Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 12, 2015

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $696.0000 (8.07%) ($620.0000 - $708.0000) on Thu. Mar. 12, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.63% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $696.0000(8.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(8%)    UUP(7%)    TIP(3%)    SHY(2%)    BND(1%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -4.815% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-99%)    XOP(-16%)    XLE(-13%)    VWO(-11%)    USO(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.815% (StdDev 9.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 8.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $692(0.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $706.05(-1.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $693.79(0.32%)
To recent high   -23.3%
To recent low   64.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 7.42% (three month std-dev: 9.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150412

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_12_2015	662.19	693.79	706.05	692			696(8.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	3	15	0.14	62%	0.07	-59	9.63%	0	0	64	0
2	Mar_11_2015	661.7	693.4	712.79	682.6			644(-10.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-3	16	0.14	62%	-0.04	-75.1	9.67%	0	-1	52	0
3	Mar_10_2015	661.96	700.88	714.7	694.2			722(-3.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	4	-10000	-2	21	0.07	65%	0.13	-62.4	9.55%	0	0.4	56	0
4	Mar_9_2015	661.07	707.57	706.44	700.6			747(14.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	4	-10000	-1	19	0.12	65%	0.2	-46.1	9.57%	0	0.6	55	0
5	Mar_6_2015	659.77	714.3	695.63	703			651(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-6	13	0.09	64%	-0.02	-33.8	9.46%	0	-0.8	46	0

6	Mar_5_2015	659.9	725.59	690.74	723			649(-7.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-3	-10000	-7	8	0.18	61%	-0.03	-20.6	9.53%	0	-0.9	41	0
7	Mar_4_2015	660.07	734.34	693.32	746.8			702(-6.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	8	-10000	3	23	0.11	63%	0.1	-6.5	9.63%	0	-0.4	54	0
8	Mar_3_2015	659.4	737.02	691.18	736			754(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	7	10	0.09	64%	0.23	-5.5	9.67%	0	0.2	47	0
9	Mar_2_2015	657.88	739.9	685.68	711.6			759(1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	7	-16	0.09	65%	0.25	-6.7	9.69%	0	0.2	42	0
10	Feb_27_2015	656.22	742.24	679.61	687.2			751(-2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-10000	10	-41	0.09	65%	0.24	-5.9	9.75%	0	0.1	40	0

11	Feb_26_2015	654.64	743.75	678.75	654.2			768(18.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-12	-10000	6	-65	0.15	65%	0.29	-12.4	9.82%	0	0.3	42	0
12	Feb_25_2015	652.72	740.06	669.61	634.2			648(2.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-24	-10000	-2	-89	0.09	63%	-0.01	-16.6	9.66%	0	-1	38	0
13	Feb_24_2015	652.8	741.79	683.74	640.8			632(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-5	-84	0.14	63%	-0.06	-16.9	9.74%	0	-1.2	44	0
14	Feb_23_2015	653.17	745.9	706.97	656.2			637(8.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-10000	-4	-73	0.11	63%	-0.04	-8.4	9.82%	0	-1.3	40	0
15	Feb_20_2015	653.46	747.57	732.94	670.8			586(-12.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-10000	-10	-63	0.22	63%	-0.19	0.3	9.86%	0	-1.9	36	0

16	Feb_19_2015	654.68	755.05	763.41	705.4			668(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-1	-40	0.19	66%	0.04	24.8	9.77%	0	-1.1	44	0
17	Feb_18_2015	654.44	755.38	779.76	709.4			681(-3.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-7	-32	0.11	66%	0.08	20.9	9.85%	0	-0.9	54	0
18	Feb_17_2015	653.93	757.22	788.52	733			709(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-9	-17	0.09	66%	0.16	20.2	9.92%	0	-0.6	58	0
19	Feb_13_2015	652.87	753.3	800.51	766.5			709.99(-6.46%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-6	-10000	-10	5	0.12	66%	0.17	22.6	10.01%	0	-0.5	55	0
20	Feb_12_2015	651.75	747.34	812.01	805.9			759(10.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10000	-6	36	0.09	66%	0.33	23.1	10.04%	0	0.1	62	0

21	Feb_11_2015	649.61	736.11	815.63	831.5			688(-13.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	9	-10000	-6	55	0.11	64%	0.12	14.1	10.07%	0	-0.5	52	0
22	Feb_10_2015	648.83	739.23	818.67	858.9			799(-8.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	21	-10000	2	77	0.08	68%	0.48	20.9	9.91%	0	0.6	64	0
23	Feb_9_2015	645.7	741.82	806.79	849.7			876.5(-3.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	3	72	0.05	68%	0.77	22	9.89%	0	1.2	63	0
24	Feb_6_2015	640.79	734.75	788.9	838.8			907(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	4	78	0.06	68%	0.91	19.3	9.96%	0	1.7	71	0
25	Feb_5_2015	635	726.59	762.78	820.4			887(7.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	-10000	5	79	0.08	68%		13.7	10.07%	0	1.7	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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