Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 4, 2017

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $81.2900 (-0.14%) ($81.1400 - $82.3800) on Wed. Oct. 4, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $81.2900(-0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(46%)    SPLV(44%)    SPY(42%)    IVW(41%)    IWF(41%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-8%)    UUP(-4%)    TLT(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)    XHB(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.13(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.96(1.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $78.52(3.53%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   17.7%
Market Cap   $20.462b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 2.52% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 0.89%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.81%(60%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 0.95%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.62%(33%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 1.59%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.36%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2017	74.46	78.52	79.96	81.13	81.3	81.6	81.29(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	30	19	117	1.56	52%	0.15	88.9	1.36%	0	1.4	75	0
2	Oct_3_2017	74.35	78.21	79.59	80.86	80.84	81.49	81.4(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	56	60	36	116	2.06	52%	0.13	80.6	1.37%	0	1.6	69	0
3	Oct_2_2017	74.25	77.86	79.15	80.45	80.32	81.01	81.9(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	66	60	51	111	1.92	52%	0.13	72.7	1.37%	0	2.1	76	0
4	Sep_29_2017	74.15	77.4	78.68	79.93	79.79	80.2	81.05(1.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	60	30	46	102	2.49	55%	0.12	51.2	1.38%	0	1.8	77	0
5	Sep_28_2017	74.06	76.98	78.31	79.26	79.19	79.64	80.02(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	48	40	35	88	2.31	55%	0.09	33.6	1.38%	0	1.5	76	0

6	Sep_27_2017	73.99	76.79	78.02	78.61	78.55	79.38	79.93(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	53	70	45	78	2.54	55%	0.08	27.7	1.38%	0	1.6	68	0
7	Sep_26_2017	73.93	76.62	77.79	78.13	77.96	78.74	79.33(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	63	60	57	81	2.51	55%	0.08	23.9	1.38%	0	1.5	71	0
8	Sep_25_2017	73.87	76.5	77.54	77.66	77.44	77.72	79.34(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	20	34	72	2.97	55%	0.08	25	1.38%	0	1.7	74	0
9	Sep_22_2017	73.81	76.4	77.2	77.25	77.12	77.18	77.66(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	15	0	-2	64	3.51	48%	0.05	30.7	1.38%	0	0.8	76	0
10	Sep_21_2017	73.77	76.3	77	77.24	77.26	77.15	76.77(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	-10	1	83	1.71	48%	0.04	35.7	1.38%	0	0.3	74	0

11	Sep_20_2017	73.74	76.27	76.97	77.33	77.28	77.07	77.55(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-20	-13	80	1.77	48%	0.05	43.4	1.38%	0	0.8	52	0
12	Sep_19_2017	73.7	76.21	76.75	77.39	77.32	77.38	76.99(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	0	-7	78	2.1	51%	0.07	54.6	1.38%	0	0.5	50	0
13	Sep_18_2017	73.65	76.1	76.51	77.38	77.46	77.5	77.28(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	10	19	74	3.52	51%	0.05	48.5	1.4%	0	0.8	49	0
14	Sep_15_2017	73.61	75.93	76.06	77.12	77.19	77.26	77.6(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	10	8	35	4.15	41%	0.07	37.7	1.45%	0	1.1	48	0
15	Sep_14_2017	73.56	75.76	75.57	76.71	76.86	77.43	77.23(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	60	20	11	2.36	41%	0.07	27.1	1.56%	0	1	55	0

16	Sep_13_2017	73.51	75.62	75.49	76.54	76.48	77.13	77.84(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	60	44	18	3.63	41%	0.08	16.9	1.55%	0	1.5	54	0
17	Sep_12_2017	73.45	75.41	75.49	76.03	76.05	76.3	76.96(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	24	20	32	0	2.84	41%	0.08	-1.5	1.55%	0	1	51	0
18	Sep_11_2017	73.39	75.37	75.35	75.51	75.63	75.83	75.97(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	18	20	25	-5	4.16	41%	0.07	-10.8	1.54%	0	0.4	55	0
19	Sep_8_2017	73.34	75.35	75.49	74.83	75	75.81	75.56(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	27	80	37	-3	5.11	44%	0.07	-22.2	1.56%	0	0.1	57	0
20	Sep_7_2017	73.29	75.34	75.5	74.23	74.22	75.44	76.39(1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	41	110	56	-6	3.45	43%	0.1	-30.4	1.56%	0	0.7	58	0

21	Sep_6_2017	73.22	75.37	75.48	74.3	73.32	74.19	75.29(1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	17	40	25	-8	2.54	39%	0.1	-21.6	1.56%	0	-0.1	54	0
22	Sep_5_2017	73.15	75.43	75.59	74.62	73.72	73.01	74.36(2.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-6	-100	-8	-0	3.49	39%	0.07	-12.3	1.62%	0	-0.7	55	0
23	Sep_1_2017	73.1	75.53	75.65	75.22	74.57	72.45	72.54(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-85	-220	-103	-29	3.7	44%	0.05	2.5	1.59%	0	-2	38	0
24	Aug_31_2017	73.06	75.67	75.83	76.24	75.85	74.42	72.56(-5.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-71	-150	-92	-7	12.44	44%	0.05	24.4	1.78%	0	-2.3	43	0
25	Aug_30_2017	73.02	75.79	76.06	76.87	76.98	76.68	76.73(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-7	-20	-21	36	4.24	49%		40.8	1.65%	0	0.8	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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