64%	0	1.2	74	0
2	Oct_15_2015	630.69	769.03	810.55	790			820(5.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	1	23	0.06	81%	0.35	65.9	4.61%	0	0.7	66	0
3	Oct_14_2015	628.46	759.97	815.24	788.8			777(-2.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-5	50	0.05	80%	0.29	62.8	4.66%	0	0.2	66	0
4	Oct_13_2015	626.62	752.83	816.57	798.2			797(3.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	16	-10000	-4	74	0.05	75%	0.28	60.8	4.65%	0	0.5	64	0
5	Oct_12_2015	624.88	742.95	811.35	805.4			769(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-10000	-8	85	0.04	75%	0.35	58.9	4.79%	0	0.3	62	0

6	Oct_9_2015	622.7	733.98	803.72	820.4			787(-3.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-10000	-7	100	0.04	75%	0.45	59.2	4.81%	0	0.6	65	0
7	Oct_8_2015	619.91	725.52	796.57	833.6			814(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	27	-10000	-6	124	0.06	75%	0.48	64.4	4.82%	0	1	72	0
8	Oct_7_2015	616.97	715.96	783.5	845.6			824(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	41	-10000	4	153	0.08	75%	0.53	68.4	4.84%	0	1.2	76	0
9	Oct_6_2015	613.72	706.25	771.35	837.2			833(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	49	-10000	10	167	0.06	76%	0.59	67.9	4.85%	0	1.4	78	0
10	Oct_5_2015	610.14	694.63	757.83	817.4			844(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	57	-10000	18	173	0.08	76%	0.61	62.7	4.9%	0	1.7	82	0

11	Oct_2_2015	606.46	683.85	742.51	783.4			853(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	53	-10000	16	162	0.06	76%	0.62	57.7	4.94%	0	2.1	84	0
12	Oct_1_2015	602.73	670.7	723.25	753.6			874(11.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	54	-10000	23	147	0.09	76%	0.59	50.3	4.97%	0	2.9	77	0
13	Sep_30_2015	599.19	658.79	697.98	713.6			782(6.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	35	-10000	10	109	0.08	73%	0.4	48.7	4.8%	0	2.4	70	0
14	Sep_29_2015	596.81	650.42	681.72	697.2			734(8.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	-10000	4	91	0.05	72%	0.23	48.6	4.75%	0	2	64	0
15	Sep_28_2015	595.47	644.6	667.38	690.2			674(-4.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-10000	-3	82	0.09	69%	0.17	47.7	4.65%	0	0.8	63	0

16	Sep_25_2015	594.46	641.12	658.36	694.6			704(4.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	5	80	0.06	67%	0.07	49.6	4.7%	0	1.6	59	0
17	Sep_24_2015	594.06	637.37	649.05	687.2			674(-3.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	23	-10000	5	75	0.11	67%	0.04	56.9	4.78%	0	1	62	0
18	Sep_23_2015	593.8	634.8	643.9	678.6			700(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	10	61	0.04	67%	0.11	55.8	4.77%	0	1.9	55	0
19	Sep_22_2015	593.12	630.4	636.76	663.1			699(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	-10000	15	49	0.03	69%	0.13	52.2	4.77%	0	2.2	59	0
20	Sep_21_2015	592.34	626.99	626.97	640.9			696(4.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	17	-10000	16	20	0.04	69%	0.08	48.5	4.86%	0	2.6	59	0

21	Sep_18_2015	591.84	622.74	620.47	616.9			667(5.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.4	5	-10000	7	-3	0.04	71%	-0.02	45.4	4.84%	0	2.1	59	0
22	Sep_17_2015	591.98	617.95	613.59	606			631(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-5	-10000	1	-23	0.06	69%	-0.32	37.5	4.88%	0	0.6	50	0
23	Sep_16_2015	593.86	616.33	615.73	604.5			622.5(5.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-7	-10000	-2	-21	0.09	69%	-0.43	59	4.89%	0	0.3	51	0
24	Sep_15_2015	596.42	614.77	615.92	607			588(2.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-2	-17	0.06	60%	-0.53	73.4	4.84%	0	-1.2	48	0
25	Sep_14_2015	599.57	614.48	619.89	610.6			576(-5.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-11	-10000	-8	-18	0.13	60%		83.7	5.17%	0	-1.6	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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