Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $94.2400 (-0.08%) ($94.2300 - $94.8500) on Mon. Jul. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $94.2400(-0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    SPLV(42%)    SPY(40%)    IVW(39%)    IWF(39%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    IPO(-4%)    UUP(-3%)    TLT(-2%)    GDXJ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $94.09(0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $93.83(0.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $92.54(1.84%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   18.2%
Market Cap   $23.722b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 1.59% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 0.78%(39%) Average negative next day return: -0.95%(61%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 1.04%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -2.39%(56%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 1.25%(28%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.5%(72%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160811

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_11_2016	84.98	92.54	93.83	94.09	94.19	94.33	94.24(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	10	20	69	2.1	70%	0.27	53.5	1.25%	0	1.2	73	INF
2	Jul_8_2016	84.75	92.39	93.63	93.94	93.94	94.05	94.32(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	10	4	70	1.66	70%	0.26	51	1.25%	0	1.3	77	INF
3	Jul_7_2016	84.53	92.25	93.38	93.87	93.83	94.04	93.78(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	10	9	75	1.5	70%	0.24	55.8	1.27%	0	1.1	68	INF
4	Jul_6_2016	84.33	92.11	93.21	93.88	93.81	93.82	94.51(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-0	17	87	1.94	70%	0.26	58.3	1.27%	0	1.8	74	INF
5	Jul_5_2016	84.11	91.9	92.9	93.56	93.67	93.62	93.6(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	15	-0	-5	75	1.8	70%	0.29	58.5	1.27%	0	1.4	70	INF

6	Jul_1_2016	83.87	91.76	92.65	93.54	93.61	93.8	93.48(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	20	14	83	2.19	73%	0.3	66.7	1.3%	0	1.5	68	INF
7	Jun_30_2016	83.62	91.67	92.32	93.27	93.33	93.72	94(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	30	33	78	3.18	73%	0.3	79.2	1.31%	0	2.1	64	INF
8	Jun_29_2016	83.37	91.5	91.99	92.8	92.73	93.42	93.8(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	50	34	63	1.9	73%	0.29	109.4	1.31%	0	2.4	61	INF
9	Jun_28_2016	83.13	91.34	91.65	92.43	92.33	92.94	92.9(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	40	47	57	2.66	75%	0.29	150.5	1.3%	0	1.8	62	INF
10	Jun_27_2016	82.89	91.19	91.42	92.14	91.99	92.05	93.51(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	31	-0	27	41	4.08	75%	0.27	203.4	1.33%	0	2.9	68	INF

11	Jun_24_2016	82.67	91	91.12	91.64	91.7	91.72	92.13(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	0	2	17	3.01	74%	0.24	293	1.33%	0	1.7	59	INF
12	Jun_23_2016	82.47	90.8	91.03	91.22	91.58	91.93	91.68(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	40	22	12	1.79	74%	0.21	238.5	1.34%	0	1	47	INF
13	Jun_22_2016	82.3	90.45	91.02	91.05	91.16	91.68	91.94(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	40	29	13	1.62	74%	0.19	135.9	1.34%	0	0.9	56	INF
14	Jun_21_2016	82.14	90.05	90.9	90.76	90.84	91.23	91.46(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	30	30	6	2.51	74%	0.18	104.5	1.34%	0	0.6	55	INF
15	Jun_20_2016	81.99	89.58	90.81	90.58	90.6	90.64	90.98(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	8	0	11	-3	1.9	74%	0.2	76.2	1.34%	0	0.5	58	INF

16	Jun_17_2016	81.83	89.14	90.8	90.53	90.48	90.44	90.05(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-0	-14	-11	7.07	74%	0.21	66.6	1.34%	0	0.3	54	INF
17	Jun_16_2016	81.66	88.77	90.97	90.81	90.68	90.57	90.81(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-10	-5	18	2.25	74%	0.22	61.6	1.34%	0	0.6	71	INF
18	Jun_15_2016	81.48	88.25	90.98	90.99	90.88	90.51	90.48(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-30	-16	49	2.76	74%	0.21	53.2	1.34%	0	0.5	81	INF
19	Jun_14_2016	81.31	87.81	91.02	91.07	91.07	90.8	90.58(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-20	-17	86	1.91	74%	0.23	48	1.34%	0	0.6	83	INF
20	Jun_13_2016	81.12	87.43	90.97	91.06	91.1	91.25	90.74(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	32	10	-2	134	2.08	74%	0.23	45.5	1.35%	0	0.8	87	INF

21	Jun_10_2016	80.93	86.98	90.89	91.09	91.02	91.33	91.44(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	56	20	14	181	2.17	83%	0.26	43.7	1.37%	0	1	88	INF
22	Jun_9_2016	80.72	86.58	90.57	91.16	90.97	90.95	91.69(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	46	-10	9	156	2.02	83%	0.27	46.6	1.89%	0	1.2	86	INF
23	Jun_8_2016	80.5	86.13	89.87	91	90.94	90.7	90.88(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	36	-20	-8	167	2.33	83%	0.26	46.5	1.89%	0	1.1	88	INF
24	Jun_7_2016	80.29	85.79	89.17	90.97	91	90.99	90.56(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	45	0	-1	182	2.37	83%	0.12	50	1.89%	0	1.2	79	INF
25	Jun_6_2016	80.19	85.49	88.29	90.84	90.87	91.17	90.87(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	54	20	11	184	2.64	83%		54.9	1.89%	0	1.4	71	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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