Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $80.1700 (-1.24%) ($79.8900 - $81.1300) on Tue. Jul. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $80.1700(-1.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    SPY(39%)    XLY(39%)    XRT(38%)    IVE(37%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-4%)    GDXJ(-3%)    UUP(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $80.31(-0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.78(0.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.23(1.19%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $20.181b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 1.15% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.57%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.48%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.37%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.04%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.26%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.44%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2015	75.68	79.23	79.78	80.31	80.47	80.74	80.17(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	35	30	21	76	2.02	53%	0.09	60.9	0.93%	0	1	66	0
2	Jul_20_2015	75.61	79.15	79.7	80.18	80.2	80.57	81.18(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	48	30	34	89	2.14	56%	0.12	66.1	0.92%	0	2.3	72	0
3	Jul_17_2015	75.52	79	79.45	79.98	79.95	80.2	80.44(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	20	27	72	1.97	51%	0.11	74	0.93%	0	1.9	54	0
4	Jul_16_2015	75.44	78.89	79.28	79.79	79.9	79.82	80.28(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	-0	25	64	2.64	54%	0.11	77	0.95%	0	2	58	0
5	Jul_15_2015	75.36	78.76	79.12	79.37	79.68	79.69	79.46(-0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	10	-4	36	3.56	52%	0.11	67.5	0.95%	0	1.1	56	0

6	Jul_14_2015	75.28	78.68	78.95	79.16	79.49	79.99	79.56(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	60	27	35	1.99	52%	0.11	71.4	0.96%	0	1.3	57	0
7	Jul_13_2015	75.2	78.57	78.79	79.12	79.18	79.67	80.18(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	49	50	52	38	1.89	52%	0.12	80.7	0.95%	0	2.3	59	0
8	Jul_10_2015	75.11	78.44	78.7	78.84	78.91	78.98	79.47(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	10	24	23	2.55	52%	0.12	100	0.96%	0	1.7	57	0
9	Jul_9_2015	75.02	78.36	78.61	78.72	78.74	78.69	78.19(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-8	-0	-13	6	2.01	48%	0.11	121.4	0.94%	0	-0.3	50	0
10	Jul_8_2015	74.94	78.32	78.64	78.82	78.78	78.85	78.41(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	14	0	10	25	1.78	54%	0.12	126	0.95%	0	0.2	56	0

11	Jul_7_2015	74.85	78.21	78.65	78.68	78.69	78.79	79.35(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	10	18	26	2.54	53%	0.05	98	1%	0	1.4	64	0
12	Jul_6_2015	74.81	78.02	78.56	78.39	78.46	78.71	78.79(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	20	2	16	2.46	53%	0.24	84.6	1.02%	0	0.8	65	0
13	Jul_2_2015	74.63	77.86	78.53	78.54	78.44	78.6	78.86(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	10	18	34	1.46	53%	0.15	86.6	1.02%	0	0.9	59	0
14	Jul_1_2015	74.52	77.7	78.47	78.51	78.52	78.2	78.68(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-30	-4	27	1.73	53%	0.15	94.7	1.02%	0	0.8	56	0
15	Jun_30_2015	74.41	77.57	78.39	78.45	78.57	78.29	77.74(-0.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-21	-20	-34	17	1.96	51%	0.15	98.8	1.01%	0	0.1	57	0

16	Jun_29_2015	74.3	77.44	78.4	78.59	78.67	78.84	77.88(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	20	-5	48	3.4	51%	0.12	87.4	1.01%	0	0.3	67	0
17	Jun_26_2015	74.21	77.21	78.36	78.73	78.69	78.85	79.55(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	42	10	27	85	3.19	55%	0.16	76.8	0.97%	0	1.3	86	0
18	Jun_25_2015	74.09	76.87	78.18	78.51	78.57	78.51	78.71(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	23	-0	2	84	1.69	49%	0.14	69.7	0.97%	0	1	81	0
19	Jun_24_2015	73.99	76.6	78.09	78.43	78.53	78.53	78.38(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	0	1	97	1.48	49%	0.14	66.7	0.99%	0	0.9	79	0
20	Jun_23_2015	73.89	76.34	77.98	78.31	78.44	78.62	78.41(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	20	14	108	2.5	49%	0.16	62.1	0.99%	0	1	72	0

21	Jun_22_2015	73.77	76.07	77.75	78.18	78.25	78.53	78.62(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	52	30	30	117	1.84	49%	0.15	57.9	1%	0	1.2	79	0
22	Jun_19_2015	73.66	75.81	77.43	77.92	77.94	78.25	78.42(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	51	30	26	124	3.42	49%	0.15	53	1%	0	1.3	85	0
23	Jun_18_2015	73.55	75.55	77.15	77.8	77.65	77.97	78.32(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	51	20	21	140	2.51	49%	0.15	52.5	1.01%	0	1.4	85	0
24	Jun_17_2015	73.44	75.28	76.87	77.72	77.58	77.62	77.8(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	53	-0	18	157	2.01	49%	0.15	51	1.01%	0	1.3	78	0
25	Jun_16_2015	73.33	75.07	76.68	77.6	77.54	77.34	77.76(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	46	-20	4	170	1.83	52%		49.8	1.02%	0	1.4	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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