Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $83.9000 (-0.85%) ($83.8000 - $85.1800) on Tue. Mar. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.96% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $83.9000(-0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 5.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    IVW(39%)    IWF(39%)    SPY(39%)    XLY(39%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.98% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    IPO(-4%)    UUP(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)    TLT(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.98% (StdDev 1.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $84.27(-0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.65(0.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.57(5.44%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   22.7%
Market Cap   $21.119b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 5.97% (three month std-dev: 1.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.22%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.17%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.55%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.56%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 4.76%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.18%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160422

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_22_2016	71.77	79.57	83.65	84.27	84.33	84.42	83.9(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	44	10	-1	178	2.4	66%	0.22	61.6	1.96%	0	0.9	81	0
2	Mar_21_2016	71.61	79.08	82.77	84.5	84.37	84.32	84.62(0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	42	-10	-5	183	2.06	66%	0.24	64.3	1.96%	0	1.2	79	0
3	Mar_18_2016	71.44	78.48	81.83	84.74	84.63	84.24	84.04(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	40	-40	-12	194	4.38	66%	0.25	69	1.96%	0	1.2	81	0
4	Mar_17_2016	71.26	77.88	80.95	84.93	84.94	84.43	84.14(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	41	-40	-13	201	3.25	66%	0.24	75.4	1.96%	0	1.3	72	0
5	Mar_16_2016	71.09	77.29	80.05	84.75	84.96	85.02	84.67(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	72	10	24	214	3.24	66%	0.28	81.7	1.95%	0	1.6	72	0

6	Mar_15_2016	70.89	76.74	79.05	82.86	84.19	85.45	85.04(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	111	150	82	196	3.36	66%	0.28	80	1.96%	0	2	75	0
7	Mar_14_2016	70.69	76.11	78.06	80.7	81.54	84.91	85.81(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	135	320	122	172	3.31	66%	0.3	76.1	1.95%	0	2.5	79	0
8	Mar_11_2016	70.48	75.32	76.84	78.45	78.82	82.94	85.01(2.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	180	380	188	155	5.6	66%	0.27	67.8	1.95%	0	2.9	80	0
9	Mar_10_2016	70.29	74.48	75.85	76.43	76.3	78.17	83.23(10.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.5	129	170	137	105	10.64	64%	0.23	54.2	1.94%	0	3.2	80	0
10	Mar_9_2016	70.13	73.78	75.06	74.79	74.64	74.71	75.21(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	0	14	43	3.02	55%	0.11	37.8	1.41%	0	0.7	63	0

11	Mar_8_2016	70.05	73.5	75.04	74.7	74.56	74.42	74.24(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-0	-20	-12	35	2.02	57%	0.11	20.1	1.4%	0	0.3	50	0
12	Mar_7_2016	69.97	73.29	75.05	74.96	74.64	74.57	74.58(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-20	-5	52	1.92	57%	0.11	9.5	1.43%	0	0.6	57	0
13	Mar_4_2016	69.89	73.15	74.9	74.9	74.72	74.69	74.88(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	10	-10	-7	62	2.59	57%	0.11	2.2	1.43%	0	0.7	67	0
14	Mar_3_2016	69.81	73.03	74.64	75.13	74.79	74.72	75.02(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	12	-20	-13	86	2.11	61%	0.16	3.8	1.44%	0	0.9	71	0
15	Mar_2_2016	69.7	73.02	74.41	75.38	75.16	74.75	74.79(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-50	-8	107	3.77	61%	0.1	9	1.53%	0	0.8	66	0

16	Mar_1_2016	69.63	73.06	74.35	75.43	75.36	74.85	75.55(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	21	-50	-17	133	3.43	61%	0.1	14.5	1.52%	0	1.1	69	0
17	Feb_29_2016	69.56	73.07	74.1	75.15	75.3	75.56	74.25(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	40	30	2	154	3.49	60%	0.12	18.7	1.5%	0	0.5	66	0
18	Feb_26_2016	69.48	73.09	73.75	74.85	74.97	75.87	76.02(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	88	90	61	170	1.91	63%	0.14	21.3	1.46%	0	1.2	62	0
19	Feb_25_2016	69.38	72.94	73.05	74.05	74.11	75.03	76.27(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	81	90	66	127	2	63%	0.13	17.7	1.47%	0	1.4	58	0
20	Feb_24_2016	69.29	72.81	72.38	73.31	73.15	74.07	75.08(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	49	80	42	68	2.5	63%	0.1	17.2	1.47%	0	1	48	0

21	Feb_23_2016	69.22	72.72	71.82	73.15	72.69	73.19	74.11(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	30	36	26	2.98	63%	0.04	22.6	1.48%	0	0.6	42	0
22	Feb_22_2016	69.19	72.62	71.37	72.94	72.74	72.22	72.78(1.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	-60	6	-27	2.69	62%	0.01	27.1	1.46%	0	0.1	38	0
23	Feb_19_2016	69.18	72.58	71.23	72.47	72.94	72.19	72(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-50	-13	-66	3.25	64%	0.01	28.7	1.49%	0	-0.3	41	0
24	Feb_18_2016	69.17	72.53	71.29	71.82	72.39	73.27	72.6(-2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	110	16	-79	4.26	64%	0	24.9	1.49%	0	0	48	0
25	Feb_17_2016	69.17	72.43	71.49	71.24	71.45	73.69	74.27(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	72	230	115	-56	2.63	69%		16.3	1.45%	0	0.8	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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