Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $696.0000 (4.35%) ($680.0000 - $705.0000) on Mon. Sep. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.86% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $696.0000(4.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 3.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(8%)    UUP(6%)    TIP(4%)    IGOV(3%)    SHY(3%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -2.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-99%)    XOP(-15%)    XLE(-12%)    USO(-11%)    PEJ(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.43% (StdDev 4.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $640.9(8.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $626.97(11.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $626.99(11.01%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   42%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 4.21% (three month std-dev: 4.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151021

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_21_2015	592.34	626.99	626.97	640.9			696(4.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	17	-10000	16	20	0.04	69%	0.08	48.5	4.86%	0	2.6	59	0
2	Sep_18_2015	591.84	622.74	620.47	616.9			667(5.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.4	5	-10000	7	-3	0.04	71%	-0.02	45.4	4.84%	0	2.1	59	0
3	Sep_17_2015	591.98	617.95	613.59	606			631(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-5	-10000	1	-23	0.06	69%	-0.32	37.5	4.88%	0	0.6	50	0
4	Sep_16_2015	593.86	616.33	615.73	604.5			622.5(5.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-7	-10000	-2	-21	0.09	69%	-0.43	59	4.89%	0	0.3	51	0
5	Sep_15_2015	596.42	614.77	615.92	607			588(2.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-2	-17	0.06	60%	-0.53	73.4	4.84%	0	-1.2	48	0

6	Sep_14_2015	599.57	614.48	619.89	610.6			576(-5.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-11	-10000	-8	-18	0.13	60%	-0.44	83.7	5.17%	0	-1.6	42	0
7	Sep_11_2015	602.21	613.29	623.39	623.6			612.5(-1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-10000	1	-3	0.05	67%	-0.35	83.3	5.18%	0	-0	51	0
8	Sep_10_2015	604.35	610	625.75	621.5			623.5(-1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-10000	-4	3	0.12	67%	-0.25	68	5.24%	0	0.4	60	0
9	Sep_9_2015	605.87	603.86	626.02	628.6			635(4.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	1	17	0.05	61%	-0.28	49.6	5.29%	0	0.8	56	0
10	Sep_8_2015	607.56	598.79	624.29	626.8			606(-5.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10000	-2	19	0.08	56%	-0.61	43.3	5.57%	0	0.2	55	0

11	Sep_4_2015	611.28	595.56	627.76	630.6			641(6.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	4	35	0.04	56%	-0.13	39.2	5.76%	0	1	62	0
12	Sep_3_2015	612.07	591.4	625.39	623.2			602(-8.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-4	38	0.11	56%	-0.32	29.7	5.7%	0	0.2	63	0
13	Sep_2_2015	614.02	589.25	623.11	630			659(5.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	4	55	0.04	59%	-0.34	32.7	5.67%	0	1.6	73	0
14	Sep_1_2015	616.09	584.42	616.81	623.4			626(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	18	-10000	1	67	0.05	59%	-0.42	34.7	5.67%	0	1	77	0
15	Aug_31_2015	618.71	580.85	613.26	621.8			625(3.48%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	18	-10000	-2	77	0.06	59%	-0.41	34.5	5.67%	0	1.1	66	0

16	Aug_28_2015	621.27	578.78	608.48	624.8			604(-5.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	21	-10000	-2	89	0.04	64%	-0.4	39.6	5.71%	0	0.7	62	0
17	Aug_27_2015	623.74	578.84	602.79	627.6			636(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	7	92	0.07	64%	-0.23	46.7	5.9%	0	1.5	62	0
18	Aug_26_2015	625.18	575.42	593.28	614.6			626(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	3	77	0.04	65%	-0.19	40.9	5.9%	0	1.4	61	0
19	Aug_25_2015	626.38	570.73	580.27	609			618(-3.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	3	59	0.04	65%	-0.22	40.9	5.95%	0	1.4	58	0
20	Aug_24_2015	627.74	567.6	571.45	603.2			640(3.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	-10000	7	52	0.08	65%	0.02	44.1	5.98%	0	2.2	62	0

21	Aug_21_2015	627.62	563.89	560.52	590.2			618(8.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	9	31	0.06	66%	-0.15	41.8	6.05%	0	1.8	53	0
22	Aug_20_2015	628.57	561.54	553.99	574.6			571(-4.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	-10000	4	5	0.08	65%	-0.38	38.7	5.98%	0	0.4	43	0
23	Aug_19_2015	630.96	560.72	552.33	568.2			598(1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	10	-10000	13	-1	0.03	65%	-0.29	33.5	5.97%	0	1.3	54	0
24	Aug_18_2015	632.82	556.73	548.69	546.6			589(2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	0	-10000	7	-20	0.06	65%	-0.3	11.4	5.99%	0	1.2	59	0
25	Aug_17_2015	634.73	553.25	544.92	534.8			575(6.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-5	-10000	5	-33	0.15	65%		-6.8	5.99%	0	0.8	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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