Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $64.0600 (2.32%) ($63.4500 - $64.5300) on Fri. Nov. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.94% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $64.0600(2.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    SPY(39%)    XLY(39%)    IVW(38%)    IWF(38%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.97% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-3%)    TLT(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)    SHY(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.97% (StdDev 1.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $55.37(-13.57%)
Resistance Level   $65.26
5 Day Moving Average   $62.73(2.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.21(1.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $65.26(-1.84%)
To recent high   -20.1%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $16.125b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 3.94% (three month std-dev: 1.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.67%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.44%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.86%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.07%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.42%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.36%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_20_2015	72.61	65.26	63.21	62.73	63.02	63.46	64.06(2.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	60	41	-108	4.09	33%	-0.21	-41.9	1.94%	0	-0.5	35	0
2	Nov_19_2015	72.76	65.35	63.53	61.92	62.18	62.88	62.61(-0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-25	90	14	-143	2.65	31%	-0.22	-53.2	1.91%	0	-1.1	34	0
3	Nov_18_2015	72.92	65.58	64.06	62.07	61.66	62.58	63.15(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	80	29	-131	4.19	32%	-0.21	-52.1	1.91%	0	-1	37	0
4	Nov_17_2015	73.07	65.8	64.5	61.97	61.76	61.49	62.77(2.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-35	-40	2	-145	5.8	32%	-0.2	-50.8	1.92%	0	-1.2	35	0
5	Nov_16_2015	73.22	66.03	65.07	62.62	62.22	60.74	61.04(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-95	-190	-76	-151	4.46	29%	-0.26	-47.6	1.88%	0	-2.1	40	0

6	Nov_13_2015	73.41	66.35	65.85	63.81	63.59	62.04	60.02(-5.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-102	-180	-96	-119	8.08	30%	-0.24	-42.3	1.86%	0	-3.1	34	0
7	Nov_12_2015	73.59	66.74	66.68	65.37	65.17	63.71	63.35(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-74	-170	-77	-64	4.47	32%	-0.22	-30.7	1.77%	0	-2.3	44	0
8	Nov_11_2015	73.75	66.92	67.11	66.34	66.35	65.13	62.65(-5.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-65	-130	-75	-35	7.77	32%	-0.22	-13.9	1.76%	0	-3.2	36	0
9	Nov_10_2015	73.91	67.08	67.65	67.37	67.24	66.64	66.04(-1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-34	-70	-47	7	4.67	35%	-0.16	-1.4	1.65%	0	-1.1	44	0
10	Nov_9_2015	74.03	67.17	67.62	67.87	67.79	67.57	66.97(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-10	-30	-21	25	2.71	35%	-0.16	9.4	1.65%	0	-0.2	51	0

11	Nov_6_2015	74.15	67.24	67.54	68.22	68.13	67.84	67.82(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-30	-6	37	2.39	34%	-0.13	7.4	1.65%	0	0.6	54	0
12	Nov_5_2015	74.25	67.21	67.35	68.21	68.18	68.01	68.23(0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-20	-8	29	5.74	34%	-0.13	-10.7	1.66%	0	1	56	0
13	Nov_4_2015	74.35	67.11	67.21	68.02	68.13	68.41	67.78(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	30	8	34	3.69	34%	-0.13	-39.9	1.66%	0	0.7	59	0
14	Nov_3_2015	74.45	67.09	67.18	67.96	67.84	68.35	68.54(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	50	36	56	6.76	34%	-0.12	-61.3	1.66%	0	1.4	69	0
15	Nov_2_2015	74.54	67.08	67.01	67.32	67.32	67.85	68.74(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	36	60	37	33	3.51	34%	-0.12	-67.5	1.66%	0	1.3	52	0

16	Oct_30_2015	74.63	67.17	66.82	66.77	66.67	67.34	67.77(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	70	31	7	4.98	35%	-0.13	-65.8	1.65%	0	0.4	46	0
17	Oct_29_2015	74.73	67.32	66.75	66.36	66.27	66.79	67.29(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	18	50	27	-8	3.31	35%	-0.15	-65.8	1.65%	0	-0	50	0
18	Oct_28_2015	74.84	67.51	66.65	66.3	66.13	66.01	67.48(3.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	-20	3	-19	5.32	35%	-0.11	-60.2	1.66%	0	-0	55	0
19	Oct_27_2015	74.92	67.73	66.42	66.31	66.37	65.76	65.34(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-60	-32	-45	5.18	31%	-0.13	-57.4	1.6%	0	-1.1	43	0
20	Oct_26_2015	75.02	67.98	66.68	66.65	66.91	66.25	65.96(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-60	-31	-39	3.67	31%	-0.13	-56.4	1.6%	0	-1	40	0

21	Oct_23_2015	75.12	68.21	66.93	66.87	67.15	66.98	65.75(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-10	-27	-44	4.86	31%	-0.13	-53	1.6%	0	-1.1	32	0
22	Oct_22_2015	75.22	68.51	67.09	67.15	67.3	67.58	66.95(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-0	40	13	-40	5.52	32%	-0.12	-45.7	1.59%	0	-0.7	34	0
23	Oct_21_2015	75.31	68.77	67.03	67.04	67.17	67.32	67.55(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	20	28	-65	2.6	32%	-0.09	-44.5	1.58%	0	-0.5	35	0
24	Oct_20_2015	75.38	68.97	67.01	66.55	66.68	67.02	67.03(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	40	-3	-118	2.27	33%	-0.08	-49.1	1.58%	0	-0.8	30	0
25	Oct_19_2015	75.44	69.18	67.16	66.74	66.61	67.03	67.08(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-21	40	11	-116	2.5	33%		-45.9	1.59%	0	-0.9	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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