Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 28, 2015

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $677.0000 (13.02%) ($627.5000 - $688.5000) on Thu. May. 28, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.55% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $677.0000(13.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 5.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(8%)    UUP(6%)    TIP(4%)    SHY(3%)    IGOV(2%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -3.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-99%)    XOP(-16%)    XLE(-13%)    USO(-12%)    VWO(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.275% (StdDev 6.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $587.9(15.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $545.98(24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $576.96(17.34%)
To recent high   -24.4%
To recent low   40.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 11.4% (three month std-dev: 6.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150628

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_28_2015	705.02	576.96	545.98	587.9			677(13.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	18	-10000	17	21	0.14	42%	-0.2	-81.4	6.55%	0	1.5	49	0
2	May_27_2015	706.46	582.05	529.51	557.7			599(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	11	-29	0.08	37%	-0.25	-73.4	6.38%	0	0.2	43	0
3	May_26_2015	708.21	594.21	523.34	539.1			594.5(6.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	14	-58	0.1	44%	-0.35	-60.2	6.39%	0	0	45	0
4	May_22_2015	710.72	607.75	522.52	516.6			556(8.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	-10000	9	-79	0.09	41%	-0.22	-51.2	6.7%	0	-0.4	42	0
5	May_21_2015	712.32	620.89	523.51	502			513(-2.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-24	-10000	3	-104	0.11	38%	-0.42	-49.9	6.67%	0	-0.8	33	0

6	May_20_2015	715.32	635.99	537.47	497			526(3.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	-10000	-0	-109	0.1	35%	-0.24	-48.6	6.71%	0	-0.8	31	0
7	May_19_2015	717.01	648.34	548.78	497.2			506(4.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-10000	-5	-127	0.16	35%	-0.2	-49.5	6.87%	0	-1.1	20	0
8	May_18_2015	718.48	663.16	561.34	505.6			482(-0.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-47	-10000	-13	-149	0.06	35%	-0.37	-50.5	6.84%	0	-1.4	14	0
9	May_15_2015	721.13	680.82	575.78	529.8			483(-1.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-48	-10000	-10	-160	0.09	35%	-0.34	-51.1	6.8%	0	-1.6	14	0
10	May_14_2015	723.61	695.13	592.67	548.2			488(-7.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-56	-10000	-18	-168	0.17	35%	-0.34	-55.9	6.86%	0	-1.8	22	0

11	May_13_2015	726.06	707.87	612.43	583.6			527(-3.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-48	-10000	-12	-157	0.1	37%	-0.17	-58	6.85%	0	-1.7	26	0
12	May_12_2015	727.33	721.92	640.31	607.8			548(-9.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-10000	-8	-136	0.13	41%	-0.12	-55.1	6.88%	0	-1.7	33	0
13	May_11_2015	728.19	738.04	671.79	625			603(4.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10000	-2	-114	0.07	40%	0.12	-49.3	6.92%	0	-1.3	35	0
14	May_8_2015	727.32	752.2	699.81	628.8			575(-13.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-10000	-6	-104	0.14	40%	0.19	-44.6	7.09%	0	-1.8	30	0
15	May_7_2015	725.97	767.77	726.11	643.18			665(2.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-23	-10000	-1	-88	0.12	43%	0.32	-37.6	6.94%	0	-1.1	45	0

16	May_6_2015	723.69	777.18	741.72	646.38			648(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-31	-10000	-14	-82	0.06	43%	0.26	-36.6	6.99%	0	-1.5	47	0
17	May_5_2015	721.78	784.47	755.17	679.78			634(1.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-10000	-19	-68	0.06	43%	0.29	-28.5	6.99%	0	-1.8	40	0
18	May_4_2015	719.69	791.13	772.89	727.78			622(-3.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-27	-10000	-20	-47	0.09	43%	0.29	-16.2	7.06%	0	-2.2	35	0
19	May_1_2015	717.6	798.89	795.03	782.58			646.9(-5.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-14	-10000	-13	-18	0.11	43%	0.27	3.3	7.11%	0	-2.3	35	0
20	Apr_30_2015	715.68	803.44	807.81	820.2			681(-16.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-8	-10000	-9	-6	0.27	43%	0.34	19	7.14%	0	-2	38	0

21	Apr_29_2015	713.25	810.38	814.11	848.4			815(-6.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	3	-10000	3	3	0.08	52%	0.5	46.8	6.84%	0	0.1	49	0
22	Apr_28_2015	709.69	808.75	812.24	840			874(-2.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	-10000	5	0	0.04	52%	0.58	53.5	6.99%	0	1.2	60	0
23	Apr_27_2015	705.57	803.63	809.92	825.2			896(7.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	5	-10000	5	3	0.07	52%	0.7	55.9	6.99%	0	1.8	64	0
24	Apr_24_2015	700.66	796.69	807.01	812			835(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	6	8	0.06	50%	0.53	64.1	6.97%	0	0.8	60	0
25	Apr_23_2015	697	792.05	810.28	795.4			822(6.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	7	15	0.1	50%		64.6	7.03%	0	0.6	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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