Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $83.2300 (10.66%) ($79.5000 - $83.2800) on Thu. Mar. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.94% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $83.2300(10.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    SPY(39%)    XLY(39%)    IVW(38%)    IWF(38%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.97% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-4%)    IPO(-4%)    TLT(-3%)    GDXJ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.97% (StdDev 1.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $76.43(8.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75.85(9.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $74.48(11.75%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21.7%
Market Cap   $20.951b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 3.65% (three month std-dev: 1.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.7%(75%) Average negative next day return: -3.76%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.74%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -1.11%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0.74%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.02%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160410

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_10_2016	70.29	74.48	75.85	76.43	76.3	78.17	83.23(10.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.5	129	170	137	105	10.64	64%	0.23	54.2	1.94%	0	3.2	80	0
2	Mar_9_2016	70.13	73.78	75.06	74.79	74.64	74.71	75.21(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	0	14	43	3.02	55%	0.11	37.8	1.41%	0	0.7	63	0
3	Mar_8_2016	70.05	73.5	75.04	74.7	74.56	74.42	74.24(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-0	-20	-12	35	2.02	57%	0.11	20.1	1.4%	0	0.3	50	0
4	Mar_7_2016	69.97	73.29	75.05	74.96	74.64	74.57	74.58(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-20	-5	52	1.92	57%	0.11	9.5	1.43%	0	0.6	57	0
5	Mar_4_2016	69.89	73.15	74.9	74.9	74.72	74.69	74.88(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	10	-10	-7	62	2.59	57%	0.11	2.2	1.43%	0	0.7	67	0

6	Mar_3_2016	69.81	73.03	74.64	75.13	74.79	74.72	75.02(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	12	-20	-13	86	2.11	61%	0.16	3.8	1.44%	0	0.9	71	0
7	Mar_2_2016	69.7	73.02	74.41	75.38	75.16	74.75	74.79(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-50	-8	107	3.77	61%	0.1	9	1.53%	0	0.8	66	0
8	Mar_1_2016	69.63	73.06	74.35	75.43	75.36	74.85	75.55(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	21	-50	-17	133	3.43	61%	0.1	14.5	1.52%	0	1.1	69	0
9	Feb_29_2016	69.56	73.07	74.1	75.15	75.3	75.56	74.25(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	40	30	2	154	3.49	60%	0.12	18.7	1.5%	0	0.5	66	0
10	Feb_26_2016	69.48	73.09	73.75	74.85	74.97	75.87	76.02(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	88	90	61	170	1.91	63%	0.14	21.3	1.46%	0	1.2	62	0

11	Feb_25_2016	69.38	72.94	73.05	74.05	74.11	75.03	76.27(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	81	90	66	127	2	63%	0.13	17.7	1.47%	0	1.4	58	0
12	Feb_24_2016	69.29	72.81	72.38	73.31	73.15	74.07	75.08(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	49	80	42	68	2.5	63%	0.1	17.2	1.47%	0	1	48	0
13	Feb_23_2016	69.22	72.72	71.82	73.15	72.69	73.19	74.11(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	30	36	26	2.98	63%	0.04	22.6	1.48%	0	0.6	42	0
14	Feb_22_2016	69.19	72.62	71.37	72.94	72.74	72.22	72.78(1.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	-60	6	-27	2.69	62%	0.01	27.1	1.46%	0	0.1	38	0
15	Feb_19_2016	69.18	72.58	71.23	72.47	72.94	72.19	72(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-50	-13	-66	3.25	64%	0.01	28.7	1.49%	0	-0.3	41	0

16	Feb_18_2016	69.17	72.53	71.29	71.82	72.39	73.27	72.6(-2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	110	16	-79	4.26	64%	0	24.9	1.49%	0	0	48	0
17	Feb_17_2016	69.17	72.43	71.49	71.24	71.45	73.69	74.27(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	72	230	115	-56	2.63	69%	0.06	16.3	1.45%	0	0.8	50	0
18	Feb_16_2016	69.13	72.23	71.61	70.29	70.42	71.52	73.04(3.66%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	67	110	113	-73	3.1	68%	0	6.4	1.48%	0	0.4	48	0
19	Feb_12_2016	69.13	72.03	71.88	69.62	69.37	69.2	70.46(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-38	-30	-11	-118	2.21	57%	-0.03	-6.7	1.57%	0	-0.7	46	0
20	Feb_11_2016	69.15	71.96	72.33	69.86	69.53	69.32	68.75(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-57	-40	-39	-110	2.35	48%	-0.04	-9.8	1.55%	0	-1.3	42	0

21	Feb_10_2016	69.18	71.98	72.83	70.68	70.42	69.54	69.67(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	-100	-41	-72	2.55	48%	-0.03	-8.3	1.68%	0	-0.9	50	0
22	Feb_9_2016	69.2	72.05	73.3	71.77	71.38	69.74	69.52(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-85	-180	-97	-49	3.92	48%	-0.01	0	1.69%	0	-1	52	0
23	Feb_8_2016	69.21	72.09	73.76	73.13	72.97	71.31	69.71(-2.72%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-72	-170	-97	2	3.93	48%	-0.01	10.6	1.7%	0	-1	52	0
24	Feb_5_2016	69.22	72.19	74.07	74.46	74.45	73.01	71.66(-1.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-39	-140	-74	66	2.77	51%	0.01	25.7	1.66%	0	-0.2	65	0
25	Feb_4_2016	69.21	72.2	74.14	75.14	75.23	74.63	72.86(-2.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-3	-50	-43	117	3.77	51%		33.5	1.65%	0	0.3	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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