Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $72.6000 (-2.25%) ($71.4900 - $73.4900) on Thu. Feb. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.49% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $72.6000(-2.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    IVW(39%)    IWF(39%)    SPY(39%)    XLY(39%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-3%)    TLT(-3%)    IPO(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.745% (StdDev 1.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $71.82(1.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.29(1.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.53(0.1%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   16%
Market Cap   $18.275b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 3.05% (three month std-dev: 1.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160318

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_18_2016	69.17	72.53	71.29	71.82	72.39	73.27	72.6(-2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	110	16	-79	4.26	64%	0	24.9	1.49%	0	0	48	INF
2	Feb_17_2016	69.17	72.43	71.49	71.24	71.45	73.69	74.27(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	72	230	115	-56	2.63	69%	0.06	16.3	1.45%	0	0.8	50	INF
3	Feb_16_2016	69.13	72.23	71.61	70.29	70.42	71.52	73.04(3.66%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	67	110	113	-73	3.1	68%	0	6.4	1.48%	0	0.4	48	INF
4	Feb_12_2016	69.13	72.03	71.88	69.62	69.37	69.2	70.46(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-38	-30	-11	-118	2.21	57%	-0.03	-6.7	1.57%	0	-0.7	46	INF
5	Feb_11_2016	69.15	71.96	72.33	69.86	69.53	69.32	68.75(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-57	-40	-39	-110	2.35	48%	-0.04	-9.8	1.55%	0	-1.3	42	INF

6	Feb_10_2016	69.18	71.98	72.83	70.68	70.42	69.54	69.67(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	-100	-41	-72	2.55	48%	-0.03	-8.3	1.68%	0	-0.9	50	INF
7	Feb_9_2016	69.2	72.05	73.3	71.77	71.38	69.74	69.52(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-85	-180	-97	-49	3.92	48%	-0.01	0	1.69%	0	-1	52	INF
8	Feb_8_2016	69.21	72.09	73.76	73.13	72.97	71.31	69.71(-2.72%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-72	-170	-97	2	3.93	48%	-0.01	10.6	1.7%	0	-1	52	INF
9	Feb_5_2016	69.22	72.19	74.07	74.46	74.45	73.01	71.66(-1.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-39	-140	-74	66	2.77	51%	0.01	25.7	1.66%	0	-0.2	65	INF
10	Feb_4_2016	69.21	72.2	74.14	75.14	75.23	74.63	72.86(-2.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-3	-50	-43	117	3.77	51%	0.03	33.5	1.65%	0	0.3	72	INF

11	Feb_3_2016	69.19	72.19	73.99	75.25	75.39	75.89	75.1(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	51	50	14	162	3.07	55%	0.07	35	1.61%	0	1.2	83	INF
12	Feb_2_2016	69.14	72.05	73.52	75.04	74.95	75.83	76.34(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	80	80	49	174	3.28	58%	0.1	35.7	1.59%	0	1.8	71	INF
13	Feb_1_2016	69.07	71.83	72.92	74.51	74.38	74.89	76.35(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	80	40	51	165	3.34	58%	0.09	33.3	1.6%	0	2.2	74	INF
14	Jan_29_2016	69.01	71.58	72.16	73.67	73.8	74.07	75.06(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	52	30	28	123	3.11	56%	0.09	24.6	1.59%	0	1.9	61	INF
15	Jan_28_2016	68.95	71.41	71.5	73.03	73.26	73.87	73.4(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	70	30	90	2.84	57%	0.01	16.8	1.57%	0	1.2	54	INF

16	Jan_27_2016	68.94	71.35	71.01	72.52	72.73	73.53	74.04(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	57	90	55	64	3.75	57%	0.01	11.6	1.61%	0	1.7	52	INF
17	Jan_26_2016	68.93	71.23	70.64	71.75	71.96	72.64	73.69(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	44	70	49	30	2.98	57%	0.07	0	1.62%	0	1.6	51	INF
18	Jan_25_2016	68.88	71.14	70.21	71.08	71.13	71.94	72.18(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	31	80	43	-6	2.4	54%	0	-11.2	1.6%	0	0.7	47	INF
19	Jan_22_2016	68.88	71.12	70.1	70.42	70.57	71.29	71.86(1.48%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	39	80	59	-21	2.92	52%	0	-23.5	1.62%	0	0.5	49	INF
20	Jan_21_2016	68.88	71.13	70.06	69.73	69.67	70.32	70.81(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	11	60	33	-54	3.04	52%	-0.03	-33.3	1.61%	0	-0.2	43	INF

21	Jan_20_2016	68.9	71.16	70.21	69.26	69.12	69.85	70.23(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	70	24	-72	5.35	52%	-0.03	-40.2	1.61%	0	-0.6	38	INF
22	Jan_19_2016	68.92	71.23	70.45	69.36	69.09	69.03	70.34(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-20	20	-68	4.12	52%	-0.14	-35.3	1.61%	0	-0.6	43	INF
23	Jan_15_2016	69.02	71.3	70.64	69.22	69.19	68.4	68.88(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-58	-80	-44	-100	4.34	51%	-0.09	-38.5	1.58%	0	-1.7	34	INF
24	Jan_14_2016	69.08	71.46	70.95	69.74	69.78	69.15	68.39(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-62	-60	-53	-90	4.38	46%	-0.12	-29	1.6%	0	-2.4	32	INF
25	Jan_13_2016	69.16	71.61	71.34	70.43	70.56	69.98	68.48(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-44	-50	-38	-63	3.5	46%		-18.1	1.69%	0	-3	33	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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