Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $849.0000 (9.13%) ($771.0000 - $866.0000) on Thu. Apr. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.85% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $849.0000(9.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ advances 6.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(8%)    UUP(7%)    TIP(4%)    SHY(2%)    BND(1%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -4.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-99%)    XOP(-16%)    XLE(-13%)    USO(-12%)    VWO(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.425% (StdDev 8.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 8.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $767.2(10.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $771.11(10.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $720.08(17.9%)
To recent high   -6.4%
To recent low   65.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.08%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.08% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 8.97% (three month std-dev: 8.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150509

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_9_2015	674.14	720.08	771.11	767.2			849(9.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	14	-10000	3	48	0.11	48%	0.3	35.7	8.85%	0	2	74	0
2	Apr_8_2015	672.15	709.45	755.05	758.6			778(4.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	-0	53	0.06	46%	0.18	30.5	8.79%	0	1.2	74	0
3	Apr_7_2015	670.94	706.16	743.36	759			745(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-2	58	0.05	46%	0.13	29.6	8.81%	0	0.7	66	0
4	Apr_6_2015	670.08	705.8	737.8	765.2			753(5.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-1	62	0.05	46%	0.15	32	8.84%	0	0.8	56	0
5	Apr_2_2015	669.1	700.69	728.41	767.4			711(-11.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	14	-10000	-2	60	0.15	46%	0.07	25.5	8.74%	0	0.2	52	0

6	Apr_1_2015	668.6	697.78	721.8	773.4			806(3.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	7	64	0.1	49%	0.25	19	8.63%	0	1.9	61	0
7	Mar_31_2015	666.95	691.91	700.41	750.2			780(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	8	47	0.05	53%	0.21	12.7	8.69%	0	1.7	65	0
8	Mar_30_2015	665.57	689.76	684.61	725			776(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10000	6	22	0.07	53%	0.21	9.9	8.93%	0	1.7	54	0
9	Mar_27_2015	664.2	688.04	675.85	706.6			764(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	7	-10000	7	8	0.09	50%	0.19	11	9.03%	0	1.5	51	0
10	Mar_26_2015	662.96	686.63	669	684.4			741(7.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	6	-10000	7	1	0.15	50%	0.15	13.4	9.1%	0	1.1	59	0

11	Mar_25_2015	661.97	687.25	663.35	663			690(5.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-10000	7	-6	0.08	50%	0.05	10.6	9.06%	0	0.1	56	0
12	Mar_24_2015	661.61	685.36	658.63	643			654(-4.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	2	-24	0.07	52%	-0.02	-3.5	9.11%	0	-0.6	48	0
13	Mar_23_2015	661.71	684.74	664.87	637.2			684(4.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-9	-10000	-1	-31	0.12	52%	0.05	-13.3	9.2%	0	-0	45	0
14	Mar_20_2015	661.41	682.66	670.15	640.8			653(3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-10000	-4	-31	0.14	57%	-0.02	-16.3	9.48%	0	-0.5	42	0
15	Mar_19_2015	661.53	680	670.4	652.2			634(7.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-4	-33	0.14	59%	-0.06	-24.6	9.55%	0	-0.8	41	0

16	Mar_18_2015	661.9	682.04	672.59	664.6			590(-5.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-11	-10000	-3	-36	0.15	59%	-0.15	-20.7	9.74%	0	-1.7	35	0
17	Mar_17_2015	662.88	687.13	684.52	675.4			625(-10.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-10000	-6	-29	0.12	59%	-0.08	-26.8	9.7%	0	-1.2	53	0
18	Mar_16_2015	663.41	691.57	697.45	694.8			702(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-10000	-3	-9	0.08	62%	0.08	-31.7	9.6%	0	0.2	60	0
19	Mar_13_2015	662.87	691.8	702.5	703.8			710(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	4	8	0.11	62%	0.1	-44.1	9.55%	0	0.4	60	0
20	Mar_12_2015	662.19	693.79	706.05	692			696(8.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	3	15	0.14	62%	0.07	-59	9.63%	0	0	64	0

21	Mar_11_2015	661.7	693.4	712.79	682.6			644(-10.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-3	16	0.14	62%	-0.04	-75.1	9.67%	0	-1	52	0
22	Mar_10_2015	661.96	700.88	714.7	694.2			722(-3.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	4	-10000	-2	21	0.07	65%	0.13	-62.4	9.55%	0	0.4	56	0
23	Mar_9_2015	661.07	707.57	706.44	700.6			747(14.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	4	-10000	-1	19	0.12	65%	0.2	-46.1	9.57%	0	0.6	55	0
24	Mar_6_2015	659.77	714.3	695.63	703			651(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-6	13	0.09	64%	-0.02	-33.8	9.46%	0	-0.8	46	0
25	Mar_5_2015	659.9	725.59	690.74	723			649(-7.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-3	-10000	-7	8	0.18	61%		-20.6	9.53%	0	-0.9	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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