Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 28, 2015

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $560.0000 (-2.61%) ($539.9000 - $576.0000) on Tue. Jul. 28, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.46% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $560.0000(-2.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ declines -2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(9%)    UUP(6%)    TIP(4%)    IGOV(3%)    SHY(3%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -3.23% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-99%)    XOP(-16%)    XLE(-13%)    VWO(-11%)    USO(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.23% (StdDev 6.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

Resistance Level   $568.42
5 Day Moving Average   $557.4(0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $545.08(2.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $568.42(-1.48%)
To recent high   -35.9%
To recent low   16.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 6.7% (three month std-dev: 6.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150828

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_28_2015	652.54	568.42	545.08	557.4			560(-2.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-10000	5	-25	0.06	47%	-0.29	-22.5	6.46%	0	-0.2	36	0
2	Jul_27_2015	654.45	569.6	544.55	549.2			575(-0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	-10000	3	-44	0.06	49%	-0.12	-32.4	6.46%	0	0.1	42	0
3	Jul_24_2015	655.23	570.59	541.16	544.4			579(4.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	-10000	6	-56	0.1	49%	-0.11	-33.1	6.53%	0	0.2	46	0
4	Jul_23_2015	655.94	569.48	542.13	533.6			555(7.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-14	-10000	2	-63	0.27	49%	-0.23	-44.1	6.51%	0	-0.4	50	0
5	Jul_22_2015	657.44	571.8	548.35	530			518(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-0	-64	0.13	47%	-0.37	-40.4	6.5%	0	-1.4	41	0

6	Jul_21_2015	659.85	577.16	561.31	530.8			519(-5.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10000	-4	-54	0.12	47%	-0.37	-30.4	6.51%	0	-1.5	46	0
7	Jul_20_2015	662.3	582.25	572.29	538.6			551(4.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-10000	1	-40	0.2	49%	-0.31	-16.1	6.48%	0	-0.8	47	0
8	Jul_17_2015	664.34	583.68	577.77	537.4			525(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10000	-8	-43	0.11	49%	-0.37	-23.1	6.59%	0	-1.6	42	0
9	Jul_16_2015	666.82	587.11	582.77	552.2			537(2.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-10000	-10	-31	0.18	47%	-0.17	-12.3	6.61%	0	-1.5	50	0
10	Jul_15_2015	667.95	588.08	589.13	570.2			522(-6.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-14	-10000	-13	-18	0.2	46%	-0.17	3	6.7%	0	-2	42	0

11	Jul_14_2015	669.08	589.12	594.96	596.6			558(2.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-6	-10000	-7	-1	0.1	46%	-0.12	19.8	6.72%	0	-1	43	0
12	Jul_13_2015	669.88	588.25	598.12	611			545(-9.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-3	-10000	-6	7	0.22	46%	-0.06	11.8	6.72%	0	-1.3	43	0
13	Jul_10_2015	670.3	592.12	604.06	623.2			599(-4.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	9	-10000	3	25	0.09	47%	-0.1	1.2	6.63%	0	0.2	55	0
14	Jul_9_2015	671	591.23	600.27	616.8			627(-4.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10000	3	16	0.08	50%	-0.08	-25.6	6.63%	0	1.1	56	0
15	Jul_8_2015	671.56	587.06	597.49	610.6			654(3.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	11	-10000	8	20	0.06	50%	-0.08	-55.1	6.71%	0	2	65	0

16	Jul_7_2015	672.12	582.82	593.52	593.8			630(3.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	8	-10000	5	18	0.08	50%	-0.06	-92.8	6.72%	0	1.6	65	0
17	Jul_6_2015	672.55	584.26	591.64	584.6			606(6.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	6	-10000	1	21	0.1	50%	-0.29	-93.6	6.7%	0	0.6	63	0
18	Jul_2_2015	674.49	591.72	588.54	583			567(-4.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	4	-10000	1	14	0.23	46%	-0.18	-49.8	6.69%	0	-0.4	45	0
19	Jul_1_2015	675.73	599.88	590.83	580.8			596(4.56%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	-10000	-1	12	0.08	46%	-0.31	-42.9	6.82%	0	-0.1	53	0
20	Jun_30_2015	677.8	606.16	586.21	582.2			570(-2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-5	13	0.11	46%	-0.46	-33.7	6.75%	0	-0.5	56	0

21	Jun_29_2015	680.93	611.82	582.87	593			584(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10000	-3	17	0.11	46%	-0.48	-23.5	6.75%	0	-0.4	53	0
22	Jun_26_2015	684.22	618.38	578.05	599.8			598(7.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	3	-10000	2	5	0.1	46%	-0.43	-11	6.76%	0	-0.3	44	0
23	Jun_25_2015	687.17	624.28	579.66	595.2			556(-7.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-3	-22	0.18	44%	-0.4	-0.5	6.76%	0	-0.9	34	0
24	Jun_24_2015	689.92	630.48	582.42	601.4			603(-3.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-4	-10000	6	-35	0.05	45%	-0.22	11.1	6.72%	0	-0.4	40	0
25	Jun_23_2015	691.45	630.64	576.54	590			624(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	10	-67	0.06	45%		12.5	6.73%	0	-0.1	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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