Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 31, 2017

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $69.7300 (-1.59%) ($69.7100 - $70.9300) on Fri. Mar. 31, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $69.7300(-1.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(45%)    SPLV(43%)    IVW(41%)    IWF(41%)    SPY(41%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-8%)    GDXJ(-5%)    UUP(-4%)    TLT(-4%)    SHY(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $65.83(-5.59%)
Resistance Level   $71.23
5 Day Moving Average   $69.76(-0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.93(-0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $71.23(-2.11%)
To recent high   -10.4%
To recent low   1.7%
Market Cap   $17.553b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 2.2% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.5%(63%) Average negative next day return: -1.8%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 2.27%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -1.12%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 3.79%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.81%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_31_2017	74.36	71.23	69.93	69.76	69.81	70.48	69.73(-1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-6	70	15	-69	2.12	53%	-0.07	-67.3	1.6%	0	-1	37	INF
2	Mar_30_2017	74.41	71.4	70.17	69.71	69.55	70.19	70.86(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	20	60	47	-61	1.42	53%	-0.01	-77.6	1.6%	0	-0.3	39	INF
3	Mar_29_2017	74.42	71.55	70.37	69.71	69.19	69.14	70.69(3.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-17	-10	8	-92	3.12	53%	0.01	-87.9	1.6%	0	-0.5	35	INF
4	Mar_28_2017	74.41	71.68	70.55	69.32	69.13	68.91	68.55(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-46	-30	-25	-109	2.35	50%	-0.01	-99.1	1.55%	0	-1.9	31	INF
5	Mar_27_2017	74.42	71.91	70.99	69.61	69.57	69.25	68.97(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-30	-21	-93	2.45	50%	0	-99.2	1.55%	0	-1.6	41	INF

6	Mar_24_2017	74.42	72.3	71.36	70.13	69.98	69.35	69.48(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-52	-70	-41	-86	3.59	50%	0.01	-87.1	1.55%	0	-1.4	38	INF
7	Mar_23_2017	74.41	72.68	71.71	70.7	70.67	69.89	68.9(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-62	-80	-56	-78	5.17	50%	0	-77.4	1.55%	0	-1.9	33	INF
8	Mar_22_2017	74.41	73.04	72.2	71.56	71.53	70.62	70.68(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-50	-90	-49	-53	2.13	48%	0.01	-70.1	1.52%	0	-1.2	34	INF
9	Mar_21_2017	74.4	73.36	72.4	71.99	72.2	71.46	70.01(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-47	-60	-48	-43	4.2	48%	0.01	-60.4	1.6%	0	-1.6	36	INF
10	Mar_20_2017	74.39	73.75	72.57	72.55	72.62	72.45	71.6(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-10	-21	-25	2.83	53%	0.05	-53.2	1.57%	0	-1.1	44	INF

11	Mar_17_2017	74.35	74.05	72.67	72.75	72.76	72.93	72.33(-1.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-4	20	5	-29	4.36	51%	0.07	-46.4	1.58%	0	-0.8	32	INF
12	Mar_16_2017	74.3	74.23	72.75	72.86	72.64	72.78	73.2(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	0	3	-47	9.77	51%	0.07	-49.3	1.59%	0	-0.5	32	INF
13	Mar_15_2017	74.25	74.43	72.82	72.95	72.69	72.6	72.81(-0.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	-20	2	-54	4.14	53%	0.07	-42.4	1.59%	0	-0.8	38	INF
14	Mar_14_2017	74.2	74.65	72.87	72.89	72.83	72.49	72.82(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-21	-40	-2	-76	4.3	53%	0.05	-33.9	1.6%	0	-0.8	34	INF
15	Mar_13_2017	74.16	74.81	72.88	72.6	72.68	72.79	72.59(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-35	10	-10	-111	3.6	53%	0.07	-31.1	1.6%	0	-1	32	INF

16	Mar_10_2017	74.11	75.03	73.27	72.57	72.58	73.17	72.89(-1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	60	20	-105	2.54	53%	0.07	-24.6	1.6%	0	-1	33	INF
17	Mar_9_2017	74.06	75.27	73.68	72.61	72.45	72.57	73.63(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	0	15	-101	3.03	53%	0.07	-15.2	1.61%	0	-0.8	43	INF
18	Mar_8_2017	74.01	75.35	73.89	72.7	72.51	71.99	72.53(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-60	-22	-123	2.31	53%	0.05	-10.9	1.59%	0	-1.4	35	INF
19	Mar_7_2017	73.97	75.39	74.36	72.86	72.97	72.33	71.36(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-60	-60	-38	-127	2.48	51%	0.04	-11	1.58%	0	-2	32	INF
20	Mar_6_2017	73.94	75.48	75.01	73.2	73.49	73.02	72.42(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-57	-30	-39	-111	1.89	51%	0.05	-6.1	1.59%	0	-1.5	40	INF

21	Mar_3_2017	73.9	75.55	75.55	74.07	73.8	73.61	73.12(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-52	-30	-41	-85	3.04	51%	0.05	12.9	1.6%	0	-1.3	39	INF
22	Mar_2_2017	73.86	75.59	75.86	74.92	74.65	73.96	74.07(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-80	-21	-63	2.43	51%	0.03	30	1.61%	0	-0.8	39	INF
23	Mar_1_2017	73.84	75.58	76.2	75.29	75.42	73.99	73.35(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-67	-130	-68	-62	5.04	46%	0.03	38.5	1.62%	0	-1.1	48	INF
24	Feb_28_2017	73.82	75.62	76.61	76.09	76.11	75.35	73.02(-4.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-62	-70	-74	-25	6.95	46%	0.01	56.5	1.71%	0	-1.4	55	INF
25	Feb_27_2017	73.81	75.6	76.96	77.06	77.02	76.84	76.79(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-20	-11	44	2.58	51%		73	1.62%	0	0.6	67	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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