Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $90.9800 (1.03%) ($90.6300 - $91.5200) on Mon. Jun. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $90.9800(1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    SPLV(42%)    SPY(40%)    IVW(39%)    IWF(39%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    IPO(-4%)    UUP(-3%)    TLT(-2%)    GDXJ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $90.58(0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.81(0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.58(1.56%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   14.1%
Market Cap   $22.902b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 3.23% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160720

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_20_2016	81.99	89.58	90.81	90.58	90.6	90.64	90.98(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	8	0	11	-3	1.9	74%	0.2	76.2	1.34%	0	0.5	58	0
2	Jun_17_2016	81.83	89.14	90.8	90.53	90.48	90.44	90.05(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-0	-14	-11	7.07	74%	0.21	66.6	1.34%	0	0.3	54	0
3	Jun_16_2016	81.66	88.77	90.97	90.81	90.68	90.57	90.81(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-10	-5	18	2.25	74%	0.22	61.6	1.34%	0	0.6	71	0
4	Jun_15_2016	81.48	88.25	90.98	90.99	90.88	90.51	90.48(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-30	-16	49	2.76	74%	0.21	53.2	1.34%	0	0.5	81	0
5	Jun_14_2016	81.31	87.81	91.02	91.07	91.07	90.8	90.58(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-20	-17	86	1.91	74%	0.23	48	1.34%	0	0.6	83	0

6	Jun_13_2016	81.12	87.43	90.97	91.06	91.1	91.25	90.74(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	32	10	-2	134	2.08	74%	0.23	45.5	1.35%	0	0.8	87	0
7	Jun_10_2016	80.93	86.98	90.89	91.09	91.02	91.33	91.44(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	56	20	14	181	2.17	83%	0.26	43.7	1.37%	0	1	88	0
8	Jun_9_2016	80.72	86.58	90.57	91.16	90.97	90.95	91.69(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	46	-10	9	156	2.02	83%	0.27	46.6	1.89%	0	1.2	86	0
9	Jun_8_2016	80.5	86.13	89.87	91	90.94	90.7	90.88(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	36	-20	-8	167	2.33	83%	0.26	46.5	1.89%	0	1.1	88	0
10	Jun_7_2016	80.29	85.79	89.17	90.97	91	90.99	90.56(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	45	0	-1	182	2.37	83%	0.12	50	1.89%	0	1.2	79	0

11	Jun_6_2016	80.19	85.49	88.29	90.84	90.87	91.17	90.87(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	54	20	11	184	2.64	83%	0.29	54.9	1.89%	0	1.4	71	0
12	Jun_3_2016	79.96	85.08	87.4	90.64	90.55	91.02	91.8(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	69	30	28	193	2.03	83%	0.3	58.4	1.89%	0	1.8	76	0
13	Jun_2_2016	79.72	84.6	86.41	89.89	90.09	90.57	90.9(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	78	40	43	183	2.91	83%	0.29	60.3	1.88%	0	1.9	66	0
14	Jun_1_2016	79.49	84.22	85.3	88.53	89.24	90.08	90.74(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	80	90	56	150	2.96	83%	0.26	56.7	1.89%	0	2.1	67	0
15	May_31_2016	79.28	83.79	84.31	87.07	87.59	89.61	89.9(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	91	180	82	119	4.5	83%	0.35	51.4	1.91%	0	2.3	61	0

16	May_27_2016	79	83.39	83.55	85.33	85.72	88.41	89.88(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	116	230	124	92	3.51	79%	0.24	40.6	1.93%	0	2.9	58	0
17	May_26_2016	78.81	82.97	82.66	83.68	83.78	85.57	88.01(4.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	88	150	103	43	6.32	78%	0.19	27.1	1.93%	0	2.9	59	0
18	May_25_2016	78.66	82.59	82.15	82.48	82.35	83.04	84.13(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	37	50	49	-1	4.49	76%	0.15	3.2	1.85%	0	1.2	54	0
19	May_24_2016	78.54	82.51	82.02	81.59	81.79	82	83.42(2.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	11	30	26	-33	3.58	76%	0.14	-16.1	1.85%	0	0.7	48	0
20	May_23_2016	78.43	82.45	82.07	81.14	81.12	81.67	81.22(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	50	-3	-51	2.19	75%	0.04	-31.1	1.83%	0	-1	46	0

21	May_20_2016	78.4	82.45	82.43	81.48	81.17	81.58	81.62(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	14	20	26	-24	2.14	75%	0.13	-29.9	1.83%	0	-0.7	49	0
22	May_19_2016	78.3	82.5	82.6	81.46	81.3	80.57	82(2.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-20	-70	-14	-36	2.44	75%	0.13	-36.6	1.84%	0	-0.4	52	0
23	May_18_2016	78.2	82.55	82.67	81.8	81.58	80.76	79.71(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-55	-80	-59	-41	3.9	69%	0.1	-27.8	1.82%	0	-2.4	49	0
24	May_17_2016	78.12	82.71	83.13	82.48	82.49	82.04	81.17(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-19	-40	-23	-8	3.1	70%	0.12	-17.9	1.82%	0	-1.5	47	0
25	May_16_2016	78.03	82.83	83.33	83.11	82.76	82.4	82.88(1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-21	-40	-30	6	2.3	76%		0	1.81%	0	0.1	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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