Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 27, 2015

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $76.2000 (-0.54%) ($75.8900 - $76.9900) on Mon. Apr. 27, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $76.2000(-0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    SPY(40%)    XLY(40%)    XRT(38%)    IVE(37%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-4%)    GDXJ(-3%)    UUP(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $76.18(0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75.62(0.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.48(0.95%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $19.181b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 0.86% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.54%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.59%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.82%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150527

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_27_2015	71.44	75.48	75.62	76.18	76.24	76.51	76.2(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	30	22	41	3.7	61%	0.13	48.8	1.07%	0	1.1	62	0
2	Apr_24_2015	71.35	75.41	75.51	76	76.07	76.23	76.61(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	20	33	37	2.25	61%	0.13	36.5	1.09%	0	1.9	55	0
3	Apr_23_2015	71.26	75.32	75.44	75.56	75.68	75.97	76.25(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	30	15	16	2.52	61%	0.14	17.9	1.1%	0	1.6	53	0
4	Apr_22_2015	71.16	75.21	75.37	75.4	75.37	75.92	75.83(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	50	37	21	3.43	67%	0.13	1.3	1.1%	0	1	53	0
5	Apr_21_2015	71.07	75.19	75.38	75.13	75.14	75.39	76.01(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	27	20	32	13	3.39	67%	0.14	-5.2	1.2%	0	1.4	53	0

6	Apr_20_2015	70.97	75.16	75.38	74.99	74.92	74.83	75.28(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-5	-10	-3	-12	2.74	67%	0.06	-12.3	1.19%	0	0.2	52	0
7	Apr_17_2015	70.93	75.18	75.18	74.96	74.96	74.9	74.42(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-10	-18	-17	4.62	67%	0.06	-1.3	1.19%	0	-1.3	48	0
8	Apr_16_2015	70.89	75.18	75.3	75.29	75.19	74.9	75.44(1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-4	-20	-7	4	2.78	73%	0.07	20.5	1.18%	0	0.4	54	0
9	Apr_15_2015	70.84	75.21	75.28	75.34	75.42	75.02	74.51(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-19	-30	-26	4	2.48	66%	0.06	54.8	1.22%	0	-1.3	54	0
10	Apr_14_2015	70.8	75.22	75.37	75.65	75.64	75.36	75.29(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-30	-13	20	2.02	66%	0.07	104.2	1.26%	0	0.1	49	0

11	Apr_13_2015	70.75	75.23	75.34	75.38	75.69	75.81	75.16(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	3	20	0	13	3.37	66%	0.07	122.2	1.26%	0	-0.1	48	0
12	Apr_10_2015	70.7	75.19	75.33	75.42	75.45	75.93	76.07(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	50	21	18	2.49	66%	0.08	142.1	1.26%	0	1.5	51	0
13	Apr_9_2015	70.64	75.1	75.2	75.31	75.27	75.56	75.67(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	30	27	16	2.3	61%	0.09	159.2	1.27%	0	1	55	0
14	Apr_8_2015	70.58	74.9	75.05	75.22	75.18	75.56	76.08(2.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	-20	5	-2	5.45	61%	0.09	90.6	1.3%	0	1.2	53	0
15	Apr_7_2015	70.52	74.66	74.98	75.08	75.1	74.98	73.94(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-22	-10	-24	-15	3.62	57%	0.06	66.1	1.26%	0	-0.6	47	0

16	Apr_6_2015	70.48	74.57	75.13	75.28	75.25	75.39	75.32(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	10	9	6	2.71	61%	0.09	59.5	1.24%	0	0.5	49	0
17	Apr_2_2015	70.42	74.39	75.17	75.21	75.23	75.21	75.56(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-0	10	12	2.74	61%	0.09	47.2	1.24%	0	0.7	59	0
18	Apr_1_2015	70.36	74.2	75.1	75.05	75.13	75.11	75.2(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	0	3	8	3.41	61%	0.09	42.3	1.24%	0	0.6	57	0
19	Mar_31_2015	70.3	74.04	75.12	74.85	74.96	75.25	75.38(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	30	6	24	3.29	61%	0.09	36.6	1.25%	0	0.8	72	0
20	Mar_30_2015	70.24	73.86	75.05	74.87	74.86	75.14	74.92(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	30	14	51	4.26	61%	0.09	37.7	1.25%	0	0.6	73	0

21	Mar_27_2015	70.18	73.77	75.1	74.98	74.94	74.68	74.99(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	15	-30	-3	70	4.19	64%	0.09	44.2	1.27%	0	0.7	67	0
22	Mar_26_2015	70.12	73.64	75.04	75.14	75.1	74.57	74.78(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-50	-33	82	3.95	64%	0.07	50	1.28%	0	0.7	68	0
23	Mar_25_2015	70.07	73.52	75	75.16	75.43	75.21	74.17(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10	-23	104	3.03	64%	0.09	55.9	1.28%	0	0.4	64	0
24	Mar_24_2015	70.01	73.43	74.78	75.41	75.52	75.62	75.51(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	10	4	125	2.06	68%	0.1	65.8	1.27%	0	1.3	69	0
25	Mar_23_2015	69.94	73.25	74.35	75.25	75.43	75.66	75.45(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	30	14	123	3.22	68%		71.9	1.27%	0	1.4	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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