Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $78.4200 (0.13%) ($78.1000 - $78.6900) on Fri. Jun. 19, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $78.4200(0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    SPY(40%)    XLY(40%)    XRT(38%)    IVE(37%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-4%)    GDXJ(-3%)    UUP(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $77.92(0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.43(1.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.81(3.44%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8%
Market Cap   $19.74b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 2.68% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 0.89%(56%) Average negative next day return: -0.75%(44%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 1.31%(59%) Average negative next three day return: -1.76%(41%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 1.84%(59%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.74%(41%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150719

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_19_2015	73.66	75.81	77.43	77.92	77.94	78.25	78.42(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	51	30	26	124	3.42	49%	0.15	53	1%	0	1.3	85	INF
2	Jun_18_2015	73.55	75.55	77.15	77.8	77.65	77.97	78.32(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	51	20	21	140	2.51	49%	0.15	52.5	1.01%	0	1.4	85	INF
3	Jun_17_2015	73.44	75.28	76.87	77.72	77.58	77.62	77.8(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	53	-0	18	157	2.01	49%	0.15	51	1.01%	0	1.3	78	INF
4	Jun_16_2015	73.33	75.07	76.68	77.6	77.54	77.34	77.76(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	46	-20	4	170	1.83	52%	0.12	49.8	1.02%	0	1.4	79	INF
5	Jun_15_2015	73.24	74.89	76.41	77.23	77.38	77.55	77.29(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	51	20	10	174	3.15	52%	0.11	46.4	1.03%	0	1.4	78	INF

6	Jun_12_2015	73.16	74.75	75.98	76.84	77.07	77.74	77.81(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	84	70	54	173	2.16	58%	0.11	42.6	1.03%	0	1.8	75	INF
7	Jun_11_2015	73.08	74.52	75.47	76.38	76.51	77.21	77.93(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	82	70	62	143	2.81	58%	0.15	35.8	1.13%	0	2.2	77	INF
8	Jun_10_2015	72.97	74.29	74.98	75.9	75.98	76.39	77.21(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	58	40	38	119	2.73	58%	0.14	33.1	1.13%	0	2.2	76	INF
9	Jun_9_2015	72.87	74.15	74.55	75.66	75.72	75.81	75.92(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	10	17	98	2.64	56%	0.04	38.4	1.12%	0	1.6	62	INF
10	Jun_8_2015	72.84	74.09	74.25	75.47	75.72	75.58	75.34(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	0	9	79	2.61	56%	0.11	40.1	1.12%	0	1.2	54	INF

11	Jun_5_2015	72.76	74.05	74.06	74.97	75.64	75.64	75.5(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	30	30	60	2.59	56%	0.14	33.8	1.12%	0	1.4	53	INF
12	Jun_4_2015	72.66	73.98	73.83	74.39	74.92	75.71	75.55(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	35	100	34	38	1.81	56%	0.11	26.7	1.12%	0	1.6	61	INF
13	Jun_3_2015	72.58	73.87	73.55	73.9	74.2	75.64	76(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	85	150	100	39	2.94	52%	0.12	12.2	1.12%	0	2.3	61	INF
14	Jun_2_2015	72.49	73.73	73.3	73.29	73.55	74.13	74.98(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	65	70	86	3	6.35	50%	0.11	-19.2	1.14%	0	1.6	49	INF
15	Jun_1_2015	72.41	73.66	73.22	72.88	72.92	72.76	72.81(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10	-21	-62	3.4	44%	0.07	-51	1.08%	0	-1.2	35	INF

16	May_29_2015	72.36	73.7	73.4	73.03	73.18	72.98	72.59(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10	-13	-54	3.15	44%	0.04	-67.4	1.09%	0	-1.6	33	INF
17	May_28_2015	72.33	73.72	73.5	73.17	73.35	73.08	73.11(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-20	-9	-53	2.68	44%	0.04	-85.1	1.09%	0	-0.9	42	INF
18	May_27_2015	72.3	73.76	73.56	73.12	73.24	73.38	72.94(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	20	-18	-57	1.97	44%	0.04	-104.4	1.1%	0	-1.2	48	INF
19	May_26_2015	72.27	73.88	73.74	73.3	73.35	73.62	72.95(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	2	30	12	-30	2.53	44%	0.07	-95.9	1.1%	0	-1.3	50	INF
20	May_22_2015	72.22	74.03	73.93	73.61	73.51	73.1	73.56(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-40	-12	-21	1.9	44%	0.01	-57.5	1.08%	0	-0.5	48	INF

21	May_21_2015	72.21	74.17	74.06	73.84	73.78	73.08	73.29(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-70	-49	-17	4.51	44%	0.04	-38.4	1.09%	0	-0.8	50	INF
22	May_20_2015	72.18	74.32	74.16	73.87	74.15	73.92	72.88(-1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-24	-10	-32	1	4.15	44%	0.01	-34.5	1.1%	0	-1.3	54	INF
23	May_19_2015	72.17	74.46	74.25	74.05	74.21	74.49	73.83(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	30	1	19	3.6	46%	0.06	-25.3	1.1%	0	-0.6	51	INF
24	May_18_2015	72.13	74.57	74.21	74.24	74.21	74.39	74.49(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	20	19	22	2.17	46%	0.07	-17.8	1.09%	0	-0.1	44	INF
25	May_15_2015	72.08	74.61	74.15	74.31	74.18	73.94	74.71(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-6	-30	-7	-1	1.8	46%		-15.8	1.09%	0	0.1	40	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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