Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $78.7900 (-0.09%) ($78.0400 - $79.0300) on Mon. Jul. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $78.7900(-0.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    SPY(40%)    XLY(40%)    XRT(38%)    IVE(37%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-4%)    GDXJ(-3%)    UUP(-2%)    SHY(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $78.39(0.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $78.56(0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $78.02(0.99%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $19.833b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 1.23% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.16%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.32%(83%) Average negative next three day return: -2.28%(17%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.57%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.27%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150806

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_6_2015	74.81	78.02	78.56	78.39	78.46	78.71	78.79(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	20	2	16	2.46	53%	0.24	84.6	1.02%	0	0.8	65	INF
2	Jul_2_2015	74.63	77.86	78.53	78.54	78.44	78.6	78.86(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	10	18	34	1.46	53%	0.15	86.6	1.02%	0	0.9	59	INF
3	Jul_1_2015	74.52	77.7	78.47	78.51	78.52	78.2	78.68(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-30	-4	27	1.73	53%	0.15	94.7	1.02%	0	0.8	56	INF
4	Jun_30_2015	74.41	77.57	78.39	78.45	78.57	78.29	77.74(-0.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-21	-20	-34	17	1.96	51%	0.15	98.8	1.01%	0	0.1	57	INF
5	Jun_29_2015	74.3	77.44	78.4	78.59	78.67	78.84	77.88(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	20	-5	48	3.4	51%	0.12	87.4	1.01%	0	0.3	67	INF

6	Jun_26_2015	74.21	77.21	78.36	78.73	78.69	78.85	79.55(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	42	10	27	85	3.19	55%	0.16	76.8	0.97%	0	1.3	86	INF
7	Jun_25_2015	74.09	76.87	78.18	78.51	78.57	78.51	78.71(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	23	-0	2	84	1.69	49%	0.14	69.7	0.97%	0	1	81	INF
8	Jun_24_2015	73.99	76.6	78.09	78.43	78.53	78.53	78.38(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	0	1	97	1.48	49%	0.14	66.7	0.99%	0	0.9	79	INF
9	Jun_23_2015	73.89	76.34	77.98	78.31	78.44	78.62	78.41(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	20	14	108	2.5	49%	0.16	62.1	0.99%	0	1	72	INF
10	Jun_22_2015	73.77	76.07	77.75	78.18	78.25	78.53	78.62(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	52	30	30	117	1.84	49%	0.15	57.9	1%	0	1.2	79	INF

11	Jun_19_2015	73.66	75.81	77.43	77.92	77.94	78.25	78.42(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	51	30	26	124	3.42	49%	0.15	53	1%	0	1.3	85	INF
12	Jun_18_2015	73.55	75.55	77.15	77.8	77.65	77.97	78.32(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	51	20	21	140	2.51	49%	0.15	52.5	1.01%	0	1.4	85	INF
13	Jun_17_2015	73.44	75.28	76.87	77.72	77.58	77.62	77.8(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	53	-0	18	157	2.01	49%	0.15	51	1.01%	0	1.3	78	INF
14	Jun_16_2015	73.33	75.07	76.68	77.6	77.54	77.34	77.76(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	46	-20	4	170	1.83	52%	0.12	49.8	1.02%	0	1.4	79	INF
15	Jun_15_2015	73.24	74.89	76.41	77.23	77.38	77.55	77.29(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	51	20	10	174	3.15	52%	0.11	46.4	1.03%	0	1.4	78	INF

16	Jun_12_2015	73.16	74.75	75.98	76.84	77.07	77.74	77.81(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	84	70	54	173	2.16	58%	0.11	42.6	1.03%	0	1.8	75	INF
17	Jun_11_2015	73.08	74.52	75.47	76.38	76.51	77.21	77.93(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	82	70	62	143	2.81	58%	0.15	35.8	1.13%	0	2.2	77	INF
18	Jun_10_2015	72.97	74.29	74.98	75.9	75.98	76.39	77.21(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	58	40	38	119	2.73	58%	0.14	33.1	1.13%	0	2.2	76	INF
19	Jun_9_2015	72.87	74.15	74.55	75.66	75.72	75.81	75.92(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	10	17	98	2.64	56%	0.04	38.4	1.12%	0	1.6	62	INF
20	Jun_8_2015	72.84	74.09	74.25	75.47	75.72	75.58	75.34(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	0	9	79	2.61	56%	0.11	40.1	1.12%	0	1.2	54	INF

21	Jun_5_2015	72.76	74.05	74.06	74.97	75.64	75.64	75.5(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	30	30	60	2.59	56%	0.14	33.8	1.12%	0	1.4	53	INF
22	Jun_4_2015	72.66	73.98	73.83	74.39	74.92	75.71	75.55(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	35	100	34	38	1.81	56%	0.11	26.7	1.12%	0	1.6	61	INF
23	Jun_3_2015	72.58	73.87	73.55	73.9	74.2	75.64	76(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	85	150	100	39	2.94	52%	0.12	12.2	1.12%	0	2.3	61	INF
24	Jun_2_2015	72.49	73.73	73.3	73.29	73.55	74.13	74.98(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	65	70	86	3	6.35	50%	0.11	-19.2	1.14%	0	1.6	49	INF
25	Jun_1_2015	72.41	73.66	73.22	72.88	72.92	72.76	72.81(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10	-21	-62	3.4	44%		-51	1.08%	0	-1.2	35	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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