Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 22, 2017

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $87.2300 (0.67%) ($86.2700 - $87.3400) on Wed. Nov. 22, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $87.2300(0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(46%)    SPLV(44%)    IVW(42%)    IWF(42%)    SPY(42%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-8%)    UUP(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)    XHB(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $86.25(1.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.74(2.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.28(4.74%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20.3%
Market Cap   $21.958b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 2.5% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 0.52%(30%) Average negative next day return: -0.67%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 2.68%(30%) Average negative next three day return: -0.75%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 1.01%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.26%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_22_2017	77.91	83.28	84.74	86.25	86.37	86.94	87.23(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	68	50	39	154	1.51	67%	0.12	36.4	1.34%	0	1.9	67	INF
2	Nov_21_2017	77.82	83.09	84.09	85.26	85.75	86.74	86.65(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	89	100	73	136	2.91	67%	0.19	28.6	1.36%	0	1.9	69	INF
3	Nov_20_2017	77.67	82.93	83.5	84.58	84.52	85.8	86.94(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	80	100	68	116	3.27	67%	0.19	26.1	1.36%	0	2.3	72	INF
4	Nov_17_2017	77.52	82.75	82.85	83.9	83.69	84.76	85.5(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	75	80	68	95	2.49	65%	0.19	22.9	1.36%	0	1.9	66	INF
5	Nov_16_2017	77.37	82.64	82.47	83.63	83.36	83.24	84.91(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	49	-20	41	71	3.51	65%	0.18	23.3	1.36%	0	1.7	54	INF

6	Nov_15_2017	77.23	82.52	82.2	83.03	83.01	82.62	82.3(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-11	-30	-21	20	2.24	55%	0.14	14.4	1.31%	0	-0.2	41	INF
7	Nov_14_2017	77.12	82.55	82.1	82.71	82.76	83.47	83.25(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	60	26	16	2.76	55%	0.17	8.5	1.39%	0	0.6	45	INF
8	Nov_13_2017	76.99	82.49	81.85	82.19	82.13	83.39	83.55(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	58	110	76	5	2.79	55%	0.18	1.3	1.4%	0	0.8	46	INF
9	Nov_10_2017	76.85	82.42	81.6	81.62	81.32	82.04	84.15(2.73%)	RB	SmallLong	20	2.1	38	50	61	-31	3.67	52%	0.17	-1.3	1.4%	0	1.4	49	INF
10	Nov_9_2017	76.72	82.33	81.47	81.16	80.84	80.86	81.91(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	-10	2	-71	2.28	48%	0.14	-3.5	1.39%	0	-0.4	40	INF

11	Nov_8_2017	76.61	82.34	81.68	81.28	81.08	80.6	80.7(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-50	-17	-70	1.15	46%	0.12	2.1	1.38%	0	-1.4	39	INF
12	Nov_7_2017	76.52	82.44	82	81.39	81.4	80.82	80.66(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-50	-31	-68	1.86	49%	0.12	9.9	1.38%	0	-1.5	39	INF
13	Nov_6_2017	76.43	82.48	82.34	81.43	81.55	81.56	80.68(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	10	-17	-53	1.5	49%	0.14	7.6	1.4%	0	-1.4	45	INF
14	Nov_3_2017	76.32	82.43	82.67	81.54	81.57	81.98	81.87(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	40	11	-31	2.01	51%	0.12	1.3	1.38%	0	-0.4	50	INF
15	Nov_2_2017	76.23	82.37	82.84	81.81	81.58	81.55	82.51(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-6	-10	-0	-23	1.86	51%	0.09	4.3	1.38%	0	0.1	50	INF

16	Nov_1_2017	76.16	82.32	82.89	82.19	81.95	81.15	81.23(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-40	-80	-44	-27	1.49	49%	0.08	17.2	1.38%	0	-0.8	46	INF
17	Oct_31_2017	76.1	82.33	83.07	82.73	82.76	81.62	80.84(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-55	-100	-67	-19	2.26	49%	0.08	33.7	1.38%	0	-1.1	41	INF
18	Oct_30_2017	76.04	82.37	83.23	83.39	83.44	82.75	81.23(-2.44%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.7	-44	-60	-61	8	2.35	49%	0.08	56.3	1.38%	0	-0.9	56	INF
19	Oct_27_2017	75.98	82.42	83.36	83.92	83.89	83.9	83.26(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-0	-14	60	1.83	53%	0.12	77.4	1.34%	0	0.6	78	INF
20	Oct_26_2017	75.89	82.31	83.29	83.99	84.06	84.13	84.37(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	10	20	89	1.72	53%	0.15	86.9	1.33%	0	1.5	74	INF

21	Oct_25_2017	75.78	82.09	83.07	83.7	83.83	83.88	83.97(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	10	6	79	1.33	56%	0.11	94	1.34%	0	1.4	62	INF
22	Oct_24_2017	75.7	81.89	82.92	83.47	83.58	83.99	84.1(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	40	22	85	1.66	56%	0.08	96.4	1.36%	0	1.6	64	INF
23	Oct_23_2017	75.64	81.65	82.61	83.07	83.26	83.78	83.92(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	50	39	80	2.23	56%	0.07	98.8	1.36%	0	1.7	62	INF
24	Oct_20_2017	75.59	81.42	82.15	82.71	82.77	83.18	83.61(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	40	27	52	2.17	56%	0.08	91.7	1.36%	0	1.5	58	INF
25	Oct_19_2017	75.53	81.13	81.83	82.5	82.45	82.75	82.91(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	20	20	40	1.66	56%		79.3	1.36%	0	1.1	59	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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