Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $74.9800 (2.98%) ($74.4700 - $76.5000) on Tue. Jun. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $74.9800(2.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    SPY(40%)    XLY(40%)    XRT(38%)    IVE(37%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-5%)    GDXJ(-3%)    UUP(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $73.29(2.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.3(2.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.73(1.7%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $18.874b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 1.04% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150702

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_2_2015	72.49	73.73	73.3	73.29	73.55	74.13	74.98(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	65	70	86	3	6.35	50%	0.11	-19.2	1.14%	0	1.6	49	0
2	Jun_1_2015	72.41	73.66	73.22	72.88	72.92	72.76	72.81(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10	-21	-62	3.4	44%	0.07	-51	1.08%	0	-1.2	35	0
3	May_29_2015	72.36	73.7	73.4	73.03	73.18	72.98	72.59(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10	-13	-54	3.15	44%	0.04	-67.4	1.09%	0	-1.6	33	0
4	May_28_2015	72.33	73.72	73.5	73.17	73.35	73.08	73.11(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-20	-9	-53	2.68	44%	0.04	-85.1	1.09%	0	-0.9	42	0
5	May_27_2015	72.3	73.76	73.56	73.12	73.24	73.38	72.94(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	20	-18	-57	1.97	44%	0.04	-104.4	1.1%	0	-1.2	48	0

6	May_26_2015	72.27	73.88	73.74	73.3	73.35	73.62	72.95(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	2	30	12	-30	2.53	44%	0.07	-95.9	1.1%	0	-1.3	50	0
7	May_22_2015	72.22	74.03	73.93	73.61	73.51	73.1	73.56(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-40	-12	-21	1.9	44%	0.01	-57.5	1.08%	0	-0.5	48	0
8	May_21_2015	72.21	74.17	74.06	73.84	73.78	73.08	73.29(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-70	-49	-17	4.51	44%	0.04	-38.4	1.09%	0	-0.8	50	0
9	May_20_2015	72.18	74.32	74.16	73.87	74.15	73.92	72.88(-1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-24	-10	-32	1	4.15	44%	0.01	-34.5	1.1%	0	-1.3	54	0
10	May_19_2015	72.17	74.46	74.25	74.05	74.21	74.49	73.83(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	30	1	19	3.6	46%	0.06	-25.3	1.1%	0	-0.6	51	0

11	May_18_2015	72.13	74.57	74.21	74.24	74.21	74.39	74.49(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	20	19	22	2.17	46%	0.07	-17.8	1.09%	0	-0.1	44	0
12	May_15_2015	72.08	74.61	74.15	74.31	74.18	73.94	74.71(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-6	-30	-7	-1	1.8	46%	0.04	-15.8	1.09%	0	0.1	40	0
13	May_14_2015	72.05	74.59	74.03	74.34	74.37	73.97	73.46(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-40	-33	-31	3.13	42%	0.04	-21.8	1.08%	0	-1	31	0
14	May_13_2015	72.02	74.69	73.97	74.49	74.67	74.42	73.74(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-20	-13	-40	3.08	47%	0.07	-18.9	1.09%	0	-0.9	35	0
15	May_12_2015	71.97	74.74	73.98	74.45	74.59	74.77	74.8(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	20	8	-47	3.09	50%	0.08	-27.9	1.09%	0	0.1	43	0

16	May_11_2015	71.91	74.76	74.01	74.15	74.29	74.93	74.84(-0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	14	70	37	-54	2.53	50%	0.1	-29.6	1.09%	0	0.1	42	0
17	May_8_2015	71.84	74.78	74.12	73.97	73.95	74.42	74.85(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	25	40	51	-52	2.47	50%	0.04	-34.2	1.08%	0	0.1	47	0
18	May_7_2015	71.81	74.83	74.26	73.69	73.64	73.65	74.24(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-0	20	-62	3.67	50%	0.06	-39.5	1.09%	0	-0.5	50	0
19	May_6_2015	71.77	74.9	74.44	73.38	73.47	73.48	73.52(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	0	-7	-82	4.61	50%	0.08	-44.7	1.09%	0	-1.2	41	0
20	May_5_2015	71.71	75.03	74.67	73.45	73.41	73.63	73.32(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	20	-7	-71	2.7	50%	0.04	-41.5	1.1%	0	-1.6	46	0

21	May_4_2015	71.68	75.08	74.95	73.85	73.59	73.45	73.9(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-20	-12	-54	1.58	50%	0.06	-38.7	1.09%	0	-1.1	44	0
22	May_1_2015	71.64	75.15	75.1	74.31	74.07	73.18	73.47(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-61	-90	-63	-55	2.42	54%	0.07	-25	1.11%	0	-1.6	43	0
23	Apr_30_2015	71.59	75.27	75.22	74.94	74.9	73.74	72.71(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-85	-110	-95	-54	2.99	54%	0.06	-5.6	1.11%	0	-2.7	35	0
24	Apr_29_2015	71.55	75.41	75.52	75.65	75.74	74.96	73.85(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-57	-70	-70	-17	5.61	58%	0.06	26.5	1.1%	0	-2.1	42	0
25	Apr_28_2015	71.51	75.49	75.62	76.04	76.14	76.06	75.33(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-19	-0	-27	6	3.94	63%		47.1	1.08%	0	-0.2	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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